Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners – Match preview
-:-
AAMI ParkRound 3
Match Result
Melbourne Victory
59%1.50
fair 1.70-11%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
22%4.50
fair 4.55-1%
Last 1040%8/20
Central Coast Mariners
19%5.50
fair 5.25+5%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Melbourne Victory
76%1.17
fair 1.32-11%
Last 1058%7/12
Central Coast Mariners
24%4.28
fair 4.10+4%
Last 1042%5/12
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw
81%1.13
fair 1.24-8%
Last 1075%15/20
Melbourne Victory or Central Coast Mariners
78%1.18
fair 1.28-8%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Central Coast Mariners
41%2.48
fair 2.44+2%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.2 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 36% | 64% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.66
Last 1065%13/20
Melbourne Victory clean sheet
26%
model chance
Central Coast Mariners clean sheet
19%
model chance
Melbourne Victory goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 23%
Central Coast Mariners goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Melbourne Victory corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 86%O4.5 73%O5.5 57%O6.5 41%O7.5 27%
Central Coast Mariners corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Melbourne Victory cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Central Coast Mariners cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L. Mauragis Central Coast Mariners | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 35% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -51% |
Jordi Valadon Melbourne Victory | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 41% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -41% |
Denis Genreau Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 40% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -43% |
F. Lino Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 38% | 40%2/5 | 50%4/8 | -45% |
Ali Auglah Central Coast Mariners | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 30% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +62% |
Ali Auglah Central Coast Mariners | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | 33% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +12% |
Denis Genreau Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.40 | 3.40 | 28% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -6% |
Jordi Valadon Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 39% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Charles Nduka Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.57 | 1.57 | 41% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -35% |
Denis Genreau Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 35% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -37% |
Charles Nduka Melbourne Victory | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.95 | 1.95 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -37% |
B. Brandtman Central Coast Mariners | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 30% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -37% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners
- 8
- League position
- 4
- L
- Last 5
- D
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 1
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Melbourne Victory wins
6
Draws
4
Central Coast Mariners wins
Last 14 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
36%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Melbourne Victory in the last 5 meetings
WLWDL
Key Players
A-League Men, this seasonMelbourne Victory
Top scorer
Charles Nduka
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Denis Genreau
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason DavidsonDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | – |
| Jordi ValadonMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | – |
| F. LinoDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
| Denis GenreauMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Joshua InserraDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.09 | – |
| Jack DuncanGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Charles NdukaAttacker | 1 (1) | 87 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Matthew GrimaldiMidfielder | 1 (1) | 74 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Guillermo MayAttacker | 1 (1) | 74 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Philipp ZiereisDefender | 1 (1) | 62 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | |
| ClarismarioMidfielder | 1 (1) | 62 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Keegan JelacicAttacker | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Tom LockyerDefender | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Mikey GhossainiAttacker | 1 (0) | 16 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Xavier StellaDefender | 1 (0) | 16 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | – |
Central Coast Mariners
Top scorer
Oliver Lavale
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
B. Brandtman
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew RedmayneGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| D. HerringtonDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Noah McCannDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| B. BrandtmanAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.26 | |
| L. MauragisDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Chris DonnellMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | – |
| Oliver LavaleAttacker | 1 (1) | 87 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Ali AuglahMidfielder | 1 (1) | 87 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.35 | |
| Storm RouxDefender | 1 (1) | 73 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| H. EamesMidfielder | 1 (1) | 54 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| A. De LimaMidfielder | 1 (0) | 36 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.59 | 2.35 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Betano.dk | 1.11 | 11.25 |