FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Match preview

Sunday, 08 November 2026 · 15:30

FC Köln

-:-

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

RheinEnergieStadionRound 9

Match Preview

Updated 01 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

49%

29%

FC KölnDraw 22%Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bookmaker implied

22%

56%

FC KölnDraw 22%Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.9 – 1.4

Expected score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

Both teams to score

Predictions

Full Time Result

24%

53%

FC KölnDraw 23%Bayer 04 Leverkusen

First Half Result

23%

42%

FC KölnDraw 35%Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Team to Score First

37%

58%

FC KölnNo goal 5%Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Probability

Both Teams to Score

59%

Over 1.5 Goals

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

Over 3.5 Goals

38%

FC Köln Over 3.5 Goals

FC Köln Over 1.5 Goals

31%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Over 0.5 Goals

81%

FC Köln Over 0.5 Goals

61%

Match Result

FC Köln

26%4.51

model 3.78disputed

Last 1030%6/20

Draw

22%4.39

model 4.45-1%

Last 1015%3/20

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

51%1.65

model 1.96-16%

Last 1055%11/20

Draw no bet

FC Köln

34%3.48

model 2.93disputed

Last 1035%6/17

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

66%1.27

model 1.52-16%

Last 1065%11/17

Double chance

FC Köln or draw

49%2.22

model 2.04disputed

Last 1045%9/20

FC Köln or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

78%1.21

model 1.29-6%

Last 1085%17/20

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

74%1.20

model 1.36-12%

Last 1070%14/20

Expected goals 1.7–1.7 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	97%	3%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	85%	15%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 2.5	66%	34%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 3.5main	44%	56%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 4.5	26%	74%	–	35%7/20	–

Both teams to score

66%Yes 1.44

Last 1060%12/20

FC Köln clean sheet

16%

model chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet

21%

model chance

FC Köln goals

O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals

O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%

Corners

Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	83%	17%	–	85%17/20	–
Over/under 8.5	73%	27%	–	70%14/20	–
Over/under 9.5	62%	38%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 10.5main	49%	51%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 11.5	38%	62%	–	45%9/20	–
Over/under 12.5	27%	73%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 13.5	19%	81%	–	30%6/20	–

FC Köln corners

O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen corners

O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 71%O5.5 55%O6.5 39%O7.5 25%

Cards

Expected 4.2 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	78%	22%	–	75%15/20	–
Over/under 3.5	60%	40%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	40%	60%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 5.5	24%	76%	–	10%2/20	–
Over/under 6.5	13%	87%	–	10%2/20	–

FC Köln cards

O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen cards

O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Ísak Jóhannesson FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33	1.33	–	100%5/5	90%9/10	–
Sebastian Sebulonsen FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.80	1.80	–	80%4/5	80%8/10	–
Said El Mala FC Köln	Over 2.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	–	80%4/5	80%8/10	–
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53	1.53	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Goals · 1.83	1.83	–	60%3/5	70%7/10	–
Afonso Moreira Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Linton Maina FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Marius Bülter FC Köln	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Nathan Tella Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44	1.44	–	60%3/5	60%6/10	–
Mikey Moore FC Köln	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53	1.53	–	40%2/5	60%6/10	–
Jarell Quansah Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 3.5 Shots · 1.61	1.61	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Ragnar Ache FC Köln	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20	2.20	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.83	1.83	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–
Robert Andrich Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40	1.40	–	100%5/5	50%5/10	–
Linton Maina FC Köln	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.50	3.50	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Ragnar Ache FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36	1.36	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Luca Waldschmidt FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61	1.61	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Facundo Medina Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44	1.44	–	80%4/5	50%5/10	–
Luka Lochoshvili FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00	2.00	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Luca Waldschmidt FC Köln	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75	2.75	–	20%1/5	50%5/10	–
Edmond Tapsoba Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30	1.30	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Aleix García Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Over 1.5 Shots · 1.80	1.80	–	40%2/5	50%5/10	–
Marius Bülter FC Köln	Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.61	1.61	–	60%3/5	50%5/10	–

Player prop screener

Key Players

Bundesliga, this season

FC Köln

Top scorer

Said El Mala

2 goals

Most assists

Linton Maina

2 assists

Best rated

Borna Sosa

7.37

FC Köln squad statistics in the Bundesliga this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Jahmai Simpson-PuseyDefender	7 (7)	630	0	1	–	6.88
Marvin SchwäbeGoalkeeper	7 (7)	630	0	0	–	7.19	–
Luka LochoshviliDefender	7 (7)	617	0	0	–	6.82	–
Tom KraußMidfielder	7 (6)	565	0	0	–	6.85
Linton MainaMidfielder	7 (6)	493	1	2	–	6.99	–
Ísak JóhannessonMidfielder	7 (5)	476	1	0	0.02	6.87	×2
Said El MalaMidfielder	6 (5)	413	2	0	0.47	6.67	–
Marius BülterAttacker	7 (4)	385	1	0	0.18	6.86
Mikey MooreMidfielder	6 (4)	383	0	1	0.25	6.82	–
Alessio Castro-MontesDefender	5 (4)	334	0	0	–	6.63
Gideon MensahDefender	4 (4)	334	0	0	–	6.42	×2
Borna SosaDefender	4 (3)	296	0	0	0.02	7.37
Ellyes SkhiriMidfielder	5 (3)	295	0	2	–	6.79
Sebastian SebulonsenDefender	4 (3)	289	0	0	0.03	6.62	–
Ragnar AcheAttacker	4 (2)	192	1	0	–	6.95	–

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Top scorer

Patrik Schick

7 goals

Most assists

Miguel Gutiérrez

4 assists

Best rated

Patrik Schick

7.50

Bayer 04 Leverkusen squad statistics in the Bundesliga this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Edmond TapsobaDefender	8 (8)	720	0	1	–	6.63
Mark FlekkenGoalkeeper	8 (8)	720	0	0	–	6.59	–
Miguel GutiérrezDefender	8 (8)	713	1	4	0.08	7.08
Aleix GarcíaMidfielder	8 (8)	707	0	2	0.02	7.48
Ibrahim MazaMidfielder	8 (8)	690	3	2	0.56	7.32	×3
Facundo MedinaDefender	8 (7)	635	1	0	0.25	6.90	×3
Patrik SchickAttacker	8 (7)	614	7	2	1.39	7.50
Jarell QuansahDefender	8 (7)	612	1	1	0.04	6.86
Afonso MoreiraMidfielder	8 (7)	576	0	1	0.63	6.70
Ezequiel FernándezMidfielder	8 (7)	510	1	0	–	7.01	×2
Moussa DiabyMidfielder	6 (5)	391	1	0	–	6.78	–
Malik TillmanMidfielder	7 (2)	242	0	1	–	6.53	–
Robert AndrichMidfielder	5 (1)	167	1	0	0.07	6.93	–
Christian KofaneAttacker	4 (1)	134	2	0	–	6.93	–
Lucas VázquezDefender	5 (2)	130	0	0	0.03	6.37	–

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	1	2	Home	Away
bet365	2.00	1.85	—	—
Dafabet	—	—	2.01	1.84
MansionBet	—	—	2.03	1.85
Marathonbet	—	—	1.74	2.12
MelBet	—	—	1.47	2.66
Pinnacle	—	—	2.04	1.82
Sbo	—	—	1.75	2.17

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
bet365	1.40	3.00
Betano.dk	14.50	1.02

FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Match preview

Match Preview

Predictions

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

FC Köln goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals

Corners

FC Köln corners

Bayer 04 Leverkusen corners

Cards

FC Köln cards

Bayer 04 Leverkusen cards

Player Props

Form Guide

Head to Head

Key Players

FC Köln

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

More on FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen