Birmingham City vs Millwall – Match preview
Birmingham City-:-
MillwallSt. Andrew's StadiumRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
72%
13%
Birmingham CityDraw 15%Millwall
2.9 – 1.2
Expected score
78%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
37%
22%
Birmingham CityDraw 41%Millwall
Double Chance
52%
22%
Birmingham CityDraw 26%Millwall
Half Time Result
53%
38%
Birmingham CityDraw 9%Millwall
Probability
Both Teams to Score
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
46%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
55%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
78%
Match Result
Birmingham City
45%–
fair 2.23–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
29%–
fair 3.49–
Last 1025%5/20
Millwall
27%–
fair 3.77–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Birmingham City
63%–
fair 1.59–
Last 1067%10/15
Millwall
37%–
fair 2.69–
Last 1033%5/15
Double chance
Birmingham City or draw
73%–
fair 1.36–
Last 1075%15/20
Birmingham City or Millwall
71%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Millwall
55%–
fair 1.81–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1045%9/20
Birmingham City clean sheet
30%
model chance
Millwall clean sheet
27%
model chance
Birmingham City goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Millwall goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Birmingham City corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Millwall corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 44%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cards · Referee David Webb (3.0 cards a match, ×0.85)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Birmingham City cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Millwall cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%O3.5 10%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Birmingham CityMillwall
- 7
- League position
- 13
- LWWWD
- Last 5
- LDLWD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 1.10
- xG for (L5)
- 0.61
- 2.17
- xG against (L5)
- 0.95
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Birmingham City wins
3
Draws
4
Millwall wins
Last 8 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Birmingham City in the last 5 meetings
LWLDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Birmingham City
- Lee BuchananCruciate Ligament Injury
- Marc LeonardAchilles tendon rupture
- Max BirdCalf Injury
- Taylor Gardner-HickmanHamstring Muscle Injury
Millwall
- Josh CoburnUnknown Injury
- Ryan LeonardUnknown Injury
- Tristan CramaAnkle Injury
Key Players
Championship, this seasonBirmingham City
Top scorer
August Priske
4 goals
Most assists
Liam Millar
3 assists
Best rated
Liam Millar
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil NeumannDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.28 | ×3 |
| Christoph KlarerDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×3 |
| James BeadleGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Tomoki IwataMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1057 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Alex CochraneDefender | 12 (11) | 1018 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Jay StansfieldMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1012 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.62 | |
| Bright Osayi-SamuelDefender | 12 (12) | 996 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| August PriskeAttacker | 10 (10) | 815 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Carlos VicenteMidfielder | 12 (9) | 801 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Jhon SolísMidfielder | 10 (10) | 761 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Liam MillarMidfielder | 8 (8) | 579 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.35 | |
| Patrick RobertsMidfielder | 9 (4) | 417 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.80 | |
| Seung-ho PaikMidfielder | 8 (4) | 378 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Demarai GrayAttacker | 9 (1) | 204 | 3 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.82 | – |
| Luis VázquezAttacker | 10 (2) | 199 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
Millwall
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes
4 goals
Most assists
Camiel Neghli
2 assists
Best rated
Josh Coburn
7.24
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb TaylorDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Jake CooperDefender | 12 (12) | 1072 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.85 | |
| Zak SturgeDefender | 12 (12) | 1047 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | ×3 |
| Camiel NeghliMidfielder | 12 (11) | 1037 | 3 | 2 | 0.09 | 6.96 | |
| Jenson MetcalfeMidfielder | 12 (12) | 931 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | 7.01 | ×4 |
| Lyndon DykesAttacker | 12 (9) | 783 | 4 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Derek Mazou-SackoMidfielder | 9 (8) | 697 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Mark SykesMidfielder | 10 (7) | 640 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Taïryk ArconteAttacker | 8 (8) | 591 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Max CrocombeGoalkeeper | 7 (6) | 584 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Kyrell LisbieMidfielder | 8 (6) | 488 | 1 | 0 | 0.44 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| J. Osei-TutuDefender | 7 (5) | 391 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Filip MarschallGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Casper De NorreMidfielder | 4 (4) | 309 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Josh CoburnAttacker | 4 (4) | 304 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.24 |
Referee
David Webb
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 2.53
- Yellow cards per game
- 2.47
- Red cards per game
- 0.06
- Fouls per game
- 20.3
- Penalties per game
- 0.12
- Home wins
- 45%
Averages across 34 completed matches officiated by David Webb in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.07 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 2.16 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 1.13 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 15.00 | 2.93 | 5.05 | 26.00 | 15.25 | 5.75 | 5.65 | 8.20 | 35.00 |