Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa – Match preview
Al Ahli-:-
Al GharafaAlinma StadiumRound 3
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
47%
23%
Al AhliDraw 30%Al Gharafa
1.2 – 0.8
Expected score
31%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Al Ahli
64%–
fair 1.56–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw
21%–
fair 4.84–
Last 1020%4/20
Al Gharafa
15%–
fair 6.64–
Last 1010%2/20
Draw no bet
Al Ahli
81%–
fair 1.23–
Last 1088%14/16
Al Gharafa
19%–
fair 5.26–
Last 1013%2/16
Double chance
Al Ahli or draw
85%–
fair 1.18–
Last 1090%18/20
Al Ahli or Al Gharafa
79%–
fair 1.26–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Al Gharafa
36%–
fair 2.80–
Last 1030%6/20
Expected goals 2.3–1.0 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1060%12/20
Al Ahli clean sheet
32%
model chance
Al Gharafa clean sheet
13%
model chance
Al Ahli goals
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%
Al Gharafa goals
O0.5 68%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Al Ahli corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 49%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Al Gharafa corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Al Ahli cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Al Gharafa cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Al AhliAl Gharafa
- 12
- League position
- 26
- WD
- Last 5
- LL
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.00
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Al Ahli wins
0
Draws
0
Al Gharafa wins
Last 2 meetings
5.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
20 Oct 2025
Last meeting
Al Ahli in the last 2 meetings
WW
Injuries & Suspensions
Al Ahli
- Abubacarr Sedi KintehUnknown Injury
- Mohammed AbdulrahmanRed Card Suspension
- Zakaria HawsawiPartial Damage To The Cruciate Ligament
Al Gharafa
No reported absences
Key Players
AFC Champions League Elite, this seasonAl Ahli
Top scorer
Firas Al-Buraikan
2 goals
Most assists
Merih Demiral
1 assists
Best rated
Francisco Trincão
8.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed BaattiaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Saad BalobaidDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Saleh Abu Al-ShamatMidfielder | 2 (2) | 165 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.55 | |
| Merih DemiralDefender | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Ivan ToneyAttacker | 2 (2) | 127 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Valentin AtanganaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 118 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Eduard SpertsyanMidfielder | 2 (1) | 112 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Francisco TrincãoMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 1 | – | 8.15 | – |
| Rayan HamedDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Roger IbañezDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.48 | – |
| Edouard MendyGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Matheus GonçalvesAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.82 | – |
| Abdulrahman Al-SanbiGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.82 | – |
| Ibrahima DiabyMidfielder | 2 (1) | 84 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | |
| GalenoMidfielder | 1 (1) | 53 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | – |
Al Gharafa
Top scorer
Ferjani Sassi
1 goals
Most assists
Ayoub Al-Oui
1 assists
Best rated
Adam Ounas
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmed KoneGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Ayoub Al-OuiDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.29 | – |
| Ferjani SassiMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Saifeldeen FadlallaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Fabricio DíazMidfielder | 2 (2) | 172 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Seydou SanoDefender | 2 (2) | 165 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Adam OunasAttacker | 2 (2) | 159 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Frank MagriAttacker | 2 (2) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Abdulrahman Faiz Al RashidiMidfielder | 2 (2) | 137 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | – |
| Hyun Soo JangDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Yacine BrahimiAttacker | 1 (1) | 80 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Hassan AladinAttacker | 2 (0) | 65 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Dame TraoreDefender | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.19 | – |
| Florinel ComanAttacker | 2 (0) | 43 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Ismaël BennacerAttacker | 1 (1) | 33 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.19 |