St. Pauli vs Nürnberg – Match preview
St. Pauli-:-
NürnbergMillerntor-StadionRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
29%
40%
St. PauliDraw 31%Nürnberg
0.9 – 1.1
Expected score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Both teams to score
Match Result
St. Pauli
34%–
fair 2.94–
Last 1010%2/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.70–
Last 1045%9/20
Nürnberg
39%–
fair 2.57–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
St. Pauli
47%–
fair 2.15–
Last 1018%2/11
Nürnberg
53%–
fair 1.87–
Last 1082%9/11
Double chance
St. Pauli or draw
61%–
fair 1.64–
Last 1055%11/20
St. Pauli or Nürnberg
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or Nürnberg
66%–
fair 1.52–
Last 1090%18/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1065%13/20
St. Pauli clean sheet
19%
model chance
Nürnberg clean sheet
28%
model chance
St. Pauli goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Nürnberg goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
St. Pauli corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Nürnberg corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
St. Pauli cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Nürnberg cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026St. PauliNürnberg
- 7
- League position
- 2
- DWDWD
- Last 5
- DDWWD
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
St. Pauli wins
2
Draws
0
Nürnberg wins
Last 6 meetings
3.7
Goals per game
83%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
16 Mar 2024
Last meeting
St. Pauli in the last 5 meetings
WWDWW
Key Players
2. Bundesliga, this seasonSt. Pauli
Top scorer
Abdoulie Ceesay
4 goals
Most assists
Arkadiusz Pyrka
2 assists
Best rated
Marcus Mathisen
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David NemethDefender | 8 (8) | 723 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Ben VollGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 723 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Louis OppieMidfielder | 8 (8) | 715 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Arkadiusz PyrkaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 712 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.15 | ×3 |
| Mathias RasmussenMidfielder | 8 (8) | 654 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | |
| Eric SmithMidfielder | 8 (6) | 574 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | |
| Joel Chima FujitaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 501 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Connor MetcalfeAttacker | 6 (4) | 426 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Abdoulie CeesayAttacker | 6 (4) | 385 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Martijn KaarsAttacker | 8 (4) | 382 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| T. AndoDefender | 5 (5) | 381 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×3 |
| Marcus MathisenDefender | 4 (4) | 325 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.32 | |
| Branimir HrgotaAttacker | 6 (4) | 319 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.99 | |
| Taichi HaraAttacker | 7 (4) | 314 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Lars RitzkaDefender | 4 (3) | 300 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.89 |
Nürnberg
Top scorer
Mohamed Ali Zoma
7 goals
Most assists
Javier Fernandez
4 assists
Best rated
Adam Markhiev
7.62
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam MarkhievMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.62 | ×2 |
| Jan ReichertGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Javier FernandezMidfielder | 8 (8) | 707 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.99 | |
| Alexios KalogeropoulosDefender | 8 (8) | 696 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Eric PorstnerDefender | 8 (8) | 687 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Piet ScobelAttacker | 8 (8) | 670 | 5 | 1 | – | 7.28 | |
| Mohamed Ali ZomaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 646 | 7 | 1 | – | 7.43 | ×3 |
| Fynn OttoDefender | 7 (7) | 619 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Tim JanischDefender | 8 (8) | 602 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Julian JustvanMidfielder | 8 (8) | 599 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.06 | |
| Finn BeckerMidfielder | 6 (6) | 444 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.05 | |
| Rafael LubachMidfielder | 8 (0) | 175 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| R. GhriebAttacker | 7 (2) | 161 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.53 | |
| William BøvingAttacker | 5 (0) | 140 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Giannis MasourasDefender | 5 (0) | 118 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.52 |