FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg – Match preview
-:-
WWK ArenaRound 8
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
39%
35%
FC AugsburgDraw 26%SC Freiburg
Bookmaker implied
32%
43%
FC AugsburgDraw 25%SC Freiburg
1.4 – 1.3
Expected score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
Match Result
FC Augsburg
34%3.06
fair 2.90+5%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
25%3.81
fair 4.07-6%
Last 1015%3/20
SC Freiburg
41%2.17
fair 2.44-11%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
FC Augsburg
46%2.26
fair 2.19+3%
Last 1041%7/17
SC Freiburg
54%1.60
fair 1.84-13%
Last 1059%10/17
Double chance
FC Augsburg or draw
59%1.70
fair 1.700%
Last 1050%10/20
FC Augsburg or SC Freiburg
75%1.27
fair 1.33-4%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or SC Freiburg
66%1.38
fair 1.53-9%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.7 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Both teams to score
67%Yes 1.44
Last 1070%14/20
FC Augsburg clean sheet
15%
model chance
SC Freiburg clean sheet
18%
model chance
FC Augsburg goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%
SC Freiburg goals
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
FC Augsburg corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
SC Freiburg corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 82%O4.5 67%O5.5 51%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
FC Augsburg cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
SC Freiburg cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anton Kade FC Augsburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 47% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -22% |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 49% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | +9% |
Yuito Suzuki SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | 58% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -23% |
Arijon Ibrahimovic FC Augsburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 37% | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | -42% |
Anton Kade FC Augsburg | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | 40% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -46% |
Alexis Claude-Maurice FC Augsburg | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 20% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -68% |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.00 | 5.00 | 29% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | +45% |
Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -2% |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 58% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -13% |
Fabian Rieder FC Augsburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.62 | 2.62 | 31% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -20% |
Michael Gregoritsch FC Augsburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -31% |
Lukas Kübler SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 46% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -38% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026FC AugsburgSC Freiburg
- 10
- League position
- 3
- LDLDW
- Last 5
- LWDWW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 13
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
FC Augsburg wins
3
Draws
7
SC Freiburg wins
Last 12 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Jan 2026
Last meeting
FC Augsburg in the last 5 meetings
DWDLW
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonFC Augsburg
Top scorer
Michael Gregoritsch
4 goals
Most assists
Fabian Rieder
3 assists
Best rated
Fabian Rieder
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn DahmenGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Chrislain MatsimaDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | ×2 |
| Hennes BehrensMidfielder | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.25 | ×2 |
| Fabian RiederMidfielder | 6 (6) | 533 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.50 | |
| Calvin BrackelmannDefender | 6 (6) | 527 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Han-Noah MassengoMidfielder | 6 (6) | 497 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Robin FellhauerAttacker | 6 (6) | 468 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Noahkai BanksDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Marius WolfMidfielder | 5 (5) | 359 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Michael GregoritschAttacker | 6 (4) | 345 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Arijon IbrahimovicAttacker | 4 (4) | 276 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Rodrigo RibeiroAttacker | 6 (2) | 188 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×2 |
| Anton KadeMidfielder | 3 (1) | 162 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Mert KömürMidfielder | 6 (1) | 139 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Juma BahDefender | 2 (2) | 128 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
SC Freiburg
Top scorer
Yuito Suzuki
4 goals
Most assists
Matthias Ginter
3 assists
Best rated
Igor Matanovic
7.61
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias GinterDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.45 | |
| Maximilian EggesteinMidfielder | 6 (6) | 540 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Jordy MakengoDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Mio BackhausGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Philipp LienhartDefender | 6 (6) | 519 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Yannik EngelhardtMidfielder | 6 (6) | 498 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Igor MatanovicAttacker | 6 (6) | 479 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.61 | – |
| Derry ScherhantMidfielder | 6 (6) | 474 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Philipp TreuDefender | 6 (5) | 430 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Niklas BesteMidfielder | 6 (6) | 419 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Yuito SuzukiMidfielder | 5 (5) | 388 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.15 | ×2 |
| Lukas KüblerDefender | 6 (1) | 145 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Keisuke GotoAttacker | 6 (1) | 123 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.68 | |
| Cyriaque IriéAttacker | 4 (0) | 86 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Lucas HölerAttacker | 5 (0) | 85 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.92 | 1.93 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.66 | 2.25 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.65 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.94 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.95 | 1.95 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano.dk | 1.50 | 1.67 |