TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 – Match preview
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PreZero ArenaRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
45%
30%
TSG HoffenheimDraw 25%Schalke 04
Bookmaker implied
58%
20%
TSG HoffenheimDraw 22%Schalke 04
1.6 – 1.3
Expected score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
42%
34%
TSG HoffenheimDraw 24%Schalke 04
First Half Result
30%
31%
TSG HoffenheimDraw 39%Schalke 04
Team to Score First
46%
50%
TSG HoffenheimNo goal 4%Schalke 04
Probability
Both Teams to Score
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
TSG Hoffenheim Over 3.5 Goals
9%
TSG Hoffenheim Over 1.5 Goals
47%
Schalke 04 Over 0.5 Goals
71%
TSG Hoffenheim Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Match Result
TSG Hoffenheim
55%1.62
model 1.83-12%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
23%4.46
model 4.37+2%
Last 1020%4/20
Schalke 04
23%4.65
model 4.44+5%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
TSG Hoffenheim
71%1.26
model 1.41-11%
Last 1056%9/16
Schalke 04
29%3.61
model 3.42+5%
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
TSG Hoffenheim or draw
77%1.19
model 1.29-8%
Last 1065%13/20
TSG Hoffenheim or Schalke 04
77%1.20
model 1.30-7%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Schalke 04
45%2.28
model 2.20+4%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%Yes 1.53
Last 1045%9/20
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet
26%
model chance
Schalke 04 clean sheet
23%
model chance
TSG Hoffenheim goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Schalke 04 goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
TSG Hoffenheim corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 83%O4.5 68%O5.5 52%O6.5 36%O7.5 23%
Schalke 04 corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
TSG Hoffenheim cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Schalke 04 cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Koki Machida TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Satoshi Tanaka Schalke 04 | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Bambasé Conté TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Soufiane El-Faouzi Schalke 04 | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Robin Hranac TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Alexander Prass TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Wouter Burger TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Max Moerstedt TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Max Moerstedt TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Adam Hlozek TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Alexander Prass TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Nikola Katic Schalke 04 | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Ron Schallenberg Schalke 04 | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Wouter Burger TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Max Moerstedt TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50 | 2.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Alexander Prass TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Alexander Prass TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | – | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Fisnik Asllani TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Kenan Karaman Schalke 04 | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Edin Džeko Schalke 04 | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Adil Aouchiche Schalke 04 | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Adam Hlozek TSG Hoffenheim | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Adam Hlozek TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Adil Aouchiche Schalke 04 | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026TSG HoffenheimSchalke 04
- 11
- League position
- 16
- LWWLL
- Last 5
- LDLLD
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 1
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 4.76
- xG for (L5)
- 1.01
- 2.28
- xG against (L5)
- 3.77
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
TSG Hoffenheim wins
0
Draws
1
Schalke 04 wins
Last 4 meetings
3.8
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
09 Apr 2023
Last meeting
TSG Hoffenheim in the last 4 meetings
WWWL
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonTSG Hoffenheim
Top scorer
Adam Daghim
2 goals
Most assists
Adam Daghim
2 assists
Best rated
Alexander Prass
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver BaumannGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Leon AvdullahuMidfielder | 8 (8) | 707 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Ozan KabakDefender | 8 (7) | 631 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Adam DaghimMidfielder | 8 (7) | 616 | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | 6.92 | |
| Vladimír CoufalDefender | 7 (7) | 609 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Wouter BurgerMidfielder | 7 (7) | 601 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Adam HlozekAttacker | 8 (7) | 500 | 2 | 1 | 0.88 | 7.04 | – |
| Mats RotsDefender | 7 (6) | 477 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Koki MachidaDefender | 6 (5) | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.87 | – |
| Bambasé ContéMidfielder | 7 (5) | 447 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Tim LemperleAttacker | 6 (4) | 365 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Fisnik AsllaniAttacker | 6 (4) | 321 | 0 | 1 | 0.97 | 6.93 | |
| Albian HajdariDefender | 4 (3) | 311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Patrick WimmerMidfielder | 4 (2) | 207 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Alexander PrassMidfielder | 3 (2) | 196 | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 7.30 | ×2 |
Schalke 04
Top scorer
Adil Aouchiche
1 goals
Most assists
Junior Adamu
1 assists
Best rated
Loris Karius
7.47
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loris KariusGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.47 | |
| Nikola KaticDefender | 8 (8) | 687 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 7.19 | |
| Hasan KuruçayDefender | 8 (8) | 676 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | |
| Timo BeckerDefender | 8 (7) | 606 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Satoshi TanakaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 597 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.81 | – |
| Adil AouchicheMidfielder | 8 (7) | 592 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.93 | |
| Soufiane El-FaouziMidfielder | 7 (7) | 583 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.68 | – |
| Robin GosensMidfielder | 7 (6) | 455 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Kenan KaramanAttacker | 6 (5) | 446 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Junior Dina EbimbeMidfielder | 7 (3) | 382 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.79 | |
| Junior AdamuAttacker | 6 (5) | 377 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 6.50 | – |
| Moussa SyllaAttacker | 4 (3) | 287 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Vitalie BeckerDefender | 6 (2) | 255 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Hee-chan HwangAttacker | 6 (2) | 244 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.74 | |
| Dejan LjubicicMidfielder | 4 (3) | 216 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.52 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.04 | 1.82 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.08 | 1.82 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 1.02 |
More on TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04
- TSG Hoffenheim stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Schalke 04 stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture