Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 – Match preview
Elversberg-:-
FSV Mainz 05URSAPHARM-Arena an der KaiserlindeRound 8
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
3%
92%
ElversbergDraw 5%FSV Mainz 05
Bookmaker implied
29%
46%
ElversbergDraw 25%FSV Mainz 05
1.2 – 5.5
Expected score
96%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Elversberg
33%3.38
fair 3.02disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
25%3.74
fair 4.02-7%
Last 1010%2/20
FSV Mainz 05
42%2.05
fair 2.38-14%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Elversberg
44%2.48
fair 2.27disputed
Last 1050%9/18
FSV Mainz 05
56%1.50
fair 1.79-16%
Last 1050%9/18
Double chance
Elversberg or draw
58%1.78
fair 1.73+3%
Last 1055%11/20
Elversberg or FSV Mainz 05
75%1.28
fair 1.33-4%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or FSV Mainz 05
67%1.32
fair 1.50-12%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Both teams to score
67%Yes 1.44
Last 1060%12/20
Elversberg clean sheet
16%
model chance
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet
17%
model chance
Elversberg goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%
FSV Mainz 05 goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Elversberg corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 29%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
FSV Mainz 05 corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 44%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Elversberg cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
FSV Mainz 05 cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillip Tietz FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | 48% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | +25% |
Phillip Tietz FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | 55% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | +10% |
Kaishu Sano FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -22% |
Dominik Kohr FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 54% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -23% |
Sheraldo Becker FSV Mainz 05 | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 47% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -27% |
Phillipp Mwene FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 52% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -30% |
Noel Futkeu Elversberg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 17% | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | -60% |
Frederik Schmahl Elversberg | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 22% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -69% |
Tom Zimmerschied Elversberg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -9% |
Sheraldo Becker FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | 68% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -10% |
Sheraldo Becker FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | 31% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -15% |
Sheraldo Becker FSV Mainz 05 | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 44% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -20% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ElversbergFSV Mainz 05
- 6
- League position
- 5
- WLDLW
- Last 5
- WLWLW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 14
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
0
Elversberg wins
1
Draws
1
FSV Mainz 05 wins
Last 2 meetings
1.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
12 Aug 2023
Last meeting
Elversberg in the last 2 meetings
LD
Injuries & Suspensions
Elversberg
- Tom ZimmerschiedAnkle Injury
FSV Mainz 05
- Dominik KohrAnkle Injury
- Otto RuoppiKnee Problems
- SilasTibia And Fibula Fracture
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonElversberg
Top scorer
Maurice Krattenmacher
3 goals
Most assists
Lukas Petkov
2 assists
Best rated
Lukas Petkov
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukasz PorebaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Nicolas KristofGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Lukas PinckertDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Lukas PetkovMidfielder | 6 (6) | 533 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Maximilian RohrDefender | 6 (6) | 532 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.16 | |
| Felix KeidelMidfielder | 6 (6) | 523 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | ×3 |
| Lasse GüntherDefender | 6 (6) | 492 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| David MokwaAttacker | 6 (5) | 408 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Jan GyamerahDefender | 5 (5) | 344 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Cole CampbellMidfielder | 5 (4) | 282 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Noah DarvichMidfielder | 5 (3) | 261 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.50 | |
| Maurice KrattenmacherMidfielder | 6 (1) | 248 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Luca SirchDefender | 5 (1) | 192 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Francis OnyekaMidfielder | 4 (3) | 154 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | |
| Noel FutkeuAttacker | 5 (1) | 129 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.60 | – |
FSV Mainz 05
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz
5 goals
Most assists
Sheraldo Becker
3 assists
Best rated
Sheraldo Becker
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip TietzAttacker | 6 (6) | 540 | 5 | 1 | – | 7.47 | |
| Nadiem AmiriMidfielder | 6 (6) | 531 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | |
| Kaishu SanoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 529 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.10 | |
| Phillipp MweneMidfielder | 6 (6) | 524 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.13 | ×3 |
| Fabio GruberDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Stefan PoschDefender | 5 (5) | 448 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Anthony CaciMidfielder | 6 (6) | 441 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.25 | |
| Kacper PotulskiDefender | 6 (5) | 440 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Sheraldo BeckerAttacker | 6 (6) | 439 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.53 | ×2 |
| Jae-sung LeeMidfielder | 6 (5) | 363 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| Alexander SchwolowGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Danny da CostaDefender | 6 (2) | 262 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Robin ZentnerGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Ransford KönigsdörfferAttacker | 6 (0) | 136 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Eric MartelMidfielder | 3 (1) | 99 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.82 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.05 | 1.83 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.44 | 1.57 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.42 | 1.56 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.04 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.62 | 1.50 |
| Betano.dk | 1.26 | 1.18 |