Sturm Graz vs Salzburg – Match preview
Sturm Graz-:-
SalzburgMerkur ArenaRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
24%
46%
Sturm GrazDraw 30%Salzburg
Bookmaker implied
29%
47%
Sturm GrazDraw 24%Salzburg
0.8 – 1.2
Expected score
32%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
26%
49%
Sturm GrazDraw 25%Salzburg
First Half Result
21%
43%
Sturm GrazDraw 36%Salzburg
Team to Score First
32%
61%
Sturm GrazNo goal 7%Salzburg
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Sturm Graz Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Sturm Graz Over 1.5 Goals
29%
Salzburg Over 0.5 Goals
77%
Sturm Graz Over 0.5 Goals
61%
Match Result
Sturm Graz
32%3.02
model 3.10-2%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
24%4.15
model 4.160%
Last 1030%6/20
Salzburg
44%2.10
model 2.29-8%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Sturm Graz
43%2.29
model 2.35-3%
Last 1036%5/14
Salzburg
57%1.59
model 1.74-9%
Last 1064%9/14
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw
56%1.75
model 1.78-1%
Last 1055%11/20
Sturm Graz or Salzburg
76%1.24
model 1.32-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Salzburg
68%1.39
model 1.48-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%Yes 1.44
Last 1050%10/20
Sturm Graz clean sheet
18%
model chance
Salzburg clean sheet
27%
model chance
Sturm Graz goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Salzburg goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Sturm Graz corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Salzburg corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Sturm Graz cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Salzburg cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Sturm GrazSalzburg
- 4
- League position
- 2
- DWWLW
- Last 5
- WWDWD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- 2.08
- xG for (L5)
- 1.91
- 1.64
- xG against (L5)
- 1.05
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
17
Sturm Graz wins
23
Draws
45
Salzburg wins
Last 85 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
59%
Over 2.5 goals
20 Sept 2026
Last meeting
Sturm Graz in the last 5 meetings
LDDDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Sturm Graz
- Daniil KhudyakovLower Leg Fracture
- Emran SogloHamstring Injury
- Filip RózgaMuscle Injury
- Gizo MamageishviliFoot Injury
- Jürgen HeilMuscular problems
- Leon GrgicCruciate Ligament Tear
- Nelson WeiperInflammation Of Pubic Bone
- Otar KiteishviliCalf Injury
- Seedy JattaShoulder Injury
Salzburg
- Damir RedzicMuscular problems
- Dominik SchmidKnee Injury
- Enrique AguilarHamstring Injury
- John MellbergHamstring Injury
- Justin OmoregieAnkle Injury
- Leandro MorgallaMuscular problems
- Nikolas VeratschnigCollateral Ligament Injury
- Sota KitanoAnkle Ligament Tear
Key Players
Admiral Bundesliga, this seasonSturm Graz
Top scorer
Oumar Diakité
6 goals
Most assists
Simon Seidl
8 assists
Best rated
Oumar Diakité
7.62
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Gorenc StankovicMidfielder | 10 (10) | 864 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Jacob Peter HödlMidfielder | 10 (9) | 778 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.54 | |
| Simon SeidlMidfielder | 10 (9) | 722 | 1 | 8 | 0.17 | 7.38 | |
| Luca WeinhandlMidfielder | 9 (8) | 712 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Jürgen HeilDefender | 8 (8) | 701 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×3 |
| Albert VallciDefender | 7 (6) | 571 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Paul KollerDefender | 8 (6) | 550 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.70 | |
| Daniil KhudyakovGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 518 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Valmir MatoshiAttacker | 6 (5) | 440 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Joshua QuarshieDefender | 6 (5) | 431 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.62 | – |
| Arjan MalicDefender | 6 (5) | 403 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.87 | |
| Luís BalboDefender | 8 (4) | 370 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.65 | |
| Seedy JattaAttacker | 6 (4) | 356 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Ammar HelacGoalkeeper | 4 (3) | 335 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Emran SogloDefender | 5 (4) | 297 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 |
Salzburg
Top scorer
Haris Tabakovic
7 goals
Most assists
Sota Kitano
4 assists
Best rated
Soumaïla Diabaté
8.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian ZawieschitzkyGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Kévin BomaDefender | 9 (9) | 800 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.42 | |
| Abubakr BarryMidfielder | 10 (9) | 787 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.99 | ×3 |
| Dominik SchmidDefender | 9 (8) | 742 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.28 | |
| Valentin ZabranskyDefender | 8 (7) | 663 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | – |
| Bartosz MazurekMidfielder | 10 (7) | 656 | 1 | 3 | 0.39 | 7.19 | – |
| Haris TabakovicAttacker | 9 (7) | 604 | 7 | 0 | 0.74 | 7.28 | – |
| Nikolas VeratschnigDefender | 7 (6) | 583 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.62 | |
| Sota KitanoMidfielder | 9 (6) | 528 | 1 | 4 | 0.70 | 6.93 | |
| Yorbe VertessenAttacker | 10 (6) | 472 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Edmund BaidooMidfielder | 8 (5) | 417 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Damir RedzicMidfielder | 8 (5) | 413 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Tim DrexlerDefender | 6 (4) | 394 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Karim KonatéAttacker | 8 (4) | 383 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Frans KrätzigDefender | 5 (3) | 262 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.51 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.20 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.99 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| Betano.dk | 1.02 | 11.00 |
More on Sturm Graz vs Salzburg
- Sturm Graz stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Salzburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Admiral Bundesliga (Austria) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture