SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin – Match preview
-:-
Europa-Park StadionRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
99%
0%
SC FreiburgDraw 1%FC Union Berlin
Bookmaker implied
63%
16%
SC FreiburgDraw 21%FC Union Berlin
5.6 – 0.3
Expected score
93%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
62%
17%
SC FreiburgDraw 21%FC Union Berlin
First Half Result
47%
18%
SC FreiburgDraw 35%FC Union Berlin
Team to Score First
65%
30%
SC FreiburgNo goal 5%FC Union Berlin
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
SC Freiburg Over 3.5 Goals
17%
SC Freiburg Over 1.5 Goals
60%
FC Union Berlin Over 0.5 Goals
53%
SC Freiburg Over 0.5 Goals
86%
Match Result
SC Freiburg
61%1.50
model 1.64-9%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
21%4.50
model 4.69-4%
Last 1025%5/20
FC Union Berlin
18%5.86
model 5.62+4%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg
77%1.17
model 1.29-9%
Last 1067%10/15
FC Union Berlin
23%4.56
model 4.42+3%
Last 1033%5/15
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw
82%1.13
model 1.22-7%
Last 1075%15/20
SC Freiburg or FC Union Berlin
79%1.19
model 1.27-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or FC Union Berlin
39%2.55
model 2.560%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 2.2–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%Yes 1.66
Last 1060%12/20
SC Freiburg clean sheet
23%
model chance
FC Union Berlin clean sheet
14%
model chance
SC Freiburg goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%
FC Union Berlin goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
SC Freiburg corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
FC Union Berlin corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 60%O4.5 40%O5.5 24%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
SC Freiburg cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
FC Union Berlin cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kastriot Imeri FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
András Schäfer FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Matthias Ginter SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Janik Haberer FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Igor Matanovic SC Freiburg | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Derrick Köhn FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Tim Skarke FC Union Berlin | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Tom Rothe FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kastriot Imeri FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.62 | 2.62 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Livan Burcu FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Josip Juranovic FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 7.00 | 7.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Michel Aebischer FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Josip Juranovic FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Cyriaque Irié SC Freiburg | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Janik Haberer FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75 | 3.75 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.87 | 2.87 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Tim Skarke FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Vincenzo Grifo SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Oliver Burke FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Rani Khedira FC Union Berlin | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026SC FreiburgFC Union Berlin
- 3
- League position
- 17
- WLLWD
- Last 5
- DDWLL
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 2.76
- xG for (L5)
- 1.35
- 3.03
- xG against (L5)
- 2.41
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
SC Freiburg wins
5
Draws
9
FC Union Berlin wins
Last 17 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
53%
Over 2.5 goals
15 Mar 2026
Last meeting
SC Freiburg in the last 5 meetings
LDLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
SC Freiburg
- Florent MuslijaCruciate Ligament Tear
- Philipp TreuCapsular Injury
FC Union Berlin
- Andrej IlicFood Poisoning
- Andrik MarkgrafCruciate Ligament Tear
- Felix UduokhaiRed Card Suspension
- Robert SkovKnock
- Stanley NsokiMuscle Injury
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonSC Freiburg
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic
4 goals
Most assists
Matthias Ginter
3 assists
Best rated
Igor Matanovic
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias GinterDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 7.25 | ×2 |
| Maximilian EggesteinMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 3 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Mio BackhausGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Jordy MakengoDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Philipp LienhartDefender | 8 (8) | 686 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Derry ScherhantMidfielder | 8 (8) | 613 | 2 | 3 | 0.09 | 7.00 | – |
| Yannik EngelhardtMidfielder | 7 (7) | 588 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.08 | |
| Niklas BesteMidfielder | 8 (8) | 566 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 6.89 | |
| Igor MatanovicAttacker | 8 (6) | 557 | 4 | 1 | 0.69 | 7.50 | – |
| Yuito SuzukiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 540 | 4 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Philipp TreuDefender | 7 (6) | 520 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Lukas KüblerDefender | 7 (2) | 221 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.57 | – |
| Lucas HölerAttacker | 7 (2) | 187 | 0 | 0 | 0.82 | 6.53 | ×2 |
| Keisuke GotoAttacker | 7 (1) | 151 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.65 | |
| Cyriaque IriéAttacker | 6 (0) | 123 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.71 |
FC Union Berlin
Top scorer
Tim Skarke
2 goals
Most assists
Josip Juranovic
2 assists
Best rated
Josip Juranovic
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rani KhediraMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Tom RotheDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Michel AebischerMidfielder | 7 (7) | 555 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Frederik RönnowGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Zeno Van Den BoschDefender | 6 (5) | 469 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Felix UduokhaiDefender | 6 (6) | 469 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×3 |
| András SchäferMidfielder | 7 (5) | 454 | 0 | 0 | 0.51 | 6.79 | – |
| Woo-yeong JeongMidfielder | 7 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.78 | – |
| Janik HabererMidfielder | 7 (4) | 362 | 1 | 0 | 0.58 | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Leopold QuerfeldDefender | 4 (3) | 335 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.98 | |
| Tim SkarkeMidfielder | 7 (3) | 307 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Emmanuel Latte LathAttacker | 5 (4) | 290 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Josip JuranovicDefender | 3 (3) | 254 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Livan BurcuMidfielder | 6 (3) | 241 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Aljoscha KemleinMidfielder | 7 (3) | 231 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.82 | 2.03 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.83 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.82 | 2.01 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.33 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.84 | 2.02 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.11 | 1.80 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.37 |
| Betano.dk | 17.00 | 1.01 |
More on SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin
- SC Freiburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FC Union Berlin stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture