Atlético Madrid vs FC Bayern München – Match preview
Atlético Madrid-:-
FC Bayern MünchenRiyadh Air MetropolitanoRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
27%
38%
Atlético MadridDraw 35%FC Bayern München
Double Chance
35%
43%
Atlético MadridDraw 22%FC Bayern München
Half Time Result
44%
52%
Atlético MadridDraw 4%FC Bayern München
Probability
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
Over 0.5 Goals
41%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
76%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
70%
Match Result
Atlético Madrid
30%3.25
fair 3.30-2%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
23%4.22
fair 4.33-2%
Last 1025%5/20
FC Bayern München
47%1.97
fair 2.15-8%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Atlético Madrid
39%2.48
fair 2.54-2%
Last 1047%7/15
FC Bayern München
61%1.50
fair 1.65-9%
Last 1053%8/15
Double chance
Atlético Madrid or draw
53%1.84
fair 1.87-2%
Last 1060%12/20
Atlético Madrid or FC Bayern München
77%1.23
fair 1.30-5%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or FC Bayern München
70%1.34
fair 1.43-7%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.8 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 1.38 / 3.01 | 75%15/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5main | 46% | 54% | 1.97 / 1.84 | 45%9/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
67%Yes 1.36
Last 1055%11/20
Atlético Madrid clean sheet
14%
model chance
FC Bayern München clean sheet
24%
model chance
Atlético Madrid goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
FC Bayern München goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Atlético Madrid corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
FC Bayern München corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Atlético Madrid cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
FC Bayern München cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harry Kane FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.57 | 1.57 | 53% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | -16% |
Harry Kane FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.83 | 1.83 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -32% |
Michael Olise FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.10 | 3.10 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | +11% |
Michael Olise FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | 51% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -12% |
Harry Kane FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Assists · 5.00 | 5.00 | 26% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +28% |
Michael Olise FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.00 | 3.00 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Jonathan David Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -45% |
Joshua Kimmich FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | 16% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -26% |
Alphonso Davies FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | 18% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Joshua Kimmich FC Bayern München | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -34% |
Álex Baena Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -36% |
Julián Alvarez Atlético Madrid | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -42% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Atlético MadridFC Bayern München
- 42
- League position
- 36
- DWL
- Last 5
- DDW
- 1.33
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.67
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 2.81
- xG for (L5)
- 8.26
- 3.83
- xG against (L5)
- 3.15
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Atlético Madrid wins
1
Draws
1
FC Bayern München wins
Last 2 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
01 Dec 2020
Last meeting
Atlético Madrid in the last 2 meetings
DL
Injuries & Suspensions
Atlético Madrid
- KokeMuscle Injury
FC Bayern München
- Aleksandar PavlovicCalf Problems
- Jamal MusialaTorn Muscle Fiber
- Joshua KimmichSpecial Leave
- Luis DíazTorn Muscle Bundle
- Manuel NeuerFoot Injury
- Min-jae KimGroin Problems
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonAtlético Madrid
Top scorer
Marcos Llorente
1 goals
Most assists
Julián Alvarez
1 assists
Best rated
Julián Alvarez
7.39
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dávid HanckoDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Jan OblakGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Marcos LlorenteDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Giuliano SimeoneMidfielder | 3 (3) | 265 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Julián AlvarezAttacker | 3 (3) | 239 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Pablo BarriosMidfielder | 3 (3) | 215 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.32 | – |
| Álex BaenaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 213 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Alejandro GrimaldoDefender | 3 (2) | 211 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Marc PubillDefender | 3 (2) | 210 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | |
| Cristian RomeroDefender | 2 (2) | 167 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Kang-in LeeAttacker | 2 (2) | 120 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Johnny CardosoMidfielder | 2 (1) | 111 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Morten HjulmandMidfielder | 3 (1) | 96 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | |
| Ademola LookmanAttacker | 3 (0) | 94 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Jonathan DavidAttacker | 3 (1) | 92 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.32 | – |
FC Bayern München
Top scorer
Harry Kane
4 goals
Most assists
Harry Kane
2 assists
Best rated
Michael Olise
8.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry KaneAttacker | 3 (3) | 270 | 4 | 2 | – | 8.05 | – |
| Konrad LaimerDefender | 3 (3) | 245 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | |
| Dayot UpamecanoDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Alphonso DaviesDefender | 3 (2) | 209 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Tom BischofMidfielder | 3 (2) | 190 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Aleksandar PavlovicMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Jonathan TahDefender | 3 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Manuel NeuerGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Luis DíazMidfielder | 3 (2) | 178 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Joshua KimmichMidfielder | 2 (2) | 170 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.88 | – |
| Michael OliseMidfielder | 2 (2) | 163 | 2 | 1 | – | 8.37 | |
| Min-jae KimDefender | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | – |
| Ismael SaibariMidfielder | 3 (1) | 130 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Josip StanisicDefender | 3 (1) | 129 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Jonas UrbigGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.18 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 11.60 | 2.18 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.97 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 1.29 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 1.42 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 1.87 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.99 | 1.89 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 5.90 | 1.07 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.52 | 2.52 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 1.68 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.99 | 1.89 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.04 | 3.14 |
| bet365 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Betano.dk | 1.35 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 1.02 | 10.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.01 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 1.26 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.00 | 2.85 | 5.60 | 7.20 | 20.00 | 14.20 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 27.00 |
| Marathonbet | 14.00 | 2.85 | 5.60 | 7.20 | 20.50 | 14.25 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 27.00 |