Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain – Match preview
Villarreal-:-
Paris Saint GermainEstadio de la CerámicaRound 4
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
39%
44%
VillarrealDraw 17%Paris Saint Germain
Bookmaker implied
20%
59%
VillarrealDraw 21%Paris Saint Germain
2.9 – 3.0
Expected score
94%
Over 2.5 goals
90%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
29%
35%
VillarrealDraw 36%Paris Saint Germain
Double Chance
27%
52%
VillarrealDraw 21%Paris Saint Germain
Half Time Result
46%
50%
VillarrealDraw 4%Paris Saint Germain
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
34%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
81%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
63%
Match Result
Villarreal
27%4.67
fair 3.77disputed
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
22%4.46
fair 4.51-1%
Last 1010%2/20
Paris Saint Germain
51%1.62
fair 1.95-17%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Villarreal
34%3.62
fair 2.93disputed
Last 1033%6/18
Paris Saint Germain
66%1.26
fair 1.52-17%
Last 1067%12/18
Double chance
Villarreal or draw
49%2.28
fair 2.05disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Villarreal or Paris Saint Germain
78%1.20
fair 1.28-7%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Paris Saint Germain
73%1.19
fair 1.36-13%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 68% | 32% | 1.36 / 3.01 | 80%16/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | 1.96 / 1.88 | 60%12/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 29% | 71% | 3.05 / 1.35 | 30%6/20 | none |
Both teams to score
66%Yes 1.44
Last 1075%15/20
Villarreal clean sheet
16%
model chance
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet
20%
model chance
Villarreal goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Paris Saint Germain goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Villarreal corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Paris Saint Germain corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Villarreal cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%
Paris Saint Germain cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Assists · 3.75 | 3.75 | 19% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -28% |
Nicolas Pépé Villarreal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | 30% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -32% |
Ayoze Pérez Villarreal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | 27% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -39% |
Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.53 | 1.53 | 38% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -41% |
Georges Mikautadze Villarreal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | 22% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -54% |
Ayoze Pérez Villarreal | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.50 | 6.50 | 16% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | +6% |
Alberto Moleiro Villarreal | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 30% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -27% |
Fabián Ruiz Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.00 | 3.00 | 23% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -31% |
Ferran Torres Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | 34% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -41% |
Désiré Doué Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.72 | 1.72 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -45% |
Georges Mikautadze Villarreal | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.75 | 2.75 | 16% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -56% |
Quentin Ndjantou Paris Saint Germain | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -65% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026VillarrealParis Saint Germain
- 47
- League position
- 8
- LWL
- Last 5
- WWW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 14
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 4.30
- xG for (L5)
- 8.68
- 7.27
- xG against (L5)
- 6.16
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Villarreal
- Sergi CardonaMuscle Injury
Paris Saint Germain
- Alessandro LongoniDead Leg
- Khvicha KvaratskheliaCruciate Ligament Tear
- MarquinhosHamstring Injury
- Nuno MendesDead Leg
- Ousmane DembéléHamstring Injury
Key Players
Champions League, this seasonVillarreal
Top scorer
Santiago Mouriño
2 goals
Most assists
Ayoze Pérez
2 assists
Best rated
Carlos Romero
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago MouriñoDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Renato VeigaDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Pape GueyeMidfielder | 3 (3) | 264 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Pau NavarroDefender | 3 (3) | 263 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Santi ComesañaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 251 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Georges MikautadzeAttacker | 3 (3) | 213 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.10 | |
| Nathan-Dylan SalibaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 195 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| Péter GulácsiGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Alberto MoleiroMidfielder | 3 (2) | 153 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | |
| Sergi CardonaDefender | 3 (2) | 142 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Tajon BuchananMidfielder | 2 (2) | 135 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Tani OluwaseyiAttacker | 3 (1) | 130 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Alex FreemanDefender | 3 (0) | 101 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Luiz JúniorGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Carlos RomeroDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.28 | – |
Paris Saint Germain
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé
3 goals
Most assists
Ousmane Dembélé
3 assists
Best rated
Désiré Doué
8.66
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey SafonovGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| VitinhaMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.58 | – |
| Fabián RuizMidfielder | 3 (3) | 264 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.73 | – |
| Willian PachoDefender | 3 (3) | 244 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Achraf HakimiDefender | 3 (3) | 244 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Maghnes AklioucheAttacker | 3 (2) | 197 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Ousmane DembéléAttacker | 3 (3) | 160 | 3 | 3 | – | 8.03 | – |
| Ferran TorresAttacker | 3 (1) | 157 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.31 | – |
| Nuno MendesDefender | 2 (2) | 154 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.32 | – |
| MarquinhosDefender | 2 (2) | 149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Désiré DouéAttacker | 2 (2) | 144 | 2 | 2 | – | 8.66 | – |
| Ilya ZabarnyiDefender | 2 (1) | 121 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Lucas HernándezDefender | 3 (1) | 110 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| João NevesMidfielder | 2 (1) | 104 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.36 | – |
| Warren Zaïre-EmeryMidfielder | 2 (1) | 96 | 0 | 1 | – | 5.97 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.61 | 2.54 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.97 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 8.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 2.15 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 1.99 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.88 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 1.00 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.55 | 2.45 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 1.75 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.87 | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| bet365 | 3.20 | 1.36 |
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 13.50 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.02 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 6.65 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 2.78 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 15.50 | 38.00 | 11.70 | 7.90 | 8.00 | 4.85 | 19.00 | 16.00 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 15.75 | 38.00 | 11.75 | 7.90 | 8.00 | 4.85 | 19.00 | 16.25 | 2.19 |