Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix – Match preview
-:-
Mount Smart StadiumRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
40%
21%
AucklandDraw 39%Wellington Phoenix
Double Chance
54%
23%
AucklandDraw 23%Wellington Phoenix
Half Time Result
57%
37%
AucklandDraw 6%Wellington Phoenix
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
59%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
82%
Match Result
Auckland
43%2.17
fair 2.33-7%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
26%3.66
fair 3.83-4%
Last 1025%5/20
Wellington Phoenix
31%3.07
fair 3.23-5%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Auckland
58%1.58
fair 1.72-8%
Last 1033%5/15
Wellington Phoenix
42%2.23
fair 2.39-6%
Last 1067%10/15
Double chance
Auckland or draw
69%1.36
fair 1.45-6%
Last 1050%10/20
Auckland or Wellington Phoenix
74%1.27
fair 1.35-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Wellington Phoenix
57%1.67
fair 1.75-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.70
Last 1050%10/20
Auckland clean sheet
23%
model chance
Wellington Phoenix clean sheet
24%
model chance
Auckland goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Wellington Phoenix goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Auckland corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Wellington Phoenix corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Auckland cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Wellington Phoenix cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%O3.5 9%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026AucklandWellington Phoenix
- 6
- League position
- 1
- DLW
- Last 5
- WW
- 1.33
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- 1.35
- xG for (L5)
- 1.70
- 3.06
- xG against (L5)
- 0.61
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
6
Auckland wins
0
Draws
0
Wellington Phoenix wins
Last 6 meetings
4.0
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
83%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Auckland in the last 5 meetings
WWWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Auckland
- Aaron CalverAnkle Injury
- Cameron HowiesonCalf Injury
- Oliver MiddletonCruciate Ligament Tear
- Oliver SailTorn Knee Ligaments
Wellington Phoenix
- Fin ConchieUnknown Injury
- Isaac HughesHamstring Injury
- Jayden SmithUnknown Injury
Key Players
A-League Men, this seasonAuckland
Top scorer
Lachlan Bayliss
2 goals
Most assists
Francis de Vries
2 assists
Best rated
Lachlan Bayliss
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael WoudGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Felipe GallegosMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.53 | – |
| Francis de VriesDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.74 | |
| Nando PijnakerDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Logan RogersonMidfielder | 3 (3) | 266 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.31 | |
| Hiroki SakaiDefender | 3 (3) | 262 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 7.07 | – |
| Lachlan BrookMidfielder | 3 (3) | 250 | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.87 | – |
| Jake BrimmerMidfielder | 3 (3) | 248 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.61 | – |
| Lachlan BaylissAttacker | 3 (3) | 241 | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 7.40 | – |
| Sam CosgroveAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.88 | |
| Luka VicelichDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.51 | – |
| Ronan WynneDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Jonty BidoisAttacker | 2 (1) | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.72 | – |
| Callan ElliotDefender | 3 (0) | 27 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Isa PrinsMidfielder | 2 (0) | 20 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
Wellington Phoenix
Top scorer
Corban Piper
2 goals
Most assists
Matt Sheridan
2 assists
Best rated
Bill Tuiloma
7.39
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt SheridanDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Kazuki NagasawaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.02 | – |
| Bill TuilomaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Max AndersonMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 7.14 | – |
| Henry GrayGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Lukas Kelly-HealdDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Bryce DukeMidfielder | 2 (2) | 174 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 7.07 | – |
| Corban PiperAttacker | 2 (2) | 174 | 2 | 0 | 0.53 | 7.34 | – |
| James McGarryDefender | 2 (2) | 152 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.91 | – |
| Rafael DuranAttacker | 2 (2) | 98 | 1 | 0 | 0.54 | 6.81 | – |
| Alex RuferMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.38 | – |
| Nathan WalkerAttacker | 2 (0) | 68 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.85 | – |
| Riley BidoisAttacker | 2 (0) | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 7.00 | – |
| Walter ScottDefender | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.57 | 2.29 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.60 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.89 | 1.95 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 1.02 |
More on Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix
- Auckland stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Wellington Phoenix stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- A-League Men (Australia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture