SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel – Match preview
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Sportpark Ronhof Thomas SommerRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
48%
19%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDraw 33%Holstein Kiel
1.1 – 0.6
Expected score
22%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Both teams to score
Match Result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
44%–
fair 2.25–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.55–
Last 1020%4/20
Holstein Kiel
27%–
fair 3.66–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
62%–
fair 1.61–
Last 1038%6/16
Holstein Kiel
38%–
fair 2.63–
Last 1063%10/16
Double chance
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw
73%–
fair 1.38–
Last 1050%10/20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Holstein Kiel
72%–
fair 1.39–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Holstein Kiel
56%–
fair 1.80–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1050%10/20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet
29%
model chance
Holstein Kiel clean sheet
26%
model chance
SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Holstein Kiel goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 10.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Holstein Kiel corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Holstein Kiel cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 46%O3.5 25%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
- 10
- League position
- 18
- WLDDL
- Last 5
- DLDLD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
0
Draws
2
Holstein Kiel wins
Last 6 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
83%
Both teams scored
83%
Over 2.5 goals
31 Jan 2026
Last meeting
SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the last 5 meetings
WLWLW
Key Players
2. Bundesliga, this seasonSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Top scorer
Felix Klaus
7 goals
Most assists
Dennis Srbeny
2 assists
Best rated
Felix Klaus
7.61
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul WillMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Florian HellsternGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | – |
| Jannis HeuerDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Felix KlausAttacker | 8 (8) | 704 | 7 | 1 | – | 7.61 | |
| Ole PohlmannMidfielder | 8 (8) | 662 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Luca ItterDefender | 7 (7) | 614 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Sacha BanséMidfielder | 8 (8) | 604 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Shinta AppelkampMidfielder | 6 (6) | 458 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Krisztián KeresztesDefender | 7 (5) | 436 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Jannik DehmDefender | 6 (5) | 415 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Lukas ReichDefender | 8 (4) | 386 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Dennis SrbenyAttacker | 8 (4) | 376 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.73 | |
| Omar SillahAttacker | 8 (3) | 346 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Hendry BlankDefender | 5 (3) | 300 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Faton AdemiMidfielder | 5 (2) | 196 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
Holstein Kiel
Top scorer
Phil Harres
4 goals
Most assists
Phil Harres
2 assists
Best rated
Phil Harres
7.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil HarresAttacker | 8 (8) | 720 | 4 | 2 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Timon WeinerGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| Hiroki SekineDefender | 8 (8) | 719 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Jonas MeffertMidfielder | 8 (8) | 696 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | |
| A. KaprálikMidfielder | 8 (8) | 676 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.00 | |
| Guillermo BalziMidfielder | 8 (8) | 644 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.06 | ×3 |
| David ZecDefender | 7 (6) | 564 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×3 |
| Ivan NekicDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×3 |
| Leon ParduziDefender | 7 (5) | 461 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Kasper DavidsenMidfielder | 5 (5) | 413 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Jonas TherkelsenMidfielder | 7 (5) | 403 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×3 |
| Noah MadsenDefender | 4 (3) | 303 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | |
| John TolkinDefender | 4 (3) | 238 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| I. UgohMidfielder | 5 (2) | 193 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Gyan de RegtAttacker | 6 (1) | 170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |