VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen – Match preview
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MHPArenaRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
38%
42%
VfB StuttgartDraw 20%Werder Bremen
Bookmaker implied
64%
17%
VfB StuttgartDraw 19%Werder Bremen
2.0 – 2.1
Expected score
79%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
59%
20%
VfB StuttgartDraw 21%Werder Bremen
First Half Result
48%
19%
VfB StuttgartDraw 33%Werder Bremen
Team to Score First
64%
32%
VfB StuttgartNo goal 4%Werder Bremen
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
VfB Stuttgart Over 3.5 Goals
16%
VfB Stuttgart Over 1.5 Goals
60%
Werder Bremen Over 0.5 Goals
58%
VfB Stuttgart Over 0.5 Goals
85%
Match Result
VfB Stuttgart
59%1.46
model 1.70-14%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
20%5.17
model 4.96+4%
Last 1020%4/20
Werder Bremen
21%5.47
model 4.79disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
VfB Stuttgart
74%1.18
model 1.35-13%
Last 1044%7/16
Werder Bremen
26%4.41
model 3.83disputed
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
VfB Stuttgart or draw
79%1.14
model 1.26-10%
Last 1055%11/20
VfB Stuttgart or Werder Bremen
80%1.15
model 1.25-8%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Werder Bremen
41%2.66
model 2.44disputed
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
65%Yes 1.44
Last 1065%13/20
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet
20%
model chance
Werder Bremen clean sheet
19%
model chance
VfB Stuttgart goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Werder Bremen goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
VfB Stuttgart corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Werder Bremen corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
VfB Stuttgart cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 10%
Werder Bremen cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Niclas Füllkrug Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 100%5/5 | 100%10/10 | – |
Niclas Füllkrug Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 100%5/5 | 90%9/10 | – |
Niclas Füllkrug Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 100%5/5 | 90%9/10 | – |
Jens Stage Werder Bremen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.90 | 1.90 | – | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Bilal El Khannouss VfB Stuttgart | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Jens Stage Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.25 | 2.25 | – | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Ludovit Reis Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Marco Grüll Werder Bremen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Josha Vagnoman VfB Stuttgart | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Amos Pieper Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.37 | 2.37 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Jens Stage Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.60 | 3.60 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Marco Grüll Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
- 15
- League position
- 7
- LLWLL
- Last 5
- WDDWD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 2.26
- xG for (L5)
- 2.96
- 2.50
- xG against (L5)
- 1.93
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
VfB Stuttgart wins
3
Draws
3
Werder Bremen wins
Last 10 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
26 Apr 2026
Last meeting
VfB Stuttgart in the last 5 meetings
DWLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
VfB Stuttgart
- Angelo StillerAdductor Injury
- Leo SauerMuscle Injury
Werder Bremen
- Salim MusahHamstring Injury
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonVfB Stuttgart
Top scorer
Ermedin Demirovic
3 goals
Most assists
Angelo Stiller
2 assists
Best rated
Maximilian Mittelstädt
7.84
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angelo StillerMidfielder | 7 (7) | 573 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.03 | |
| Finn JeltschDefender | 7 (6) | 557 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.84 | |
| Josha VagnomanMidfielder | 6 (6) | 531 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Maximilian MittelstädtDefender | 6 (6) | 528 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.84 | |
| Jeff ChabotDefender | 7 (6) | 507 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.19 | |
| Ramon HendriksDefender | 6 (5) | 452 | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.93 | – |
| Ermedin DemirovicAttacker | 7 (5) | 446 | 3 | 0 | 1.08 | 6.85 | |
| Deniz UndavAttacker | 7 (5) | 443 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.65 | – |
| Grischa PrömelMidfielder | 7 (4) | 408 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.68 | |
| Chris FührichMidfielder | 6 (5) | 397 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Fabian BredlowGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Dzenan PejcinovicAttacker | 7 (4) | 350 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 6.63 | – |
| Bilal El KhannoussMidfielder | 7 (3) | 318 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 7.09 | – |
| Jamie LewelingAttacker | 7 (2) | 272 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Dennis SeimenGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
Werder Bremen
Top scorer
Niclas Füllkrug
8 goals
Most assists
Marco Grüll
6 assists
Best rated
Marco Grüll
7.56
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco FriedlDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.85 | – |
| Karl HeinGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Marco GrüllMidfielder | 7 (7) | 625 | 2 | 6 | 0.01 | 7.56 | ×2 |
| Olivier DemanDefender | 7 (7) | 585 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| Ludovit ReisMidfielder | 7 (7) | 582 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Niclas FüllkrugAttacker | 7 (7) | 567 | 8 | 0 | 1.76 | 7.49 | – |
| ChukiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 552 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | 7.02 | |
| Amos PieperDefender | 7 (7) | 548 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Youri RegeerMidfielder | 6 (6) | 499 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | |
| ArthurDefender | 6 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.96 | |
| Eren DinkçiMidfielder | 7 (5) | 385 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.66 | – |
| Mick SchmetgensDefender | 6 (1) | 177 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Mitchell WeiserDefender | 5 (1) | 157 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.92 | – |
| Oskar WojcikDefender | 3 (0) | 113 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.82 | – |
| Dariusz StalmachMidfielder | 5 (0) | 97 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.85 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.99 | 1.86 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.16 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.96 | 1.94 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
- VfB Stuttgart stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Werder Bremen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture