Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix – Match preview
Newcastle Jets-:-
Wellington PhoenixMcDonald Jones StadiumRound 3
Match Result
Newcastle Jets
47%2.00
fair 2.11-5%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
25%3.80
fair 4.03-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Wellington Phoenix
28%3.25
fair 3.61-10%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Newcastle Jets
63%1.47
fair 1.58-7%
Last 1043%6/14
Wellington Phoenix
37%2.39
fair 2.71-12%
Last 1057%8/14
Double chance
Newcastle Jets or draw
72%1.31
fair 1.38-5%
Last 1060%12/20
Newcastle Jets or Wellington Phoenix
75%1.24
fair 1.33-7%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Wellington Phoenix
53%1.75
fair 1.90-8%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.2 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%Yes 1.50
Last 1065%13/20
Newcastle Jets clean sheet
25%
model chance
Wellington Phoenix clean sheet
20%
model chance
Newcastle Jets goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Wellington Phoenix goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 10.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Newcastle Jets corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Wellington Phoenix corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Newcastle Jets cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Wellington Phoenix cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joel Bertolissio Newcastle Jets | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | 38% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -34% |
Rafael Duran Wellington Phoenix | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 51% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -33% |
Kazuki Nagasawa Wellington Phoenix | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 29% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -40% |
Corban Piper Wellington Phoenix | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 37% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | +5% |
James McGarry Wellington Phoenix | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62 | 2.62 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -16% |
Rafael Duran Wellington Phoenix | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 54% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -18% |
Max Anderson Wellington Phoenix | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 49% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -29% |
Daniel Wilmering Newcastle Jets | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 22% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -32% |
James McGarry Wellington Phoenix | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.20 | 2.20 | 26% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -43% |
Daniel Wilmering Newcastle Jets | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 37% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -46% |
Will Dobson Newcastle Jets | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 34% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -50% |
Corban Piper Wellington Phoenix | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.00 | 5.00 | 27% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +37% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
- 4
- League position
- 2
- D
- Last 5
- W
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
7
Newcastle Jets wins
1
Draws
5
Wellington Phoenix wins
Last 13 meetings
3.2
Goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
77%
Over 2.5 goals
23 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Newcastle Jets in the last 5 meetings
WWLLW
Key Players
A-League Men, this seasonNewcastle Jets
Top scorer
P. Wood
1 goals
Most assists
J. Shaughnessy
1 assists
Best rated
Max Burgess
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas AquilinaDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
| Joel BertolissioDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Daniel WilmeringDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Max BurgessMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.35 | |
| James DelianovGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Xavier BertoncelloMidfielder | 1 (1) | 85 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Joe LolleyMidfielder | 1 (1) | 74 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.89 | – |
| P. WoodAttacker | 1 (1) | 74 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| J. ShaughnessyDefender | 1 (1) | 66 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Will DobsonMidfielder | 1 (1) | 63 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | |
| Zane SchreiberMidfielder | 1 (0) | 27 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Zach CloughMidfielder | 1 (0) | 27 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Nikos VergosAttacker | 1 (0) | 16 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Ethan DebonoAttacker | 1 (0) | 5 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
Wellington Phoenix
Top scorer
Corban Piper
1 goals
Most assists
Matt Sheridan
1 assists
Best rated
Corban Piper
7.70
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max AndersonMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Kazuki NagasawaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Bill TuilomaDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Bryce DukeAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.34 | – |
| Henry GrayGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Corban PiperAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.70 | – |
| Lukas Kelly-HealdDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Matt SheridanDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Nathan WalkerAttacker | 1 (0) | 62 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.18 | – |
| James McGarryDefender | 1 (1) | 62 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Rafael DuranAttacker | 1 (1) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | – |
| Walter ScottDefender | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Riley BidoisAttacker | 1 (0) | 13 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.29 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.40 | 1.52 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.45 | 1.55 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.37 | 1.53 |
| Betano.dk | 1.01 | 1.55 |