Birmingham City vs Swansea City – Match preview
-:-
St. Andrew's StadiumRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
61%
20%
Birmingham CityDraw 19%Swansea City
2.5 – 1.4
Expected score
73%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
55%
21%
Birmingham CityDraw 24%Swansea City
First Half Result
39%
22%
Birmingham CityDraw 39%Swansea City
Team to Score First
57%
35%
Birmingham CityNo goal 8%Swansea City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
Birmingham City Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Birmingham City Over 1.5 Goals
50%
Swansea City Over 0.5 Goals
56%
Birmingham City Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Match Result
Birmingham City
45%–
model 2.23–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
27%–
model 3.75–
Last 1020%4/20
Swansea City
29%–
model 3.50–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Birmingham City
61%–
model 1.64–
Last 1050%8/16
Swansea City
39%–
model 2.57–
Last 1050%8/16
Double chance
Birmingham City or draw
71%–
model 1.40–
Last 1060%12/20
Birmingham City or Swansea City
73%–
model 1.36–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Swansea City
55%–
model 1.81–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1050%10/20
Birmingham City clean sheet
25%
model chance
Swansea City clean sheet
23%
model chance
Birmingham City goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Swansea City goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 78% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Birmingham City corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Swansea City corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Birmingham City cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Swansea City cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026Birmingham CitySwansea City
- 7
- League position
- 3
- LWWWD
- Last 5
- LLWWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 1.10
- xG for (L5)
- 0.29
- 2.17
- xG against (L5)
- 2.68
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Birmingham City wins
5
Draws
0
Swansea City wins
Last 9 meetings
1.6
Goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
22%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Birmingham City in the last 5 meetings
WDWDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Birmingham City
- Lee BuchananCruciate Ligament Injury
- Marc LeonardAchilles tendon rupture
- Max BirdCalf Injury
- Taylor Gardner-HickmanHamstring Muscle Injury
Swansea City
- Cameron BurgessAchilles tendon rupture
- Josh KeyHamstring Muscle Injury
Key Players
Championship, this seasonBirmingham City
Top scorer
August Priske
4 goals
Most assists
Liam Millar
3 assists
Best rated
Liam Millar
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil NeumannDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.28 | ×3 |
| James BeadleGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Christoph KlarerDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | ×3 |
| Tomoki IwataMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1057 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Alex CochraneDefender | 12 (11) | 1018 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Jay StansfieldMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1012 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.62 | |
| Bright Osayi-SamuelDefender | 12 (12) | 996 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| August PriskeAttacker | 10 (10) | 815 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Carlos VicenteMidfielder | 12 (9) | 801 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Jhon SolísMidfielder | 10 (10) | 761 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Liam MillarMidfielder | 8 (8) | 579 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.35 | |
| Patrick RobertsMidfielder | 9 (4) | 417 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.80 | |
| Seung-ho PaikMidfielder | 8 (4) | 378 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Demarai GrayAttacker | 9 (1) | 204 | 3 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.82 | – |
| Luis VázquezAttacker | 10 (2) | 199 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
Swansea City
Top scorer
Adam Idah
4 goals
Most assists
Josh Tymon
2 assists
Best rated
Joseph Opoku
7.38
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence VigourouxGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Josh TymonDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.88 | |
| Stephen WelshDefender | 12 (11) | 940 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Marko StamenićMidfielder | 12 (10) | 873 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Filip LissahDefender | 11 (10) | 872 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×5 |
| Ben CabangoDefender | 10 (9) | 824 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Moussa YeoMidfielder | 11 (9) | 767 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| Adam IdahAttacker | 11 (9) | 652 | 4 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.92 | – |
| Jay FultonMidfielder | 11 (8) | 631 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Melker WidellMidfielder | 12 (6) | 627 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 6.85 | |
| Joseph OkopuAttacker | 10 (8) | 579 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Elijah JustMidfielder | 12 (8) | 573 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Stephen EustaquioMidfielder | 8 (5) | 518 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Zan VipotnikAttacker | 12 (3) | 417 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.82 | – |
| Josh KeyDefender | 6 (4) | 374 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
More on Birmingham City vs Swansea City
- Birmingham City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Swansea City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Championship (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture