Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar – Match preview
Macarthur-:-
Brisbane RoarCampbelltown StadiumRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
45%
31%
MacarthurDraw 24%Brisbane Roar
First Half Result
34%
26%
MacarthurDraw 40%Brisbane Roar
Team to Score First
56%
39%
MacarthurNo goal 5%Brisbane Roar
Probability
Both Teams to Score
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
Macarthur Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Macarthur Over 1.5 Goals
48%
Brisbane Roar Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Macarthur Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Match Result
Macarthur
40%2.44
model 2.47-1%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
26%3.75
model 3.90-4%
Last 1035%7/20
Brisbane Roar
34%2.70
model 2.95-9%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Macarthur
54%1.79
model 1.84-2%
Last 1062%8/13
Brisbane Roar
46%1.98
model 2.20-10%
Last 1038%5/13
Double chance
Macarthur or draw
66%1.48
model 1.51-2%
Last 1075%15/20
Macarthur or Brisbane Roar
74%1.28
model 1.35-5%
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Brisbane Roar
60%1.57
model 1.68-7%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%Yes 1.61
Last 1080%16/20
Macarthur clean sheet
22%
model chance
Brisbane Roar clean sheet
22%
model chance
Macarthur goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Brisbane Roar goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 42% | 58% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Macarthur corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Brisbane Roar corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Macarthur cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Brisbane Roar cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milorad Stajić Brisbane Roar | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 80%4/5 | 75%6/8 | – |
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos Macarthur | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Tate Russell Brisbane Roar | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%3/5 | – |
T. Nara Macarthur | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ryan Fraser Macarthur | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Luke Vickery Macarthur | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Ryan Fraser Macarthur | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jonathan Aspropotamitis Macarthur | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ryan Fraser Macarthur | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Justin Vidic Brisbane Roar | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Tom Aldred Brisbane Roar | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jordan Lauton Brisbane Roar | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026MacarthurBrisbane Roar
- 3
- League position
- 4
- DDW
- Last 5
- DW
- 1.67
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- 1.26
- xG for (L5)
- 2.88
- 3.03
- xG against (L5)
- 1.61
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
6
Macarthur wins
2
Draws
3
Brisbane Roar wins
Last 11 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
82%
Both teams scored
73%
Over 2.5 goals
19 Dec 2025
Last meeting
Macarthur in the last 5 meetings
WLWDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Macarthur
- Connor PainUnknown Injury
- Harry PolitidisWrist Fracture
- Jing ReecUnknown Injury
- Kai KennedyUnknown Injury
- Will McKayUnknown Injury
Brisbane Roar
- Dimitrios ValkanisHamstring Injury
Key Players
A-League Men, this seasonMacarthur
Top scorer
Jonathan Aspropotamitis
1 goals
Most assists
Ryan Fraser
2 assists
Best rated
Ryan Fraser
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan PaullDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.58 | |
| T. NaraDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Jonathan AspropotamitisDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Liam RoseMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Callum TalbotDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Alex RobinsonGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Apostolos StamatelopoulosAttacker | 3 (3) | 216 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.73 | |
| Connor PainMidfielder | 3 (3) | 161 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.57 | – |
| Luke VickeryMidfielder | 3 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Ben GibsonAttacker | 3 (1) | 137 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.53 | |
| Dean BosnjakAttacker | 3 (2) | 133 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.50 | |
| Oliver RandazzoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Ryan FraserAttacker | 3 (0) | 109 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 7.45 | – |
| BernardoMidfielder | 2 (1) | 91 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.36 | – |
| Musa TouréAttacker | 3 (0) | 77 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.83 |
Brisbane Roar
Top scorer
Tae-hee Nam
1 goals
Most assists
Tate Russell
1 assists
Best rated
Tae-hee Nam
7.63
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. MaieroniMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.52 | |
| Tae-hee NamMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 7.63 | – |
| Joel KingDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | |
| Justin VidicAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | 0.71 | 7.37 | ×2 |
| Tom AldredDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.56 | – |
| Tate RussellMidfielder | 2 (2) | 170 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 7.28 | – |
| Tyrese FrancoisMidfielder | 2 (2) | 157 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.85 | – |
| S. NgorMidfielder | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 6.47 | |
| Milorad StajićDefender | 2 (2) | 140 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.94 | – |
| Virgiliu PostolachiAttacker | 2 (2) | 123 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 6.53 | – |
| Marko IlicAttacker | 2 (0) | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.69 | – |
| Nathan AmanatidisAttacker | 2 (0) | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.70 | |
| Hosine BilityDefender | 1 (0) | 25 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Emmett ShawMidfielder | 1 (0) | 15 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.97 | – |
| Emin DurakovicMidfielder | 1 (0) | 15 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.72 | 2.03 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.75 | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.83 | 2.03 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Betano.dk | 14.00 | 1.02 |
More on Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar
- Macarthur stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Brisbane Roar stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- A-League Men (Australia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture