TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Match preview
TSG Hoffenheim-:-
Bayer 04 LeverkusenPreZero ArenaRound 7
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
17%
70%
TSG HoffenheimDraw 13%Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bookmaker implied
35%
41%
TSG HoffenheimDraw 24%Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2.3 – 4.4
Expected score
96%
Over 2.5 goals
90%
Both teams to score
Match Result
TSG Hoffenheim
34%2.79
fair 2.90-4%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
24%4.04
fair 4.15-3%
Last 1010%2/20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
41%2.34
fair 2.41-3%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw no bet
TSG Hoffenheim
45%2.10
fair 2.20-5%
Last 1022%4/18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
55%1.76
fair 1.83-4%
Last 1078%14/18
Double chance
TSG Hoffenheim or draw
59%1.65
fair 1.71-3%
Last 1030%6/20
TSG Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%1.27
fair 1.32-4%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
66%1.48
fair 1.53-3%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.8 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 1.40 / 3.02 | 80%16/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | 2.00 / 1.89 | 65%13/20 | Under +1% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | 3.11 / 1.38 | 30%6/20 | none |
Both teams to score
67%Yes 1.36
Last 1060%12/20
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet
14%
model chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet
24%
model chance
TSG Hoffenheim goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | 1.52 / 2.43 | 65%13/20 | none |
| Over/under 10.5main | 48% | 52% | 1.87 / 1.94 | 60%12/20 | Under +1% |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | 2.31 / 1.57 | 45%9/20 | none |
| Over/under 12.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
TSG Hoffenheim corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 15%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
TSG Hoffenheim cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.00 | 2.00 | 45% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -9% |
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | 54% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -10% |
Afonso Moreira Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 61% | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | -18% |
Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 47% | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | -38% |
Afonso Moreira Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | 57% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -12% |
Bambasé Conté TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 43% | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | -39% |
Ibrahim Maza Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 37% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -19% |
Mats Rots TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 50% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -28% |
Nathan Tella Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Patrick Wimmer TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Christian Kofane Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ezequiel Fernández Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 53% | 0%0/5 | 50%5/10 | -23% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026TSG HoffenheimBayer 04 Leverkusen
- 14
- League position
- 4
- WLLWL
- Last 5
- WWWDW
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 14
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
TSG Hoffenheim wins
2
Draws
7
Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins
Last 12 meetings
3.6
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
83%
Over 2.5 goals
17 Jan 2026
Last meeting
TSG Hoffenheim in the last 5 meetings
WWLLL
Injuries & Suspensions
TSG Hoffenheim
- Albian HajdariFoot Injury
- Nathan De CatMeniscus Injury
- Patrick WimmerHamstring Injury
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Christian KofaneHamstring Injury
- Eliesse Ben SeghirMuscle Injury
- Kennet EichhornIll
- Martin TerrierHamstring Injury
- Montrell CulbreathFitness
Confirmed Line-ups
TSG Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver BaumannGoalkeeper
- 34Vladimír CoufalDefender
- 2Robin HranacDefender
- 28Koki MachidaDefender
- 39Mats RotsDefender
- 22Alexander PrassMidfielder
- 7Leon AvdullahuMidfielder
- 20Bambasé ContéMidfielder
- 11Fisnik AsllaniAttacker
- 10Adam HlozekAttacker
- 19Tim LemperleAttacker
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- 1Mark FlekkenGoalkeeper
- 4Jarell QuansahDefender
- 12Edmond TapsobaDefender
- 2Facundo MedinaDefender
- 3Miguel GutiérrezDefender
- 24Aleix GarcíaMidfielder
- 6Equi FernándezMidfielder
- 19Moussa DiabyMidfielder
- 30Ibrahim MazaAttacker
- 9Afonso MoreiraAttacker
- 14Patrik SchickAttacker
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonTSG Hoffenheim
Top scorer
Adam Daghim
2 goals
Most assists
Vladimír Coufal
2 assists
Best rated
Alexander Prass
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver BaumannGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Leon AvdullahuMidfielder | 6 (6) | 530 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Vladimír CoufalDefender | 6 (6) | 519 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Ozan KabakDefender | 6 (5) | 451 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Adam DaghimMidfielder | 6 (5) | 442 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Wouter BurgerMidfielder | 5 (5) | 439 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Bambasé ContéMidfielder | 6 (5) | 429 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.29 | – |
| Adam HlozekAttacker | 6 (5) | 375 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Tim LemperleAttacker | 5 (4) | 335 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Albian HajdariDefender | 4 (3) | 311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Mats RotsDefender | 5 (4) | 298 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Koki MachidaDefender | 4 (3) | 275 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Patrick WimmerMidfielder | 4 (2) | 207 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Robin HranacDefender | 4 (1) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Fisnik AsllaniMidfielder | 4 (2) | 150 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Top scorer
Patrik Schick
6 goals
Most assists
Miguel Gutiérrez
3 assists
Best rated
Patrik Schick
7.63
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmond TapsobaDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Mark FlekkenGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Aleix GarcíaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 534 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.60 | – |
| Miguel GutiérrezDefender | 6 (6) | 533 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.26 | |
| Ibrahim MazaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 510 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.37 | ×2 |
| Afonso MoreiraMidfielder | 6 (6) | 475 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Facundo MedinaDefender | 6 (5) | 461 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| Jarell QuansahDefender | 6 (5) | 458 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Patrik SchickAttacker | 6 (5) | 434 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.63 | – |
| Ezequiel FernándezMidfielder | 6 (5) | 370 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Moussa DiabyMidfielder | 5 (4) | 350 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Malik TillmanMidfielder | 5 (2) | 178 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Christian KofaneAttacker | 4 (1) | 134 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Robert AndrichMidfielder | 3 (1) | 127 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Loïc BadéDefender | 2 (1) | 74 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11 | 1.38 |