Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP – Match preview

Tuesday, 03 November 2026 · 18:45

Shakhtar Donetsk

-:-

Sporting CP

Stamford BridgeRound 4

Predictions

Full Time Result

25%

31%

Shakhtar DonetskDraw 44%Sporting CP

Double Chance

30%

43%

Shakhtar DonetskDraw 27%Sporting CP

Half Time Result

44%

48%

Shakhtar DonetskDraw 8%Sporting CP

Probability

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 1.5 Goals

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

48%

Over 3.5 Goals

27%

Over 4.5 Goals

Over 0.5 Goals

30%

Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)

74%

Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)

64%

Match Result

Shakhtar Donetsk

31%3.62

fair 3.18disputed

Last 1040%8/20

Draw

25%3.87

fair 3.98-3%

Last 1020%4/20

Sporting CP

43%1.93

fair 2.30-16%

Last 1040%8/20

Draw no bet

Shakhtar Donetsk

42%2.68

fair 2.38disputed

Last 1050%8/16

Sporting CP

58%1.43

fair 1.72-17%

Last 1050%8/16

Double chance

Shakhtar Donetsk or draw

57%1.87

fair 1.77disputed

Last 1060%12/20

Shakhtar Donetsk or Sporting CP

75%1.26

fair 1.34-6%

Last 1080%16/20

Draw or Sporting CP

69%1.29

fair 1.46-12%

Last 1060%12/20

Expected goals 1.6–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 0.5	95%	5%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	79%	21%	–	90%18/20	–
Over/under 2.5main	56%	44%	1.69 / 2.18	60%12/20	none
Over/under 3.5	35%	65%	2.66 / 1.47	35%7/20	none
Over/under 4.5	17%	83%	–	5%1/20	–

Both teams to score

58%Yes 1.61

Last 1055%11/20

Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet

23%

model chance

Sporting CP clean sheet

23%

model chance

Shakhtar Donetsk goals

O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%

Sporting CP goals

O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%

Corners

Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 7.5	69%	31%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 8.5	56%	44%	–	40%8/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	43%	57%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 10.5	31%	69%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 11.5	21%	79%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 12.5	13%	87%	–	10%2/20	–
Over/under 13.5	8%	92%	–	10%2/20	–

Shakhtar Donetsk corners

O2.5 82%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%

Sporting CP corners

O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%

Cards

Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	Value
Over/under 2.5	83%	17%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 3.5	67%	33%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 4.5main	48%	52%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 5.5	31%	69%	–	30%6/20	–
Over/under 6.5	18%	82%	–	25%5/20	–

Shakhtar Donetsk cards

O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%

Sporting CP cards

O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%

Player Props

Best line per player and stat

Player	Line	Odds	Model	L5	L10	EV
Luca Meirelles Shakhtar Donetsk	Over 0.5 Goals · 3.60	3.60	18%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-35%
Luca Meirelles Shakhtar Donetsk	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60	2.60	23%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-40%
Geny Catamo Sporting CP	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.50	2.50	18%	20%1/5	40%4/10	-54%
Rodrigo Zalazar Sporting CP	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.05	2.05	17%	40%2/5	40%4/10	-65%
Valeriy Bondar Shakhtar Donetsk	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 11.00	11.00	14%	40%2/5	30%3/10	+51%
Oleg Ocheretko Shakhtar Donetsk	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.33	4.33	15%	20%1/5	30%3/10	-35%
Gleiker Mendoza Shakhtar Donetsk	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.75	2.75	23%	40%2/5	30%3/10	-36%
Newerton Shakhtar Donetsk	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10	3.10	19%	20%1/5	30%3/10	-41%
Flávio Gonçalves Sporting CP	Over 0.5 Goals · 4.00	4.00	8%	0%0/5	30%3/10	-70%
Rodrigo Zalazar Sporting CP	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.87	2.87	10%	40%2/5	30%3/10	-71%
Flávio Gonçalves Sporting CP	Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40	2.40	11%	0%0/5	30%3/10	-74%
Rafael Nel Sporting CP	Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75	2.75	–	20%1/5	30%3/10	–

Player prop screener

Key Players

Champions League, this season