Sturm Graz vs Ried – Match preview
Sturm Graz-:-
RiedMerkur ArenaRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
75%
10%
Sturm GrazDraw 15%Ried
Bookmaker implied
55%
22%
Sturm GrazDraw 23%Ried
2.7 – 0.9
Expected score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Sturm Graz
52%–
fair 1.91–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.98–
Last 1025%5/20
Ried
22%–
fair 4.45–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz
70%–
fair 1.43–
Last 1060%9/15
Ried
30%–
fair 3.33–
Last 1040%6/15
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw
78%–
fair 1.29–
Last 1070%14/20
Sturm Graz or Ried
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Ried
48%–
fair 2.10–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1060%12/20
Sturm Graz clean sheet
28%
model chance
Ried clean sheet
19%
model chance
Sturm Graz goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Ried goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Sturm Graz corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Ried corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cards · Referee Safak Barmaksiz (4.9 cards a match, ×1.05)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Sturm Graz cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Ried cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 46%O3.5 24%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Sturm GrazRied
- 4
- League position
- 5
- WWLWL
- Last 5
- WWWDL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
6
Sturm Graz wins
1
Draws
0
Ried wins
Last 7 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Sturm Graz in the last 5 meetings
WWWDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Sturm Graz
- Albert VallciKnock
- Daniil KhudyakovLower Leg Fracture
- Emran SogloHamstring Injury
- Filip RózgaMuscle Injury
- Gizo MamageishviliFoot Injury
- Leon GrgicCruciate Ligament Tear
- Nelson WeiperInflammation Of Pubic Bone
- Otar KiteishviliCalf Injury
- Seedy JattaShoulder Injury
Ried
No reported absences
Confirmed Line-ups
Sturm Graz
3-4-2-1- 22Ammar HelacGoalkeeper
- 23Arjan MalicDefender
- 2Joshua QuarshieDefender
- 30Paul KollerDefender
- 28Jürgen HeilDefender
- 39Luca WeinhandlMidfielder
- 4Jon Gorenc StankovicMidfielder
- 27Luis BalboDefender
- 78Valmir MatoshiMidfielder
- 19Simon SeidlMidfielder
- 14Oumar DiakitéAttacker
Ried
4-3-3- 1Andreas LeitnerGoalkeeper
- 18Fabian Hubert RossdorferMidfielder
- 28Samuel ChukwudiDefender
- 30Oliver SteurerDefender
- 17Philipp PomerMidfielder
- 8Martin RasnerMidfielder
- 6Yusuf MaartMidfielder
- 22Stefan SchwabMidfielder
- 12Ante BajicMidfielder
- 47Evan Eghosa AisowierenAttacker
- 11Jaedin RhodesMidfielder
Key Players
Admiral Bundesliga, this seasonSturm Graz
Top scorer
Oumar Diakité
6 goals
Most assists
Simon Seidl
8 assists
Best rated
Oumar Diakité
7.83
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Gorenc StankovicMidfielder | 9 (9) | 786 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Jürgen HeilDefender | 8 (8) | 701 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×3 |
| Jacob Peter HödlMidfielder | 9 (8) | 685 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Simon SeidlMidfielder | 9 (8) | 655 | 0 | 8 | – | 7.27 | |
| Luca WeinhandlMidfielder | 8 (7) | 619 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Albert VallciDefender | 7 (6) | 571 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Daniil KhudyakovGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 518 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Paul KollerDefender | 7 (5) | 457 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Arjan MalicDefender | 5 (4) | 356 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.20 | – |
| Seedy JattaAttacker | 6 (4) | 356 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Valmir MatoshiMidfielder | 5 (4) | 351 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Joshua QuarshieDefender | 5 (4) | 338 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Luís BalboDefender | 7 (3) | 303 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Emran SogloDefender | 5 (4) | 297 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Szymon WlodarczykAttacker | 5 (3) | 243 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
Ried
Top scorer
Stefan Schwab
4 goals
Most assists
Ante Bajic
3 assists
Best rated
Yussef Nasrawe
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel ChukwudiDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Andreas LeitnerGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Oliver SteurerDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | |
| Yusuf MaartMidfielder | 9 (9) | 805 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.06 | |
| Ante BajicMidfielder | 9 (9) | 793 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.12 | |
| Stefan SchwabMidfielder | 9 (9) | 746 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.02 | ×3 |
| Evan EghosaAttacker | 9 (8) | 561 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Lukas MalicsekDefender | 9 (5) | 495 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | ×2 |
| Oliver SorgDefender | 7 (5) | 409 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Philipp PomerDefender | 5 (4) | 397 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.13 | – |
| J. RhodesAttacker | 6 (5) | 382 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Martin RasnerMidfielder | 9 (4) | 370 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | |
| Yussef NasraweMidfielder | 5 (5) | 347 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Niama Pape SissokoAttacker | 7 (4) | 314 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Dejan RadonjicDefender | 6 (3) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
Referee
Safak Barmaksiz
Referee · Austria
- Cards per game
- 4.88
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.50
- Red cards per game
- 0.38
- Fouls per game
- 18.9
- Penalties per game
- 0.25
- Home wins
- 38%
Averages across 8 completed matches officiated by Safak Barmaksiz in our database.