AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa – Match preview
AFC Bournemouth-:-
Aston VillaVitality Stadium
Match Result
AFC Bournemouth
41%–
fair 2.41–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.86–
Last 1025%5/20
Aston Villa
33%–
fair 3.06–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
AFC Bournemouth
56%–
fair 1.79–
Last 1047%7/15
Aston Villa
44%–
fair 2.27–
Last 1053%8/15
Double chance
AFC Bournemouth or draw
67%–
fair 1.48–
Last 1060%12/20
AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa
74%–
fair 1.35–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Aston Villa
59%–
fair 1.71–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1055%11/20
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet
20%
model chance
Aston Villa clean sheet
23%
model chance
AFC Bournemouth goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Aston Villa goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
AFC Bournemouth corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Aston Villa corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cards · Referee Tony Harrington (3.5 cards a match, ×0.87)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
AFC Bournemouth cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Aston Villa cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 18 Oct 2026AFC BournemouthAston Villa
- 22
- League position
- 27
- W
- Last 5
- W
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 0
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
AFC Bournemouth wins
3
Draws
4
Aston Villa wins
Last 8 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
07 Feb 2026
Last meeting
AFC Bournemouth in the last 5 meetings
DLLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
AFC Bournemouth
- Alex ScottHamstring Injury
- Eli KroupiFoot Injury
- Julián AraujoHamstring Injury
- Veljko MilosavljevicKnee Injury
Aston Villa
- Aaron Wan-BissakaHamstring Injury
- Amadou OnanaCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ian MaatsenAnkle Injury
- Matteo RuggeriHamstring Injury
Key Players
Carabao Cup, this seasonAFC Bournemouth
Top scorer
Ryan Christie
3 goals
Most assists
Bafodé Diakité
1 assists
Best rated
Ryan Christie
10.00
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis CookMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.68 | – |
| Ryan ChristieMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 3 | 0 | – | 10.00 | – |
| Michele Di GregorioGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| James HillDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.92 | – |
| Bafodé DiakitéDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.57 | – |
| Julio SolerDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.30 | – |
| António SilvaDefender | 1 (1) | 82 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.38 | |
| Ben Gannon-DoakMidfielder | 1 (1) | 78 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.29 | – |
| David BrooksMidfielder | 1 (1) | 78 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.71 | – |
| Álvaro RodríguezAttacker | 1 (1) | 78 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Justin KluivertMidfielder | 1 (1) | 62 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.19 | |
| Alex TóthMidfielder | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Daniel JebbisonAttacker | 1 (0) | 12 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Marcus TavernierMidfielder | 1 (0) | 12 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| RayanAttacker | 1 (0) | 12 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.49 | – |
Aston Villa
Top scorer
Tammy Abraham
2 goals
Most assists
Ross Barkley
1 assists
Best rated
Ross Barkley
8.66
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross BarkleyMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 1 | – | 8.66 | |
| Tyrone MingsDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Aaron Wan-BissakaDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Taylor Harwood-BellisDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Matteo RuggeriDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Lamare BogardeMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| George Lawrence HemmingsMidfielder | 1 (1) | 79 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Tammy AbrahamAttacker | 1 (1) | 69 | 2 | 0 | – | 8.27 | – |
| Ibrahim MbayeMidfielder | 1 (1) | 64 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.55 | – |
| John McGinnMidfielder | 1 (1) | 64 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Marco BizotGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Zion SuzukiGoalkeeper | 1 (0) | 44 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Emiliano BuendíaMidfielder | 1 (0) | 26 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Johan ManzambiMidfielder | 1 (0) | 26 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Nicolas JacksonAttacker | 1 (0) | 21 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
Referee
Tony Harrington
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 3.25
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.13
- Red cards per game
- 0.13
- Fouls per game
- 20.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.08
- Home wins
- 38%
Averages across 24 completed matches officiated by Tony Harrington in our database.