FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund – Match preview

Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 18:30

FC Bayern München

-:-

Borussia Dortmund

Allianz ArenaRound 8

Match Preview

Updated 21 Oct 2026

FootyPulse model

64%

13%

FC Bayern MünchenDraw 23%Borussia Dortmund

Bookmaker implied

71%

13%

FC Bayern MünchenDraw 16%Borussia Dortmund

1.8 – 0.6

Expected score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

Both teams to score

Match Result

FC Bayern München

65%1.34

fair 1.53-12%

Last 1035%7/20

Draw

19%5.55

fair 5.32+4%

Last 1030%6/20

Borussia Dortmund

16%7.60

fair 6.33disputed

Last 1035%7/20

Draw no bet

FC Bayern München

81%1.10

fair 1.24-11%

Last 1050%7/14

Borussia Dortmund

19%6.23

fair 5.14disputed

Last 1050%7/14

Double chance

FC Bayern München or draw

84%1.08

fair 1.19-9%

Last 1065%13/20

FC Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund

81%1.14

fair 1.23-7%

Last 1070%14/20

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

35%3.21

fair 2.89disputed

Last 1065%13/20

Expected goals 2.1–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	97%	3%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 1.5	85%	15%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 2.5	66%	34%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	44%	56%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 4.5	25%	75%	–	45%9/20	–

Both teams to score

66%Yes 1.40

Last 1055%11/20

FC Bayern München clean sheet

22%

model chance

Borussia Dortmund clean sheet

15%

model chance

FC Bayern München goals

O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%

Borussia Dortmund goals

O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%

Corners

Expected 10.7 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	83%	17%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 8.5	74%	26%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 9.5	62%	38%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	50%	50%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 11.5	38%	62%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 12.5	28%	72%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 13.5	19%	81%	–	25%5/20	–

FC Bayern München corners

O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 33%O7.5 20%

Borussia Dortmund corners

O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%

Cards

Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	73%	27%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	52%	48%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 4.5	33%	67%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 5.5	18%	82%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 6.5	9%	91%	–	10%2/20	–

FC Bayern München cards

O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%O3.5 10%

Borussia Dortmund cards

O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36	1.36	62%	40%2/5	70%7/10	-15%
Dayot Upamecano FC Bayern München	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	39%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-36%
Michael Olise FC Bayern München	Over 3.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	40%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-37%
Harry Kane FC Bayern München	Over 0.5 Goals · 1.44	1.44	38%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-45%
Konrad Laimer FC Bayern München	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	41%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-45%
Harry Kane FC Bayern München	Over 4.5 Shots · 1.57	1.57	27%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-58%
Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10	2.10	38%	20%1/5	60%6/10	-20%
Michael Olise FC Bayern München	Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.57	1.57	45%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-30%
Michael Olise FC Bayern München	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.40	1.40	48%	40%2/5	60%6/10	-33%
Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	39%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-37%
Serge Gnabry FC Bayern München	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36	1.36	34%	60%3/5	60%6/10	-54%
Harry Kane FC Bayern München	Over 0.5 Assists · 4.00	4.00	27%	60%3/5	50%5/10	+9%

Player prop screener

Key Players

Bundesliga, this season