Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig – Match preview
-:-
Estadio Santiago BernabéuRound 3
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
90%
3%
Real MadridDraw 7%RB Leipzig
Bookmaker implied
76%
10%
Real MadridDraw 14%RB Leipzig
3.9 – 0.8
Expected score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Predictions
48%Real Madrid
48%
31%
20%
Full Time Result
48%
21%
Real MadridDraw 31%RB Leipzig
Double Chance
69%
15%
Real MadridDraw 16%RB Leipzig
Half Time Result
65%
31%
Real MadridDraw 4%RB Leipzig
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
46%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
88%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Real MadridRB Leipzig
- 26
- League position
- 57
- WW
- Last 5
- WL
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.50
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 5.73
- xG for (L5)
- 3.31
- 3.37
- xG against (L5)
- 3.35
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Real Madrid wins
1
Draws
1
RB Leipzig wins
Last 4 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
06 Mar 2024
Last meeting
Real Madrid in the last 4 meetings
DWLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Madrid
- Éder MilitãoMuscle Injury
- Ferland MendyTendon Rupture
- Ibrahima KonatéMuscle Injury
- Raúl AsencioFatigue Fracture
- RodrygoCruciate Ligament Tear
RB Leipzig
- Assan OuédraogoShoulder Injury
- Christoph BaumgartnerHamstring Injury
- Leopold ZingerleNo Eligibility
Confirmed Line-ups
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut CourtoisGoalkeeper
- 12Trent Alexander-ArnoldDefender
- 24Denzel DumfriesMidfielder
- 16Ibrahima KonatéDefender
- 4Dean HuijsenDefender
- 22Antonio RüdigerDefender
- 17Marc CucurellaDefender
- 18Álvaro CarrerasDefender
- 8Federico ValverdeMidfielder
- 14Aurélien TchouaméniMidfielder
- 15Arda GülerMidfielder
- 25Yan DiomandeAttacker
- 5Jude BellinghamMidfielder
- 7Vinicius JuniorAttacker
- 10Kylian MbappéAttacker
RB Leipzig
- 26Maarten VandevoordtGoalkeeper
- 17Ridle BakuDefender
- 4Willi OrbánDefender
- 23Castello LukebaDefender
- 22David RaumDefender
- 21Neil El AynaouiMidfielder
- 6Ezechiel BanzuziMidfielder
- 10Brajan GrudaMidfielder
- 28Christopher NkunkuAttacker
- 7Antonio NusaAttacker
- 40RômuloAttacker
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonReal Madrid
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappé
2 goals
Most assists
Arda Güler
2 assists
Best rated
Kylian Mbappé
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut CourtoisGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Kylian MbappéAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.51 | – |
| Ibrahima KonatéDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Federico ValverdeMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Jude BellinghamMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Marc CucurellaDefender | 2 (2) | 168 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | – |
| Denzel DumfriesDefender | 2 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Vinicius JuniorMidfielder | 2 (2) | 146 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Antonio RüdigerDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Dean HuijsenDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Yan DiomandeAttacker | 2 (1) | 89 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Aurélien TchouaméniMidfielder | 2 (1) | 81 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Brahim DíazMidfielder | 1 (1) | 79 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.50 | – |
| Trent Alexander-ArnoldMidfielder | 1 (1) | 79 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Arda GülerMidfielder | 1 (0) | 31 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.58 | – |
RB Leipzig
Top scorer
Brajan Gruda
1 goals
Most assists
Christopher Nkunku
1 assists
Best rated
Brajan Gruda
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten VandevoordtGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.30 | – |
| Antonio NusaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Willi OrbánDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | |
| David RaumDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Castello LukebaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Neil El AynaouiMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Ridle BakuDefender | 2 (2) | 174 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Christopher NkunkuAttacker | 2 (2) | 150 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | |
| Ezechiel BanzuziMidfielder | 2 (1) | 116 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Brajan GrudaAttacker | 2 (1) | 96 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.37 | – |
| Andrija MaksimovicMidfielder | 1 (1) | 70 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Nicolas SeiwaldMidfielder | 2 (1) | 64 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
| RômuloAttacker | 1 (1) | 61 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Marc GuiuAttacker | 1 (1) | 60 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.09 | – |
| Tidiam GomisAttacker | 2 (0) | 59 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
Referee
Istvan Kovacs
Referee · Romania
- Cards per game
- 5.36
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.96
- Red cards per game
- 0.40
- Fouls per game
- 25.9
- Penalties per game
- 0.42
- Home wins
- 39%
Averages across 48 completed matches officiated by Istvan Kovacs in our database.
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.16 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 1.69 |