Kalmar vs Sirius – Match preview
Kalmar-:-
SiriusGuldfågeln ArenaRound 28
Match Preview
Updated 06 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
9%
77%
KalmarDraw 14%Sirius
Bookmaker implied
32%
41%
KalmarDraw 27%Sirius
0.8 – 2.7
Expected score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
27%
49%
KalmarDraw 24%Sirius
First Half Result
27%
33%
KalmarDraw 40%Sirius
Team to Score First
45%
50%
KalmarNo goal 5%Sirius
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
Kalmar Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Kalmar Over 1.5 Goals
32%
Sirius Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Kalmar Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Match Result
Kalmar
31%3.00
model 3.20-6%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
27%3.55
model 3.65-3%
Last 1015%3/20
Sirius
41%2.27
model 2.42-6%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Kalmar
43%2.15
model 2.32-7%
Last 1029%5/17
Sirius
57%1.63
model 1.76-7%
Last 1071%12/17
Double chance
Kalmar or draw
59%1.63
model 1.71-4%
Last 1040%8/20
Kalmar or Sirius
73%1.29
model 1.38-6%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Sirius
69%1.38
model 1.45-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.2–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 1.23 / 4.02 | 50%10/20 | -8% / +1% |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | 1.76 / 2.04 | 35%7/20 | -11% / 0% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | 2.82 / 1.40 | 10%2/20 | -16% / -2% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | 5.24 / 1.15 | 5%1/20 | -21% / -2% |
Both teams to score
54%Yes 1.66
Last 1020%4/20
Kalmar clean sheet
22%
model chance
Sirius clean sheet
34%
model chance
Kalmar goals
O0.5 66%O1.5 29%O2.5 9%
Sirius goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 63% | 37% | 1.55 / 2.33 | 70%14/20 | -3% / -13% |
| Over/under 10.5main | 52% | 48% | 1.88 / 1.90 | 55%11/20 | -3% / -8% |
| Over/under 11.5 | 41% | 59% | 2.33 / 1.55 | 40%8/20 | -5% / -8% |
| Over/under 12.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Kalmar corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Sirius corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 82%O4.5 68%O5.5 51%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Cards
Expected 2.9 match cards · Referee Mohammed Al Hakim (3.3 cards a match, ×0.85)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 3% | 97% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Kalmar cards
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%O3.5 5%
Sirius cards
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%O3.5 7%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Melker Heier Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 3.00 | 3.00 | 19% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -42% |
Marcus Lindberg Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.00 | 6.00 | 18% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | +5% |
Tobias Anker Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 3.25 | 3.25 | 17% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -46% |
L. Sætra Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 5.50 | 5.50 | 16% | 0%0/5 | 10%1/10 | -11% |
Oscar Krusnell Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 4.75 | 4.75 | 15% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -27% |
C. Gustafsson Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.00 | 6.00 | 15% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -10% |
Victor Svensson Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 4.00 | 4.00 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | -43% |
Simon Sandberg Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 7.00 | 7.00 | 14% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -1% |
Jesper Löfgren Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 4.75 | 4.75 | 14% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/9 | -34% |
R. Gojani Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 4.33 | 4.33 | 14% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -42% |
Joakim Persson Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 7.50 | 7.50 | 13% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -6% |
Miska Ylitolva Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 5.50 | 5.50 | 12% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | -31% |
Victor Larsson Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.50 | 6.50 | 12% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -21% |
Kasper Paananen Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.50 | 6.50 | 12% | 0%0/5 | 20%2/10 | -24% |
A. Keita Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 4.75 | 4.75 | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -51% |
Henrik Castegren Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 3.60 | 3.60 | 10% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -63% |
Zalán Vancsa Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.00 | 6.00 | 8% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -51% |
Isak Bjerkebo Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 8.50 | 8.50 | 7% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -42% |
Charles Sagoe Jr Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.00 | 6.00 | 6% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -64% |
David Celic Sirius | Over 0.5 Booked · 8.50 | 8.50 | 6% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -52% |
S. Brolin Kalmar | Over 0.5 Booked · 8.50 | 8.50 | 4% | 0%0/5 | 0%0/10 | -69% |
Jesper Uneken Sirius · not in XI | Over 0.5 Booked · 4.75 | 4.75 | – | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | – |
Malcolm Stolt Kalmar · not in XI | Over 0.5 Booked · 5.50 | 5.50 | – | 20%1/5 | 14%1/7 | – |
Alexander Almqvist Kalmar · not in XI | Over 0.5 Booked · 6.00 | 6.00 | – | 0%0/5 | 11%1/9 | – |
Player Probabilities
Updated 06 Nov 2026Based on each starter's last 20–40 games across all competitions, adjusted for the opponent, home or away, and the referee for fouls and cards. Starters only; hover a figure for the expected count.
Kalmar
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Brolin GK | – | – | 2% | 13% | – | 4% |
L. Sætra DEF | 34% | 12% | 53% | 35% | 18% | 16% |
Jesper Löfgren DEF | 41% | 11% | 57% | 29% | 29% | 14% |
A. Keita DEF | 48% | 18% | 49% | 49% | 32% | 10% |
Victor Larsson DEF | 41% | 14% | 67% | 45% | 48% | 12% |
Miska Ylitolva DEF | 50% | 14% | 51% | 63% | 39% | 12% |
R. Gojani MID | 57% | 21% | 60% | 46% | 39% | 14% |
C. Gustafsson MID | 65% | 29% | 73% | 79% | 61% | 15% |
Kasper Paananen MID | 87% | 57% | 59% | 60% | 16% | 12% |
Charles Sagoe Jr FWD | 84% 2+ 58% | 41% | 50% | 81% | 40% | 6% |
Amara Camara FWDlimited data | 91% 2+ 71% | 53% | 58% | 80% | 27% | 13% |
Sirius
Predicted line-up| Player | Shot | On target | Foul | Fouled | 2+ tackles | Booked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
David Celic GK | – | – | 2% | 16% | – | 6% |
Simon Sandberg DEF | 27% | 6% | 47% | 32% | 30% | 14% |
Henrik Castegren DEF | 63% | 37% | 62% | 38% | 49% | 10% |
Oscar Krusnell DEF | 37% | 9% | 65% | 53% | 61% | 15% |
Tobias Anker DEF | 45% | 18% | 68% | 42% | 29% | 17% |
Marcus Lindberg MID | 61% | 27% | 74% | 74% | 78% | 18% |
Joakim Persson MID | 85% | 47% | 66% | 68% | 36% | 13% |
Melker Heier MID | 58% | 16% | 76% | 67% | 45% | 19% |
Zalán Vancsa MID | 76% | 37% | 37% | 54% | 26% | 8% |
Isak Bjerkebo MID | 92% | 69% | 37% | 41% | 28% | 7% |
Victor Svensson MID | 65% | 28% | 75% | 74% | 48% | 14% |
Form Guide
Updated 06 Nov 2026KalmarSirius
- 13
- League position
- 1
- DLLWL
- Last 5
- WLLDW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 2.83
- xG for (L5)
- 7.26
- 2.79
- xG against (L5)
- 4.32
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Kalmar wins
7
Draws
7
Sirius wins
Last 17 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
65%
Both teams scored
59%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Kalmar in the last 5 meetings
LLLLD
Confirmed Line-ups
Kalmar
3-4-3- 1S. BrolinGoalkeeper
- 4Jesper LöfgrenDefender
- 39L. SætraDefender
- 47A. KeitaDefender
- 26Miska YlitolvaDefender
- 23R. GojaniMidfielder
- 17C. GustafssonMidfielder
- 2Victor LarssonDefender
- 13Amara CamaraAttacker
- 11Kasper PaananenMidfielder
- 24Charles Sagoe JrAttacker
Sirius
4-2-3-1- 34David CelicGoalkeeper
- 5Henrik CastegrenDefender
- 15Simon SandbergDefender
- 4Tobias AnkerDefender
- 22Oscar KrusnellDefender
- 10Melker HeierMidfielder
- 6Marcus LindbergMidfielder
- 7Joakim PerssonMidfielder
- 24Victor SvenssonMidfielder
- 30Zalán VancsaMidfielder
- 11Isak BjerkeboMidfielder
Key Players
Allsvenskan, this seasonKalmar
Top scorer
C. Rosenquist
7 goals
Most assists
Charles Sagoe Jr
8 assists
Best rated
C. Gustafsson
7.13
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sagoe JrMidfielder | 27 (27) | 2305 | 3 | 8 | 0.20 | 7.03 | – |
| Victor LarssonDefender | 25 (25) | 2065 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| S. BrolinGoalkeeper | 20 (20) | 1800 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| L. SætraDefender | 23 (19) | 1764 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.73 | ×4 |
| R. GojaniMidfielder | 22 (19) | 1708 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.85 | |
| C. RosenquistMidfielder | 19 (19) | 1623 | 7 | 2 | 0.36 | 6.82 | ×2 |
| M. HallbergMidfielder | 25 (18) | 1485 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| C. GustafssonMidfielder | 18 (16) | 1475 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Marius SöderbäckMidfielder | 25 (17) | 1412 | 1 | 3 | 0.10 | 6.74 | |
| R. JanssonDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 3 | 3 | 0.52 | 7.06 | |
| N. ChourakMidfielder | 20 (11) | 1121 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| A. MagashyMidfielder | 20 (12) | 938 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 6.55 | |
| Achraf DariDefender | 9 (9) | 748 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Jesper LöfgrenDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.84 | – |
| Miska YlitolvaDefender | 8 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.76 | ×2 |
Sirius
Top scorer
Isak Bjerkebo
15 goals
Most assists
Isak Bjerkebo
11 assists
Best rated
Robbie Ure
7.71
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David CelicGoalkeeper | 27 (27) | 2430 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Isak BjerkeboAttacker | 27 (27) | 2373 | 15 | 11 | 2.12 | 7.36 | – |
| Marcus LindbergMidfielder | 26 (26) | 2338 | 2 | 8 | 0.10 | 7.31 | ×4 |
| Oscar KrusnellDefender | 26 (26) | 2299 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 7.13 | ×4 |
| Melker HeierMidfielder | 26 (26) | 2284 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 6.92 | ×5 |
| Henrik CastegrenDefender | 25 (25) | 2250 | 3 | 0 | 0.33 | 7.02 | – |
| Tobias AnkerDefender | 24 (24) | 2150 | 2 | 2 | 0.76 | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Mohamed SoumahDefender | 22 (21) | 1882 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×6 |
| Victor SvenssonMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1641 | 3 | 4 | 0.21 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Robbie UreAttacker | 15 (15) | 1346 | 15 | 2 | 1.20 | 7.71 | – |
| Joakim PerssonAttacker | 17 (8) | 884 | 4 | 3 | 2.69 | 6.91 | |
| Neo JönssonAttacker | 18 (8) | 801 | 2 | 3 | 0.13 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Victor EkstromDefender | 12 (7) | 670 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Charlie NildénMidfielder | 21 (6) | 668 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Odera Samuel AdinduAttacker | 17 (7) | 600 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 6.72 |
Referee
Mohammed Al Hakim
Referee · Sweden
- Cards per game
- 3.12
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.00
- Red cards per game
- 0.12
- Fouls per game
- 23.5
- Penalties per game
- 0.10
- Home wins
- 44%
Averages across 50 completed matches officiated by Mohammed Al Hakim in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 8.20 | 1.02 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.41 | 2.62 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.55 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.82 | 2.03 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.81 | 1.97 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.84 | 2.04 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.02 | 8.20 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.14 | 1.65 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 3.91 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.80 | 2.04 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 23.00 | 1.01 |
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| Betano.dk | 11.50 | 1.02 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Betinia | 1.71 | 1.96 |
| Betsonic | 1.71 | 1.96 |
| BetVictor | 2.46 | 1.02 |
| Campobet | 1.71 | 1.96 |
| Marathonbet | 9.00 | 1.01 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 1.49 |
| Sbo | 2.00 | 1.82 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.50 | 26.00 | 5.60 | 5.45 | 5.05 | 7.30 | 32.00 | 14.20 | 3.34 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 26.00 | 5.45 | 5.50 | 5.05 | 7.30 | 32.00 | 14.25 | 3.34 |
| Sbo | 13.00 | 20.20 | 5.70 | 5.70 | 4.62 | 6.66 | 24.04 | 12.52 | 3.55 |
More on Kalmar vs Sirius
- Kalmar stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Sirius stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Allsvenskan (Sweden) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture