Porto vs Napoli – Match preview
Porto-:-
NapoliEstádio Do DragãoRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
34%
24%
PortoDraw 42%Napoli
Double Chance
43%
32%
PortoDraw 25%Napoli
Half Time Result
54%
39%
PortoDraw 7%Napoli
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
41%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
65%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
74%
Match Result
Porto
43%2.17
fair 2.35-8%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
26%3.66
fair 3.80-4%
Last 1015%3/20
Napoli
31%3.16
fair 3.21-2%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Porto
58%1.58
fair 1.73-9%
Last 1053%9/17
Napoli
42%2.30
fair 2.37-3%
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Porto or draw
69%1.36
fair 1.45-6%
Last 1060%12/20
Porto or Napoli
74%1.29
fair 1.36-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Napoli
57%1.70
fair 1.74-2%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.61
Last 1050%10/20
Porto clean sheet
22%
model chance
Napoli clean sheet
25%
model chance
Porto goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Napoli goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Porto corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Napoli corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Porto cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Napoli cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matteo Politano Napoli | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | 33% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | 0% |
Matteo Politano Napoli | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00 | 6.00 | 17% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +4% |
Matteo Politano Napoli | Over 0.5 Goals · 5.00 | 5.00 | 19% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -3% |
Scott McTominay Napoli | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.75 | 3.75 | 24% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -11% |
Scott McTominay Napoli | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 28% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -23% |
Costantino Favasuli Napoli | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.00 | 8.00 | 7% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -41% |
Kevin De Bruyne Napoli | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -44% |
Costantino Favasuli Napoli | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50 | 5.50 | 8% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | -54% |
Amir Rrahmani Napoli | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 9.50 | 9.50 | 12% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | +11% |
Kevin De Bruyne Napoli | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.50 | 4.50 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -19% |
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Napoli | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.00 | 8.00 | 10% | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | -23% |
Noa Lang Napoli | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 26% | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | -28% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026PortoNapoli
- 78
- League position
- 55
- LLL
- Last 5
- WLL
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 2.94
- xG for (L5)
- 4.17
- 6.33
- xG against (L5)
- 7.32
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Porto
- Martim FernandesUnknown Injury
- Vasco SousaBroken Fibula
- William GomesAnkle Sprain
Napoli
- Alessandro BuongiornoKnee Surgery
- Alisson SantosHamstring Muscle Injury
- Benoît BadiashileHamstring Strain
- Costantino FavasuliHamstring Strain
- David NeresHamstring Injury
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonPorto
Top scorer
Gabri Veiga
1 goals
Most assists
Pepê
1 assists
Best rated
Diogo Costa
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo RosarioMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Jakub KiwiorDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Diogo CostaGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.32 | – |
| PepêAttacker | 3 (3) | 265 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Gabri VeigaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 212 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Alberto CostaDefender | 3 (2) | 211 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.18 | – |
| Victor FroholdtMidfielder | 2 (2) | 166 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| André SilvaAttacker | 3 (2) | 164 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Alan VarelaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | |
| Martim FernandesDefender | 2 (2) | 132 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Borja SainzAttacker | 3 (1) | 113 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Francisco MouraDefender | 2 (1) | 107 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.96 | – |
| Jan BednarekDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Nehuén PérezDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Oskar PietuszewskiAttacker | 2 (1) | 89 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
Napoli
Top scorer
Scott McTominay
2 goals
Most assists
Kevin De Bruyne
1 assists
Best rated
Scott McTominay
7.64
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir RrahmaniDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Kevin De BruyneMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.23 | |
| Giovanni Di LorenzoDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Rasmus HøjlundAttacker | 3 (3) | 256 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Rafa MarínDefender | 3 (3) | 252 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Matteo PolitanoAttacker | 3 (3) | 196 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Billy GilmourMidfielder | 2 (2) | 162 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Scott McTominayMidfielder | 2 (2) | 151 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.64 | – |
| Alex MeretGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Vanja Milinković-SavićGoalkeeper | 2 (1) | 134 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Stanislav LobotkaMidfielder | 3 (1) | 125 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
| Noa LangAttacker | 2 (1) | 109 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Leonardo SpinazzolaDefender | 2 (1) | 108 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Mathías OliveraDefender | 2 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Benoît BadiashileDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.91 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.60 | 2.38 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.59 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.90 | 1.98 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 2.92 | 2.02 |