Werder Bremen vs TSG Hoffenheim – Match preview
Werder Bremen-:-
TSG HoffenheimWohninvest WeserstadionRound 8
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
54%
28%
Werder BremenDraw 18%TSG Hoffenheim
Bookmaker implied
32%
44%
Werder BremenDraw 24%TSG Hoffenheim
2.7 – 2.0
Expected score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Werder Bremen
36%2.92
fair 2.77+6%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
24%3.91
fair 4.10-5%
Last 1015%3/20
TSG Hoffenheim
39%2.21
fair 2.53-13%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Werder Bremen
48%2.17
fair 2.09disputed
Last 1053%9/17
TSG Hoffenheim
52%1.64
fair 1.92-14%
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Werder Bremen or draw
61%1.67
fair 1.65+1%
Last 1060%12/20
Werder Bremen or TSG Hoffenheim
76%1.26
fair 1.32-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or TSG Hoffenheim
64%1.41
fair 1.57-10%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
66%Yes 1.40
Last 1070%14/20
Werder Bremen clean sheet
19%
model chance
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet
19%
model chance
Werder Bremen goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
TSG Hoffenheim goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Werder Bremen corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
TSG Hoffenheim corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 71%O5.5 55%O6.5 39%O7.5 26%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Werder Bremen cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
TSG Hoffenheim cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jens Stage Werder Bremen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 80%8/10 | -31% |
Bambasé Conté TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 49% | 100%5/5 | 80%8/10 | -35% |
Mats Rots TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 46% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -33% |
Niclas Füllkrug Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.40 | 2.40 | 46% | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | +11% |
Niclas Füllkrug Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 52% | 100%5/5 | 60%6/10 | -6% |
Jens Stage Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 50% | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | -8% |
Senne Lynen Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -25% |
Leon Avdullahu TSG Hoffenheim | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 47% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -32% |
Patrick Wimmer TSG Hoffenheim | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -40% |
Mitchell Weiser Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 39% | 40%2/5 | 57%4/7 | -48% |
Marco Grüll Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.50 | 5.50 | 35% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +94% |
Jens Stage Werder Bremen | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.75 | 4.75 | 33% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | +55% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim
- 8
- League position
- 14
- DDWDW
- Last 5
- WLLWL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Werder Bremen wins
1
Draws
7
TSG Hoffenheim wins
Last 10 meetings
3.4
Goals per game
70%
Both teams scored
70%
Over 2.5 goals
09 May 2026
Last meeting
Werder Bremen in the last 5 meetings
LLLWL
Key Players
Bundesliga, this seasonWerder Bremen
Top scorer
Niclas Füllkrug
6 goals
Most assists
Marco Grüll
5 assists
Best rated
Marco Grüll
7.72
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl HeinGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Olivier DemanDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | |
| Marco FriedlDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Marco GrüllMidfielder | 6 (6) | 535 | 2 | 5 | – | 7.72 | |
| Ludovit ReisMidfielder | 6 (6) | 492 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Niclas FüllkrugAttacker | 6 (6) | 486 | 6 | 0 | – | 7.40 | – |
| ChukiMidfielder | 6 (6) | 480 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.02 | |
| Amos PieperDefender | 6 (6) | 458 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Youri RegeerMidfielder | 5 (5) | 409 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | |
| ArthurDefender | 5 (5) | 393 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Eren DinkçiMidfielder | 6 (5) | 367 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Mick SchmetgensDefender | 5 (1) | 132 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.30 | – |
| Mitchell WeiserDefender | 4 (0) | 98 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Dariusz StalmachMidfielder | 5 (0) | 97 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Oskar WojcikDefender | 2 (0) | 82 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | – |
TSG Hoffenheim
Top scorer
Adam Daghim
2 goals
Most assists
Vladimír Coufal
2 assists
Best rated
Alexander Prass
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver BaumannGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Leon AvdullahuMidfielder | 6 (6) | 530 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Vladimír CoufalDefender | 6 (6) | 519 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Ozan KabakDefender | 6 (5) | 451 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Adam DaghimMidfielder | 6 (5) | 442 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Wouter BurgerMidfielder | 5 (5) | 439 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Bambasé ContéMidfielder | 6 (5) | 429 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.29 | – |
| Adam HlozekAttacker | 6 (5) | 375 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Tim LemperleAttacker | 5 (4) | 335 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Albian HajdariDefender | 4 (3) | 311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Mats RotsDefender | 5 (4) | 298 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Koki MachidaDefender | 4 (3) | 275 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Patrick WimmerMidfielder | 4 (2) | 207 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Robin HranacDefender | 4 (1) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Fisnik AsllaniMidfielder | 4 (2) | 150 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.66 | 2.25 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.65 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.98 | 1.92 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.75 | 1.44 |
| Betano.dk | 1.15 | 5.60 |