Liverpool vs Chelsea – Match preview
Liverpool-:-
ChelseaAnfield
Match Result
Liverpool
37%2.87
fair 2.73+5%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
25%3.78
fair 4.04-6%
Last 1015%3/20
Chelsea
39%2.29
fair 2.59-11%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Liverpool
49%2.11
fair 2.05+3%
Last 1059%10/17
Chelsea
51%1.68
fair 1.95-14%
Last 1041%7/17
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
61%1.63
fair 1.630%
Last 1065%13/20
Liverpool or Chelsea
75%1.27
fair 1.33-4%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Chelsea
63%1.43
fair 1.58-9%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 85% | 15% | 1.14 / 5.59 | 90%18/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5 | 66% | 34% | 1.47 / 2.66 | 75%15/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | 2.19 / 1.68 | 45%9/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 27% | 73% | 3.74 / 1.27 | 30%6/20 | none |
Both teams to score
67%Yes 1.44
Last 1065%13/20
Liverpool clean sheet
17%
model chance
Chelsea clean sheet
18%
model chance
Liverpool goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%
Chelsea goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 10.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Liverpool corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Chelsea corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cards · Referee Darren England (4.3 cards a match, ×1.01)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Liverpool cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Chelsea cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cody Gakpo Liverpool | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 49% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | +8% |
Morgan Rogers Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.90 | 1.90 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -27% |
Cody Gakpo Liverpool | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | 27% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +20% |
Morgan Rogers Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.20 | 3.20 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -32% |
Alexander Isak Liverpool | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -37% |
Cole Palmer Chelsea | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | 31% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -47% |
Cody Gakpo Liverpool | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.25 | 3.25 | 31% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -1% |
Florian Wirtz Liverpool | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50 | 2.50 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -29% |
Alexander Isak Liverpool | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.60 | 2.60 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -36% |
Alexis Mac Allister Liverpool | Over 0.5 Goals · 7.00 | 7.00 | 21% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +46% |
Valentín Barco Chelsea | Over 0.5 Goals · 7.00 | 7.00 | 13% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -6% |
Jorrel Hato Chelsea | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | 14% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | -12% |
Form Guide
Updated 18 Oct 2026LiverpoolChelsea
- 27
- League position
- 5
- W
- Last 5
- WW
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 1
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
Liverpool wins
7
Draws
3
Chelsea wins
Last 15 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
09 May 2026
Last meeting
Liverpool in the last 5 meetings
DLLWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Liverpool
- Conor BradleyKnee Surgery
- Dominik SzoboszlaiThigh Problems
- Giovanni LeoniCruciate Ligament Tear
- Hugo EkitikéAchilles tendon rupture
- Jeremie FrimpongMuscle Injury
- Vitezslav JarosKnee Surgery
Chelsea
- Emmanuel EmeghaFitness
- Jamie GittensAnkle Injury
- Pep ChavarríaUnknown Injury
- Reece JamesKnee Surgery
Key Players
Carabao Cup, this seasonLiverpool
Top scorer
Alexis Mac Allister
1 goals
Most assists
Alexis Mac Allister
1 assists
Best rated
Alexis Mac Allister
8.58
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Mac AllisterMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 1 | – | 8.58 | – |
| Cody GakpoMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.57 | – |
| Giorgi MamardashviliGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Jeremie FrimpongDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Ronald AraujoDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Milos KerkezDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Lewis KoumasAttacker | 1 (1) | 86 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.05 | – |
| Rio NgumohaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 72 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| James McConnellMidfielder | 1 (1) | 62 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | – |
| Trey NyoniMidfielder | 1 (1) | 62 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Joe GomezDefender | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Jérémy JacquetDefender | 1 (0) | 44 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Ryan GravenberchMidfielder | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Dominik SzoboszlaiMidfielder | 1 (0) | 28 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Bradley BarcolaAttacker | 1 (0) | 18 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
Chelsea
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck
3 goals
Most assists
Morgan Rogers
4 assists
Best rated
Cole Palmer
8.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín BarcoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 1 | – | 8.04 | – |
| Maxence LacroixDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Pep ChavarríaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.27 | – |
| Josh AcheampongDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.34 | – |
| Mike PendersGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Danny WelbeckAttacker | 2 (2) | 163 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.96 | – |
| Cole PalmerMidfielder | 2 (1) | 134 | 2 | 0 | – | 8.35 | – |
| EstêvãoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 126 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Malo GustoDefender | 2 (2) | 113 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Morgan RogersMidfielder | 2 (1) | 112 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Reece JamesMidfielder | 2 (1) | 111 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Levi ColwillDefender | 1 (1) | 76 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.28 | – |
| Pedro NetoAttacker | 2 (0) | 67 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Jamie GittensAttacker | 2 (1) | 56 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Reggie WatsonMidfielder | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 |
Referee
Darren England
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 4.13
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.95
- Red cards per game
- 0.18
- Fouls per game
- 21.7
- Penalties per game
- 0.15
- Home wins
- 49%
Averages across 40 completed matches officiated by Darren England in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.82 | 2.00 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.82 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 5.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 1.73 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 2.09 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.73 | 2.12 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 1.75 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.76 | 2.06 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 1.78 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.74 | 2.08 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.56 | 1.49 |
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Betano.dk | 11.25 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.45 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.74 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 5.59 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 13.70 | 3.62 | 13.70 | 27.00 | 6.95 | 4.40 | 5.95 | 6.05 | 25.00 |
| Marathonbet | 13.75 | 3.62 | 13.75 | 27.00 | 6.95 | 4.40 | 5.95 | 6.05 | 25.00 |