Guinea vs Eritrea – Match preview
Guinea-:-
EritreaRound 3
Match Result
Guinea
48%–
model 2.11–
Last 1038%3/8
Draw
26%–
model 3.86–
Last 1025%2/8
Eritrea
27%–
model 3.77–
Last 1038%3/8
Draw no bet
Guinea
64%–
model 1.56–
Last 1050%3/6
Eritrea
36%–
model 2.79–
Last 1050%3/6
Double chance
Guinea or draw
73%–
model 1.36–
Last 1063%5/8
Guinea or Eritrea
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1075%6/8
Draw or Eritrea
53%–
model 1.90–
Last 1063%5/8
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%8/8 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 88%7/8 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 63%5/8 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%2/8 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1063%5/8
Guinea clean sheet
26%
model chance
Eritrea clean sheet
21%
model chance
Guinea goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Eritrea goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%6/8 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 63%5/8 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 38%3/8 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 25%2/8 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
Guinea corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 15%
Eritrea corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 57%4/7 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 29%2/7 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 0%0/7 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 0%0/7 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/7 | – |
Guinea cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Eritrea cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026GuineaEritrea
- 25
- League position
- 2
- WL
- Last 5
- LDWW
- 1.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.75
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Injuries & Suspensions
Guinea
- Abdoul Karim TraoréMinor Knock
Eritrea
No reported absences
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonGuinea
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Seydouba Cissé
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sekou SyllaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Serhou GuirassyAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Ibrahima FofanaDefender | 2 (2) | 153 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Abdoul Karim TraoréAttacker | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Aliou BaldéAttacker | 2 (2) | 150 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Seydouba CisséMidfielder | 2 (2) | 145 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| A. KeitaDefender | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Mohamed SoumahDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Saïdou SowDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | – |
| Soumaïla SyllaGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Mohamed CamaraGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Yadaly DiabyMidfielder | 1 (1) | 83 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Ilaix MoribaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 63 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Lass KouroumaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Aguibou CamaraMidfielder | 2 (0) | 45 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
Eritrea
Top scorer
Nahom Girmai Netabay
1 goals
Most assists
Ali Sulieman
1 assists
Best rated
Nahom Girmai Netabay
6.91
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali SuliemanAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Nahom Girmai NetabayMidfielder | 2 (2) | 167 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Tesfaldet TekieMidfielder | 2 (2) | 157 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | – |
| Jonas IdrisDefender | 2 (2) | 148 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | – |
| Filimon GerezgiherMidfielder | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| N. EmbayeDefender | 2 (2) | 135 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Hennos AsmelashDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.83 | – |
| Victor ForsDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Ablelom TeklezgiMidfielder | 1 (1) | 76 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Maill LundgrenAttacker | 2 (0) | 44 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.65 | 2.06 |
More on Guinea vs Eritrea
- Guinea stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eritrea stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture