AEK Athens vs Real Madrid – Match preview
AEK Athens-:-
Real MadridOPAP ArenaRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
36%
24%
AEK AthensDraw 40%Real Madrid
Double Chance
39%
39%
AEK AthensDraw 22%Real Madrid
Half Time Result
55%
40%
AEK AthensDraw 5%Real Madrid
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
Over 0.5 Goals
45%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
70%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
73%
Match Result
AEK Athens
19%8.48
fair 5.24disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
18%6.25
fair 5.52disputed
Last 1015%3/20
Real Madrid
63%1.28
fair 1.59-20%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
AEK Athens
23%7.12
fair 4.29disputed
Last 1041%7/17
Real Madrid
77%1.08
fair 1.30-17%
Last 1059%10/17
Double chance
AEK Athens or draw
37%3.60
fair 2.69disputed
Last 1050%10/20
AEK Athens or Real Madrid
82%1.11
fair 1.22-9%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Real Madrid
81%1.06
fair 1.24-14%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%Yes 1.57
Last 1065%13/20
AEK Athens clean sheet
16%
model chance
Real Madrid clean sheet
23%
model chance
AEK Athens goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Real Madrid goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
AEK Athens corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Real Madrid corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
AEK Athens cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Real Madrid cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.44 | 1.44 | 45% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -35% |
Yan Diomande Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.61 | 1.61 | 38% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -39% |
Arda Güler Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.66 | 1.66 | 30% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -49% |
Kervin Arriaga AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 7.00 | 7.00 | 19% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | +34% |
Yan Diomande Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.25 | 3.25 | 20% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -34% |
Brahim Díaz Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -59% |
Carlos Espí Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.50 | 1.50 | 3% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -95% |
Carlos Espí Real Madrid | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.72 | 1.72 | 2% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -96% |
Aboubakary Koita AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.50 | 5.50 | 23% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +28% |
Stavros Pilios AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 7.00 | 7.00 | 18% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | +23% |
Kervin Arriaga AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Assists · 11.00 | 11.00 | 11% | 0%0/5 | 30%3/10 | +17% |
Aboubakary Koita AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.25 | 3.25 | 32% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +5% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026AEK AthensReal Madrid
- 21
- League position
- 11
- LLWWD
- Last 5
- WWW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 7.25
- xG for (L5)
- 8.73
- 6.07
- xG against (L5)
- 4.52
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
AEK Athens
- Christos AlexiouNo Eligibility
- Dereck KutesaNo Eligibility
- Frantzdy PierrotNo Eligibility
- Hakim SahaboNo Eligibility
- Martin GeorgievNo Eligibility
- Thomas StrakoshaBroken Hand
Real Madrid
- Ferland MendyTendon Rupture
- Raúl AsencioFatigue Fracture
- RodrygoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Thibaut CourtoisFlu
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonAEK Athens
Top scorer
Răzvan Marin
2 goals
Most assists
Stavros Pilios
1 assists
Best rated
Răzvan Marin
7.38
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stavros PiliosDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Lazaros RotaDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Harold MoukoudiDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Filipe RelvasDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Răzvan MarinMidfielder | 5 (5) | 395 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.38 | ×2 |
| Lovro MajerMidfielder | 5 (5) | 388 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.36 | |
| Luka JovićAttacker | 5 (5) | 387 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Aboubakary KoitaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 377 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Alberto BrignoliGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Barnabás VargaAttacker | 5 (3) | 260 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| ZiniAttacker | 5 (2) | 214 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Kaan KairinenMidfielder | 3 (2) | 192 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Thomas StrakoshaGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Milán VitálisMidfielder | 3 (2) | 175 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Kervin ArriagaMidfielder | 3 (1) | 88 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
Real Madrid
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé
3 goals
Most assists
Arda Güler
3 assists
Best rated
Arda Güler
8.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut CourtoisGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Federico ValverdeMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Jude BellinghamMidfielder | 3 (3) | 268 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.29 | – |
| Kylian MbappéAttacker | 3 (3) | 268 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.68 | – |
| Vinicius JuniorMidfielder | 3 (3) | 216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Marc CucurellaDefender | 3 (2) | 188 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Ibrahima KonatéDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Antonio RüdigerDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Dean HuijsenDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | |
| Denzel DumfriesDefender | 2 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Bernardo SilvaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 110 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Arda GülerMidfielder | 2 (1) | 109 | 1 | 3 | – | 8.12 | – |
| Yan DiomandeAttacker | 3 (1) | 109 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.42 | – |
| Brahim DíazMidfielder | 2 (1) | 91 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Eduardo CamavingaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.63 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.85 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.81 | 2.04 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.09 | 1.79 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.86 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.81 | 2.01 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.85 | 2.03 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 3.40 | 1.33 |
| Betano.dk | 6.80 | 1.11 |