FC Barcelona vs Aston Villa – Match preview
FC Barcelona-:-
Aston VillaCamp NouRound 4
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
75%
14%
FC BarcelonaDraw 11%Aston Villa
Bookmaker implied
77%
9%
FC BarcelonaDraw 14%Aston Villa
4.8 – 2.3
Expected score
97%
Over 2.5 goals
90%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
55%
17%
FC BarcelonaDraw 28%Aston Villa
Double Chance
68%
16%
FC BarcelonaDraw 16%Aston Villa
Half Time Result
65%
32%
FC BarcelonaDraw 3%Aston Villa
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
49%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
90%
Match Result
FC Barcelona
71%1.23
fair 1.41-13%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
15%7.29
fair 6.49disputed
Last 105%1/20
Aston Villa
14%9.69
fair 7.29disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
FC Barcelona
84%1.06
fair 1.19-11%
Last 1053%10/19
Aston Villa
16%8.36
fair 6.17disputed
Last 1047%9/19
Double chance
FC Barcelona or draw
86%1.05
fair 1.16-9%
Last 1055%11/20
FC Barcelona or Aston Villa
85%1.09
fair 1.18-8%
Last 1095%19/20
Draw or Aston Villa
29%4.16
fair 3.43disputed
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 2.4–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 98% | 2% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 89% | 11% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 57% | 43% | 1.53 / 2.46 | 70%14/20 | Under +6% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 37% | 63% | 2.23 / 1.63 | 50%10/20 | Under +2% |
Both teams to score
67%Yes 1.50
Last 1075%15/20
FC Barcelona clean sheet
19%
model chance
Aston Villa clean sheet
12%
model chance
FC Barcelona goals
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%
Aston Villa goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
FC Barcelona corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Aston Villa corners
O2.5 77%O3.5 58%O4.5 38%O5.5 22%O6.5 12%O7.5 5%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
FC Barcelona cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Aston Villa cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 37% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | +3% |
Raphinha FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.61 | 1.61 | 40% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -36% |
John McGinn Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | 24% | 20%1/5 | 60%6/10 | -5% |
Lamine Yamal FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Assists · 2.05 | 2.05 | 35% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -27% |
Lamine Yamal FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.80 | 1.80 | 37% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -34% |
Nicolas Jackson Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60 | 3.60 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +34% |
Nicolas Jackson Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 42% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +15% |
Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.75 | 3.75 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +6% |
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00 | 4.00 | 24% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -6% |
Gabriel Jesus FC Barcelona | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.40 | 1.40 | 26% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -63% |
Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50 | 7.50 | 16% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +22% |
John McGinn Aston Villa | Over 0.5 Assists · 7.50 | 7.50 | 15% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | +9% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026FC BarcelonaAston Villa
- 24
- League position
- 9
- LWW
- Last 5
- WWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 6.87
- xG for (L5)
- 8.26
- 3.83
- xG against (L5)
- 3.89
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Barcelona
- Andreas ChristensenMuscle Injury
- Dani OlmoAdductor Tear
- Eric GarcíaHamstring Injury
- Jules KoundéAnkle Sprain
- Roony BardghjiCruciate Ligament Tear
- Xavi EspartAnkle Injury
Aston Villa
- Aaron Wan-BissakaHamstring Injury
- Amadou OnanaCruciate Ligament Tear
- Matteo RuggeriHamstring Injury
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonFC Barcelona
Top scorer
Lamine Yamal
2 goals
Most assists
Lamine Yamal
4 assists
Best rated
Lamine Yamal
8.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan GarcíaGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| João CanceloDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.24 | |
| Pau CubarsíDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Lamine YamalAttacker | 3 (3) | 270 | 2 | 4 | – | 8.51 | – |
| RodriMidfielder | 3 (2) | 203 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| PedriMidfielder | 3 (3) | 196 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Gerard MartínDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Anthony GordonAttacker | 3 (2) | 176 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Dani OlmoMidfielder | 3 (3) | 168 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.12 | |
| Fermín LópezMidfielder | 3 (1) | 164 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.85 | – |
| RaphinhaAttacker | 2 (2) | 131 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.96 | – |
| Karim AdeyemiAttacker | 3 (1) | 124 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Jules KoundéDefender | 2 (1) | 107 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| Marc BernalMidfielder | 3 (1) | 104 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Andreas ChristensenDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
Aston Villa
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson
3 goals
Most assists
Pau Torres
2 assists
Best rated
Nicolas Jackson
7.81
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion SuzukiGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| John McGinnMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.69 | |
| Victor LindelöfDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Pau TorresDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.49 | – |
| Nicolas JacksonAttacker | 3 (3) | 229 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.81 | – |
| João GomesMidfielder | 3 (2) | 177 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.06 | |
| Ross BarkleyMidfielder | 3 (2) | 175 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.71 | – |
| Emiliano BuendíaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 158 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Aaron Wan-BissakaDefender | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Ibrahim MbayeMidfielder | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.47 | – |
| Boubacar KamaraMidfielder | 2 (2) | 141 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.09 | – |
| AlyssonAttacker | 3 (1) | 114 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Matty CashDefender | 2 (1) | 110 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| George Lawrence HemmingsMidfielder | 2 (1) | 105 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | – |
| Tyrone MingsDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.47 | 2.70 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 1.22 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.64 | 1.28 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 1.94 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.92 | 1.96 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 2.33 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.61 | 2.31 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 2.80 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.92 | 1.96 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.02 | 9.85 |
| bet365 | 1.22 | 4.33 |
| Betano.dk | 3.60 | 1.13 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 1.07 |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 1.18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 2.25 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 60.00 | 10.70 | 1.60 | 4.33 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 18.50 | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| Marathonbet | 61.00 | 10.75 | 1.60 | 4.33 | 19.25 | 23.00 | 18.75 | 22.00 | 23.00 |