Magdeburg vs St. Pauli – Match preview
Magdeburg-:-
St. PauliMDCC-ArenaRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
54%
25%
MagdeburgDraw 21%St. Pauli
2.0 – 1.3
Expected score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
50%
26%
MagdeburgDraw 24%St. Pauli
First Half Result
37%
23%
MagdeburgDraw 40%St. Pauli
Team to Score First
57%
37%
MagdeburgNo goal 6%St. Pauli
Probability
Both Teams to Score
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
Magdeburg Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Magdeburg Over 1.5 Goals
49%
St. Pauli Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Magdeburg Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Match Result
Magdeburg
48%–
model 2.09–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.86–
Last 1040%8/20
St. Pauli
26%–
model 3.82–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Magdeburg
65%–
model 1.55–
Last 1058%7/12
St. Pauli
35%–
model 2.83–
Last 1042%5/12
Double chance
Magdeburg or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1075%15/20
Magdeburg or St. Pauli
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or St. Pauli
52%–
model 1.92–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1055%11/20
Magdeburg clean sheet
26%
model chance
St. Pauli clean sheet
21%
model chance
Magdeburg goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
St. Pauli goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Magdeburg corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
St. Pauli corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Magdeburg cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
St. Pauli cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026MagdeburgSt. Pauli
- 5
- League position
- 8
- DWLWD
- Last 5
- DDWDW
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- 3.29
- xG for (L5)
- 2.61
- 2.37
- xG against (L5)
- 0.88
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
1
Magdeburg wins
1
Draws
1
St. Pauli wins
Last 3 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
10 Feb 2024
Last meeting
Magdeburg in the last 3 meetings
WDL
Key Players
2. Bundesliga, this seasonMagdeburg
Top scorer
Emmanuel Iyoha
6 goals
Most assists
Baris Atik
5 assists
Best rated
Baris Atik
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik ReimannGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Anselmo García MacNultyDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 7.14 | ×4 |
| Emmanuel IyohaAttacker | 10 (10) | 864 | 6 | 0 | 0.27 | 7.20 | – |
| Baris AtikAttacker | 9 (9) | 791 | 0 | 5 | 0.24 | 7.53 | ×2 |
| Luka HyryläinenMidfielder | 10 (10) | 785 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Mateusz ŻukowskiAttacker | 9 (9) | 769 | 5 | 0 | 1.66 | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Tobias MüllerDefender | 9 (8) | 697 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Alexander NollenbergerDefender | 9 (8) | 694 | 3 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.20 | |
| Falko MichelMidfielder | 8 (7) | 623 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Moritz-Broni KwartengMidfielder | 7 (7) | 533 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Torben MüselMidfielder | 8 (5) | 509 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.03 | – |
| Pierre NadjombeDefender | 10 (6) | 502 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×3 |
| Herbert BockhornDefender | 8 (6) | 486 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.59 | |
| Felipe ChavezMidfielder | 7 (1) | 209 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.76 | – |
| Roko SimicAttacker | 7 (1) | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 6.68 |
St. Pauli
Top scorer
Abdoulie Ceesay
4 goals
Most assists
Arkadiusz Pyrka
2 assists
Best rated
Marcus Mathisen
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben VollGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 813 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| David NemethDefender | 9 (9) | 813 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Louis OppieMidfielder | 9 (9) | 805 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.93 | – |
| Arkadiusz PyrkaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 757 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.09 | ×4 |
| Mathias RasmussenMidfielder | 9 (9) | 699 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Eric SmithMidfielder | 9 (7) | 664 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Joel Chima FujitaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 591 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Connor MetcalfeAttacker | 7 (5) | 510 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 7.09 | – |
| Abdoulie CeesayAttacker | 7 (5) | 430 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Martijn KaarsAttacker | 9 (4) | 427 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Lars RitzkaDefender | 5 (4) | 390 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.90 | |
| T. AndoDefender | 5 (5) | 381 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×3 |
| Taichi HaraAttacker | 8 (4) | 337 | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.85 | – |
| Branimir HrgotaAttacker | 7 (4) | 330 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.96 | |
| Marcus MathisenDefender | 4 (4) | 325 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.32 |
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on Magdeburg vs St. Pauli
- Magdeburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- St. Pauli stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- 2. Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture