Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart – Match preview

Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 15:30

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

-:-

VfB Stuttgart

BayArenaRound 8

Match Preview

Updated 21 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

85%

Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 13%VfB Stuttgart

Bookmaker implied

53%

25%

Bayer 04 LeverkusenDraw 22%VfB Stuttgart

2.3 – 0.2

Expected score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

Both teams to score

Match Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

53%1.78

fair 1.89-6%

Last 1060%12/20

Draw

23%4.35

fair 4.44-2%

Last 1010%2/20

VfB Stuttgart

25%3.79

fair 4.06-7%

Last 1030%6/20

Draw no bet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

68%1.37

fair 1.47-7%

Last 1067%12/18

VfB Stuttgart

32%2.92

fair 3.15-7%

Last 1033%6/18

Double chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw

75%1.26

fair 1.33-5%

Last 1070%14/20

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or VfB Stuttgart

78%1.21

fair 1.29-6%

Last 1090%18/20

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

47%2.03

fair 2.12-4%

Last 1040%8/20

Expected goals 1.9–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	96%	4%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 1.5	82%	18%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 2.5	60%	40%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	38%	62%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 4.5	21%	79%	–	20%4/20	–

Both teams to score

66%Yes 1.33

Last 1045%9/20

Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet

25%

model chance

VfB Stuttgart clean sheet

18%

model chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals

O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%

VfB Stuttgart goals

O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 16%

Corners

Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	82%	18%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 8.5	72%	28%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 9.5	60%	40%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	48%	52%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 11.5	36%	64%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 12.5	26%	74%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 13.5	17%	83%	–	25%5/20	–

Bayer 04 Leverkusen corners

O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 44%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%

VfB Stuttgart corners

O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%

Cards

Expected 3.6 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	69%	31%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	48%	52%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 4.5	29%	71%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 5.5	15%	85%	–	5%1/20	–
Over/under 6.5	7%	93%	–	5%1/20	–

Bayer 04 Leverkusen cards

O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%

VfB Stuttgart cards

O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Josha Vagnoman VfB Stuttgart	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.36	1.36	50%	80%4/5	80%8/10	-32%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53	1.53	43%	80%4/5	80%8/10	-35%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Goals · 1.80	1.80	33%	80%4/5	80%8/10	-41%
Afonso Moreira Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	52%	60%3/5	70%7/10	-25%
Ermedin Demirovic VfB Stuttgart	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	50%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-27%
Jeff Chabot VfB Stuttgart	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	44%	40%2/5	70%7/10	-33%
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 3.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	36%	60%3/5	70%7/10	-43%
Josha Vagnoman VfB Stuttgart	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.75	2.75	29%	80%4/5	60%6/10	-20%
Aleix García Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	37%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-40%
Ibrahim Maza Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00	2.00	24%	40%2/5	60%6/10	-52%
Nathan Tella Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	32%	80%4/5	60%6/10	-55%
Christian Kofane Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72	1.72	17%	40%2/5	60%6/10	-71%

Player prop screener

Key Players

Bundesliga, this season