Lens vs Como – Match preview
-:-
Stade Bollaert-DelelisRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
30%
30%
LensDraw 40%Como
Double Chance
35%
43%
LensDraw 22%Como
Half Time Result
49%
47%
LensDraw 4%Como
Probability
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
43%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
77%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
72%
Match Result
Lens
34%2.90
fair 2.97-2%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
24%4.10
fair 4.16-1%
Last 1010%2/20
Como
42%2.17
fair 2.37-8%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Lens
44%2.19
fair 2.25-3%
Last 1033%6/18
Como
56%1.64
fair 1.80-9%
Last 1067%12/18
Double chance
Lens or draw
58%1.70
fair 1.73-2%
Last 1040%8/20
Lens or Como
76%1.24
fair 1.32-6%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Como
66%1.42
fair 1.51-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%Yes 1.44
Last 1070%14/20
Lens clean sheet
17%
model chance
Como clean sheet
25%
model chance
Lens goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Como goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Lens corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Como corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Lens cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Como cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%O3.5 10%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florian Thauvin Lens | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | 45% | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | -8% |
Florian Thauvin Lens | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.50 | 4.50 | 29% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | +31% |
Anastasios Douvikas Como | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05 | 2.05 | 42% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -13% |
Anastasios Douvikas Como | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.40 | 2.40 | 36% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -13% |
Moise Kean Como | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.80 | 1.80 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | -65% |
Jacobo Ramón Como | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50 | 5.50 | 19% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +3% |
Abdallah Sima Lens | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -24% |
Adrian Lahdo Como | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -38% |
Martin Baturina Como | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.20 | 3.20 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -57% |
Martin Baturina Como | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.00 | 2.00 | 20% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -61% |
Moise Kean Como | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.25 | 2.25 | 14% | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | -67% |
Jacobo Ramón Como | Over 0.5 Goals · 7.50 | 7.50 | 13% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | +1% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026LensComo
- 61
- League position
- 25
- LLW
- Last 5
- WLW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 5.09
- xG for (L5)
- 4.06
- 5.76
- xG against (L5)
- 2.64
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Lens
- Abdallah SimaDead Leg
- Ismaëlo GaniouKnee Surgery
- Jonathan GraditDead Leg
- Maik NawrockiCruciate Ligament Tear
- Odsonne ÉdouardAdductor Pain
Como
- Adrian LahdoNo Eligibility
- Assane DiaoHamstring Strain
- Jayden AddaiNo Eligibility
- Jesús RodríguezMuscle Injury
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonLens
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Florian Thauvin
7.81
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin RisserGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Matthieu UdolMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Amadou HaidaraMidfielder | 3 (3) | 225 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Florian ThauvinAttacker | 3 (2) | 212 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.81 | |
| Kyllian AntonioDefender | 3 (2) | 188 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Ismaëlo GaniouDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| Michaël CuisanceMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Franjo IvanovićAttacker | 3 (3) | 177 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Michal SkorasMidfielder | 3 (2) | 174 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Junior KadileAttacker | 3 (2) | 173 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Saud AbdulhamidMidfielder | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Ruben AguilarDefender | 3 (1) | 142 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Samson BaidooDefender | 2 (2) | 104 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Odsonne ÉdouardAttacker | 3 (0) | 92 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Andrija BulatovicMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.70 | – |
Como
Top scorer
Anastasios Douvikas
3 goals
Most assists
Nico Paz
3 assists
Best rated
Nico Paz
8.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobo RamónDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.18 | |
| Álex ValleDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Nico PazMidfielder | 3 (3) | 260 | 2 | 3 | – | 8.37 | |
| Luis MillaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 240 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Martin BaturinaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 208 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.73 | – |
| Máximo PerroneMidfielder | 3 (2) | 194 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.05 | |
| Anastasios DouvikasAttacker | 3 (2) | 185 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Yan CoutoDefender | 3 (2) | 184 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Trevoh ChalobahDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | – |
| Jean ButezGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Lucas Da CunhaMidfielder | 3 (2) | 165 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | |
| Marc Oliver KempfDefender | 2 (1) | 115 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Assane DiaoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 109 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Robert SánchezGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Ivan SmolcicDefender | 3 (1) | 86 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.98 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.72 | 2.15 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.71 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.93 | 1.95 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano.dk | 1.18 | 12.00 |