Zambia vs Burundi – Match preview
Zambia-:-
BurundiLevy Mwanawasa StadiumRound 3
Predictions
Full Time Result
52%
21%
ZambiaDraw 27%Burundi
First Half Result
38%
17%
ZambiaDraw 45%Burundi
Team to Score First
59%
31%
ZambiaNo goal 10%Burundi
Probability
Both Teams to Score
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
Zambia Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Zambia Over 1.5 Goals
43%
Burundi Over 0.5 Goals
52%
Zambia Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Match Result
Zambia
35%–
model 2.88–
Last 1038%5/13
Draw
29%–
model 3.49–
Last 1023%3/13
Burundi
37%–
model 2.73–
Last 1038%5/13
Draw no bet
Zambia
49%–
model 2.06–
Last 1050%5/10
Burundi
51%–
model 1.95–
Last 1050%5/10
Double chance
Zambia or draw
63%–
model 1.58–
Last 1062%8/13
Zambia or Burundi
71%–
model 1.40–
Last 1077%10/13
Draw or Burundi
65%–
model 1.53–
Last 1062%8/13
Expected goals 1.3–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 92%12/13 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 62%8/13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 38%5/13 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 31%4/13 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 0%0/13 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1023%3/13
Zambia clean sheet
23%
model chance
Burundi clean sheet
31%
model chance
Zambia goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Burundi goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 82%9/11 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 64%7/11 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 64%7/11 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 36%4/11 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 27%3/11 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 18%2/11 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 9%1/11 | – |
Zambia corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Burundi corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 73%8/11 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 36%4/11 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 18%2/11 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 9%1/11 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/11 | – |
Zambia cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Burundi cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%O3.5 8%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026ZambiaBurundi
- 24
- League position
- 1
- WL
- Last 5
- DLWW
- 1.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.75
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonZambia
Top scorer
Fashion Sakala
1 goals
Most assists
Fashion Sakala
1 assists
Best rated
Albert Kangwanda
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David HamansenyaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Willard MwanzaGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.15 | – |
| Dominic ChandaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Fashion SakalaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 163 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Mathews BandaDefender | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.47 | |
| Albert KangwandaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 158 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Kingstone MutandwaAttacker | 2 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Joseph LitetaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 134 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Miguel ChaiwaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 124 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| David SimukondaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 108 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Owen TemboMidfielder | 2 (0) | 56 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×2 |
| Lameck BandaMidfielder | 2 (0) | 48 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Patson DakaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Obino ChisalaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Ghampani LunguAttacker | 2 (0) | 39 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
Burundi
Top scorer
Jean Claude Girumugisha
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Jean Claude Girumugisha
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akbar MuderiDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Frédéric NsabiyumvaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Christophe NduwarugiraDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Youssouf NdayishimiyeMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Jonathan NahimanaGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | – |
| Jean Claude GirumugishaAttacker | 2 (2) | 173 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Mokono EldhinoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 150 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Bienvenue KanakimanaAttacker | 2 (1) | 129 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | – |
| Henry MsangaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 104 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Omar MoussaDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Bonfils-Caleb BimenyimanaAttacker | 2 (1) | 86 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Saidi NtibazonkizaAttacker | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Mohamed AmissiAttacker | 2 (0) | 23 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Cédric AmissiMidfielder | 1 (0) | 14 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Emanuel SwediMidfielder | 1 (0) | 5 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 2.48 | 1.45 |
More on Zambia vs Burundi
- Zambia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Burundi stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture