Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden – Match preview
Holstein Kiel-:-
Dynamo DresdenHolstein-StadionRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
51%
27%
Holstein KielDraw 22%Dynamo Dresden
Bookmaker implied
43%
32%
Holstein KielDraw 25%Dynamo Dresden
1.9 – 1.4
Expected score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Holstein Kiel
37%–
fair 2.69–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.55–
Last 1010%2/20
Dynamo Dresden
35%–
fair 2.89–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Holstein Kiel
52%–
fair 1.93–
Last 1050%9/18
Dynamo Dresden
48%–
fair 2.07–
Last 1050%9/18
Double chance
Holstein Kiel or draw
65%–
fair 1.53–
Last 1055%11/20
Holstein Kiel or Dynamo Dresden
72%–
fair 1.39–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Dynamo Dresden
63%–
fair 1.59–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%
Last 1045%9/20
Holstein Kiel clean sheet
23%
model chance
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet
29%
model chance
Holstein Kiel goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Dynamo Dresden goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 42% | 58% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Holstein Kiel corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Dynamo Dresden corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 49%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Holstein Kiel cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Dynamo Dresden cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
- 18
- League position
- 11
- DLDLD
- Last 5
- WDLDL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Holstein Kiel wins
1
Draws
1
Dynamo Dresden wins
Last 4 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
17 May 2026
Last meeting
Holstein Kiel in the last 4 meetings
LWDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Holstein Kiel
- Andu KelatiInjury
- Frederik RoslyngMeniscus Injury
- Lasse RosenboomSyndesmotic Ligament Tear
Dynamo Dresden
- Kenneth SchmidtCruciate Ligament Tear
- Lars BünningCerebral Hemorrhage
- Lukas BoederMuscular problems
- Thomas KellerConcussion
Key Players
2. Bundesliga, this seasonHolstein Kiel
Top scorer
Phil Harres
4 goals
Most assists
Phil Harres
2 assists
Best rated
Phil Harres
7.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timon WeinerGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| Phil HarresAttacker | 8 (8) | 720 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Hiroki SekineDefender | 8 (8) | 719 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Jonas MeffertMidfielder | 8 (8) | 696 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | |
| A. KaprálikMidfielder | 8 (8) | 676 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.00 | |
| Guillermo BalziMidfielder | 8 (8) | 644 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.06 | ×3 |
| David ZecDefender | 7 (6) | 564 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×3 |
| Ivan NekicDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×3 |
| Leon ParduziDefender | 7 (5) | 461 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Kasper DavidsenMidfielder | 5 (5) | 413 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Jonas TherkelsenMidfielder | 7 (5) | 403 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×3 |
| Noah MadsenDefender | 4 (3) | 303 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | |
| John TolkinDefender | 4 (3) | 238 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| I. UgohMidfielder | 5 (2) | 193 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Gyan de RegtAttacker | 6 (1) | 170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Dynamo Dresden
Top scorer
Niklas Hauptmann
2 goals
Most assists
Vincent Vermeij
2 assists
Best rated
Lennart Grill
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben BobzienMidfielder | 8 (8) | 680 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Robert WagnerMidfielder | 8 (8) | 677 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Niklas HauptmannMidfielder | 8 (8) | 633 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Vincent VermeijAttacker | 8 (8) | 614 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Friedrich MüllerDefender | 8 (6) | 565 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Jonas SternerDefender | 8 (7) | 558 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.86 | |
| Nicolai RappMidfielder | 7 (7) | 544 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Tim SchreiberGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Alexander RossipalDefender | 7 (6) | 526 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Thomas KellerDefender | 4 (4) | 339 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×3 |
| Simon StraudiDefender | 5 (3) | 339 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Ahmet MuhamedbegovicDefender | 6 (3) | 302 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Tobias RaschlMidfielder | 6 (2) | 282 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Patrice CovicMidfielder | 4 (3) | 269 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| Jakob LemmerMidfielder | 8 (2) | 204 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |