SC Freiburg vs FC Bayern München – Match preview
SC Freiburg-:-
FC Bayern MünchenEuropa-Park StadionRound 7
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
61%
14%
SC FreiburgDraw 25%FC Bayern München
Bookmaker implied
15%
69%
SC FreiburgDraw 16%FC Bayern München
1.6 – 0.6
Expected score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
Match Result
SC Freiburg
22%6.56
fair 4.52disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
18%5.99
fair 5.52+9%
Last 1020%4/20
FC Bayern München
60%1.39
fair 1.67-17%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg
27%5.46
fair 3.70disputed
Last 1050%8/16
FC Bayern München
73%1.16
fair 1.37-15%
Last 1050%8/16
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw
40%3.13
fair 2.48disputed
Last 1060%12/20
SC Freiburg or FC Bayern München
82%1.15
fair 1.22-6%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or FC Bayern München
78%1.13
fair 1.28-12%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.9 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 98% | 2% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 89% | 11% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | 1.65 / 2.28 | 70%14/20 | Under +1% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 36% | 64% | 2.48 / 1.56 | 55%11/20 | none |
Both teams to score
69%Yes 1.40
Last 1070%14/20
SC Freiburg clean sheet
12%
model chance
FC Bayern München clean sheet
18%
model chance
SC Freiburg goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%
FC Bayern München goals
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | 1.48 / 2.55 | 65%13/20 | none |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | 1.81 / 2.00 | 50%10/20 | none |
| Over/under 10.5 | 42% | 58% | 2.23 / 1.62 | 45%9/20 | none |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
SC Freiburg corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 17%O7.5 8%
FC Bayern München corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
SC Freiburg cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
FC Bayern München cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Igor Matanovic SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | 57% | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | -18% |
Matthias Ginter SC Freiburg | Over 1.5 Shots · 4.00 | 4.00 | 31% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | +25% |
Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | 39% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | -13% |
Harry Kane FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.30 | 1.30 | 60% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | -21% |
Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg | Over 1.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -25% |
Michael Olise FC Bayern München | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 33% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -45% |
Harry Kane FC Bayern München | Over 3.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 37% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | -51% |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | 41% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | +19% |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 52% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -21% |
Michael Olise FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.44 | 1.44 | 54% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -22% |
Michael Olise FC Bayern München | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -26% |
Dayot Upamecano FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 43% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -29% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SC FreiburgFC Bayern München
- 3
- League position
- 1
- LWDWW
- Last 5
- WDWWD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 17
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
SC Freiburg wins
6
Draws
25
FC Bayern München wins
Last 33 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
73%
Over 2.5 goals
04 Apr 2026
Last meeting
SC Freiburg in the last 5 meetings
LLLLD
Injuries & Suspensions
SC Freiburg
- Berkay YilmazDental Surgery
- Bruno OgbusMuscular problems
- Derry ScherhantKnock
- Niklas BesteNeck Bruise
FC Bayern München
- Jamal MusialaTorn Muscle Fiber
- Manuel NeuerFoot Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
SC Freiburg
- 1Mio BackhausGoalkeeper
- 29Philipp TreuDefender
- 28Matthias GinterDefender
- 3Philipp LienhartDefender
- 33Jordy MakengoDefender
- 8Maximilian EggesteinMidfielder
- 16Yannik EngelhardtMidfielder
- 19Niklas BesteMidfielder
- 42Keisuke GotoAttacker
- 7Derry ScherhantAttacker
- 31Igor MatanovicAttacker
FC Bayern München
- 1Manuel NeuerGoalkeeper
- 27Konrad LaimerDefender
- 2Dayot UpamecanoDefender
- 3Min-jae KimDefender
- 11Nathaniel BrownDefender
- 6Joshua KimmichMidfielder
- 45Aleksandar PavlovicMidfielder
- 17Michael OliseMidfielder
- 34Ismael SaibariMidfielder
- 14Luis DíazMidfielder
- 9Harry KaneAttacker
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonSC Freiburg
Top scorer
Yuito Suzuki
4 goals
Most assists
Matthias Ginter
3 assists
Best rated
Igor Matanovic
7.61
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias GinterDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.45 | |
| Mio BackhausGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Jordy MakengoDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Maximilian EggesteinMidfielder | 6 (6) | 540 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Philipp LienhartDefender | 6 (6) | 519 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Yannik EngelhardtMidfielder | 6 (6) | 498 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.07 | |
| Igor MatanovicAttacker | 6 (6) | 479 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.61 | – |
| Derry ScherhantMidfielder | 6 (6) | 474 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Philipp TreuDefender | 6 (5) | 430 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Niklas BesteMidfielder | 6 (6) | 419 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Yuito SuzukiMidfielder | 5 (5) | 388 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.15 | ×2 |
| Lukas KüblerDefender | 6 (1) | 145 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Keisuke GotoAttacker | 6 (1) | 123 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.68 | |
| Cyriaque IriéAttacker | 4 (0) | 86 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Lucas HölerAttacker | 5 (0) | 85 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 |
FC Bayern München
Top scorer
Michael Olise
5 goals
Most assists
Harry Kane
5 assists
Best rated
Michael Olise
8.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayot UpamecanoDefender | 6 (6) | 496 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.30 | ×2 |
| Michael OliseMidfielder | 6 (5) | 483 | 5 | 2 | – | 8.29 | – |
| Joshua KimmichMidfielder | 6 (5) | 475 | 0 | 3 | – | 8.06 | – |
| Aleksandar PavlovicMidfielder | 6 (6) | 457 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.67 | |
| Luis DíazMidfielder | 6 (5) | 445 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.28 | – |
| Harry KaneAttacker | 6 (5) | 444 | 4 | 5 | – | 7.89 | – |
| Alphonso DaviesDefender | 5 (4) | 362 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.56 | – |
| Manuel NeuerGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Ismael SaibariMidfielder | 6 (4) | 304 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Min-jae KimDefender | 4 (3) | 295 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Josip StanisicDefender | 5 (3) | 294 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Nathaniel BrownDefender | 6 (4) | 292 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Jonathan TahDefender | 4 (3) | 276 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Konrad LaimerDefender | 3 (3) | 239 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Jonas UrbigGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.25 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.46 | 1.32 |