Manchester United vs Roma — Preview & Prediction

Predictions

Full Time Result

26%

33%

Manchester UnitedDraw 41%Roma

Double Chance

39%

37%

Manchester UnitedDraw 24%Roma

Half Time Result

45%

49%

Manchester UnitedDraw 6%Roma

Probability

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 1.5 Goals

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

56%

Over 3.5 Goals

33%

Over 4.5 Goals

6%

Over 0.5 Goals

41%

Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)

71%

Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)

72%

Match Result

Manchester United

39%2.28

fair 2.59-12%

Last 1010%2/20

Draw

24%4.05

fair 4.16-3%

Last 1040%8/20

Roma

37%2.75

fair 2.68+3%

Last 1050%10/20

Draw no bet

Manchester United

51%1.72

fair 1.97-13%

Last 1017%2/12

Roma

49%2.07

fair 2.03+2%

Last 1083%10/12

Double chance

Manchester United or draw

63%1.46

fair 1.60-9%

Last 1050%10/20

Manchester United or Roma

76%1.25

fair 1.32-5%

Last 1060%12/20

Draw or Roma

61%1.64

fair 1.63+1%

Last 1090%18/20

Expected goals 1.5–1.8 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	96%	4%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	84%	16%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 2.5	63%	37%	1.49 / 2.53	55%11/20	none
Over/under 3.5main	42%	58%	2.23 / 1.62	45%9/20	none
Over/under 4.5	23%	77%	–	25%5/20	–

Both teams to score

63%Yes 1.50

Last 1060%12/20

Manchester United clean sheet

14%

model chance

Roma clean sheet

27%

model chance

Manchester United goals

O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%

Roma goals

O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%

Corners

Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	73%	27%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 8.5	60%	40%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	47%	53%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 10.5	35%	65%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 11.5	24%	76%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 12.5	16%	84%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 13.5	10%	90%	–	20%4/20	–

Manchester United corners

O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%

Roma corners

O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%

Cards

Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	78%	22%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5	59%	41%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	40%	60%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 5.5	24%	76%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 6.5	13%	87%	–	5%1/20	–

Manchester United cards

O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%

Roma cards

O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Donyell Malen Roma	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.80	1.80	50%	80%4/5	70%7/10	-9%
Donyell Malen Roma	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.10	2.10	36%	60%3/5	50%5/10	-24%
Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05	2.05	35%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-27%
Benjamin Sesko Manchester United	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05	2.05	20%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-58%
Benjamin Sesko Manchester United	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.40	2.40	17%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-60%
Donyell Malen Roma	Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50	6.50	22%	40%2/5	30%3/10	+41%
Niccolò Pisilli Roma	Over 0.5 Goals · 5.00	5.00	22%	40%2/5	30%3/10	+8%
Paulo Dybala Roma	Over 0.5 Assists · 3.75	3.75	28%	0%0/5	30%3/10	+6%
Nahuel Molina Roma	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50	5.50	18%	40%2/5	30%3/10	-1%
Niccolò Pisilli Roma	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10	3.10	31%	40%2/5	30%3/10	-5%
Youri Tielemans Manchester United	Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50	6.50	12%	20%1/5	30%3/10	-19%
Paulo Dybala Roma	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83	1.83	43%	0%0/5	30%3/10	-21%

Player prop screener

Form Guide

Updated 29 Oct 2026

Manchester UnitedRoma

50
League position: 40; LLW
Last 5: WLD; 1.00
Points per game (L5): 1.33; 5
Goals scored (L5): 8; 6
Goals conceded (L5): 5; 4.99
xG for (L5): 5.82; 3.23
xG against (L5): 3.16; 1
Clean sheets (L5): 1

Head to Head

1

Manchester United wins

0

Draws

1

Roma wins

Last 2 meetings

6.5

Goals per game

100%

Both teams scored

100%

Over 2.5 goals

06 May 2021

Last meeting

Manchester United in the last 2 meetings

LW

Injuries & Suspensions