RB Leipzig vs Manchester City – Match preview
RB Leipzig-:-
Manchester CityRed Bull ArenaRound 4
Predictions
Full Time Result
35%
27%
RB LeipzigDraw 38%Manchester City
Double Chance
40%
38%
RB LeipzigDraw 22%Manchester City
Half Time Result
53%
44%
RB LeipzigDraw 3%Manchester City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
Over 0.5 Goals
47%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
73%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
74%
Match Result
RB Leipzig
25%5.19
fair 3.96disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
21%4.80
fair 4.820%
Last 105%1/20
Manchester City
54%1.52
fair 1.85-18%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
RB Leipzig
32%4.11
fair 3.14disputed
Last 1037%7/19
Manchester City
68%1.20
fair 1.47-18%
Last 1063%12/19
Double chance
RB Leipzig or draw
46%2.49
fair 2.18disputed
Last 1040%8/20
RB Leipzig or Manchester City
79%1.18
fair 1.26-6%
Last 1095%19/20
Draw or Manchester City
75%1.15
fair 1.34-14%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.8 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 98% | 2% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 89% | 12% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
Both teams to score
68%Yes 1.44
Last 1055%11/20
RB Leipzig clean sheet
14%
model chance
Manchester City clean sheet
17%
model chance
RB Leipzig goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%
Manchester City goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
RB Leipzig corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Manchester City corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 33%O7.5 20%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
RB Leipzig cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 14%
Manchester City cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Erling Haaland Manchester City | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.53 | 1.53 | 60% | 100%5/5 | 90%9/10 | -8% |
Erling Haaland Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.36 | 1.36 | 65% | 100%5/5 | 90%9/10 | -11% |
Christoph Baumgartner RB Leipzig | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 25% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -40% |
Rayan Cherki Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.50 | 1.50 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -43% |
Josko Gvardiol Manchester City | Over 0.5 Assists · 8.50 | 8.50 | 14% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | +22% |
Christopher Nkunku RB Leipzig | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 40% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -4% |
Tidiam Gomis RB Leipzig | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.20 | 3.20 | 30% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -5% |
Tidiam Gomis RB Leipzig | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.50 | 4.50 | 20% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -9% |
Brajan Gruda RB Leipzig | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75 | 2.75 | 30% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -17% |
Josko Gvardiol Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.33 | 4.33 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -23% |
Phil Foden Manchester City | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | 39% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -29% |
Rayan Cherki Manchester City | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.50 | 2.50 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -37% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026RB LeipzigManchester City
- 62
- League position
- 26
- LWL
- Last 5
- WLW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 4.45
- xG for (L5)
- 7.63
- 6.35
- xG against (L5)
- 2.73
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
RB Leipzig wins
1
Draws
4
Manchester City wins
Last 6 meetings
5.0
Goals per game
83%
Both teams scored
83%
Over 2.5 goals
28 Nov 2023
Last meeting
RB Leipzig in the last 5 meetings
LLLDW
Injuries & Suspensions
RB Leipzig
- Assan OuédraogoShoulder Injury
- Christopher NkunkuAdductor Pain
- Leopold ZingerleNo Eligibility
- Maxime EstèveKnock
Manchester City
- Antoine SemenyoKnee Injury
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonRB Leipzig
Top scorer
Brajan Gruda
1 goals
Most assists
Christopher Nkunku
1 assists
Best rated
Maarten Vandevoordt
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castello LukebaDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Maarten VandevoordtGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Willi OrbánDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Ridle BakuDefender | 3 (3) | 264 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| David RaumDefender | 3 (3) | 253 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Antonio NusaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 253 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Neil El AynaouiMidfielder | 3 (3) | 243 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Christopher NkunkuMidfielder | 3 (3) | 228 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.46 | |
| Brajan GrudaMidfielder | 3 (2) | 159 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Nicolas SeiwaldMidfielder | 3 (2) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| RômuloAttacker | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Ezechiel BanzuziMidfielder | 2 (1) | 116 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Andrija MaksimovicMidfielder | 2 (1) | 97 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Tidiam GomisAttacker | 3 (0) | 76 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Marc GuiuAttacker | 1 (1) | 60 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.09 | – |
Manchester City
Top scorer
Erling Haaland
4 goals
Most assists
Enzo Fernández
2 assists
Best rated
Phil Foden
8.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi DonnarummaGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Enzo FernándezMidfielder | 3 (3) | 252 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.48 | – |
| Abdukodir KhusanovDefender | 3 (2) | 222 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Rúben DiasDefender | 3 (3) | 219 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Josko GvardiolDefender | 3 (3) | 210 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Elliot AndersonMidfielder | 3 (2) | 208 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Rayan CherkiMidfielder | 3 (3) | 198 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Marc GuéhiDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Erling HaalandAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.98 | |
| Phil FodenMidfielder | 2 (2) | 165 | 3 | 1 | – | 8.53 | – |
| Antoine SemenyoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 152 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Matheus NunesMidfielder | 2 (1) | 134 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Ayyoub BouaddiMidfielder | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.89 | – |
| AllanAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.24 | – |
| Rico LewisDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 2 | – | 8.29 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 2 | 1 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.01 | 1.84 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.97 | 1.86 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.60 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.05 | 1.81 |
| Sbo | — | — | 2.02 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| Betano.dk | 13.50 | 14.00 |