Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City – Match preview
-:-
Ewood ParkRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
54%
24%
Blackburn RoversDraw 22%Stoke City
1.9 – 1.2
Expected score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
30%
26%
Blackburn RoversDraw 44%Stoke City
Double Chance
41%
33%
Blackburn RoversDraw 26%Stoke City
Half Time Result
50%
43%
Blackburn RoversDraw 7%Stoke City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
40%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
68%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
73%
Match Result
Blackburn Rovers
47%–
fair 2.12–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.60–
Last 1030%6/20
Stoke City
25%–
fair 4.00–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Blackburn Rovers
65%–
fair 1.53–
Last 1064%9/14
Stoke City
35%–
fair 2.89–
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
Blackburn Rovers or draw
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1075%15/20
Blackburn Rovers or Stoke City
72%–
fair 1.39–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Stoke City
53%–
fair 1.89–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
52%
Last 1055%11/20
Blackburn Rovers clean sheet
31%
model chance
Stoke City clean sheet
25%
model chance
Blackburn Rovers goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Stoke City goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 10.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Blackburn Rovers corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 14%
Stoke City corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 84%O4.5 70%O5.5 54%O6.5 38%O7.5 24%
Cards
Expected 3.2 match cards · Referee Andrew Kitchen (3.2 cards a match, ×0.85)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 4% | 96% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Blackburn Rovers cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Stoke City cards
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%O3.5 6%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Blackburn RoversStoke City
- 10
- League position
- 9
- WLWWD
- Last 5
- DWLWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 1.96
- xG for (L5)
- 1.14
- 1.74
- xG against (L5)
- 0.81
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
7
Blackburn Rovers wins
5
Draws
13
Stoke City wins
Last 25 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
11 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Blackburn Rovers in the last 5 meetings
DDLLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Blackburn Rovers
- Augustus KargboHamstring Injury
- Lewis MillerAchilles tendon rupture
Stoke City
- Junior TchamadeuKnee Injury
Key Players
Championship, this seasonBlackburn Rovers
Top scorer
Andri Gudjohnsen
8 goals
Most assists
Oladapo Afolayan
2 assists
Best rated
Andri Gudjohnsen
7.22
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McLoughlinDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.09 | ×3 |
| Ryan AlebiosuDefender | 12 (12) | 1036 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.68 | – |
| Todd CantwellMidfielder | 12 (12) | 942 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Kristi MontgomeryMidfielder | 11 (11) | 934 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Sam MorsyMidfielder | 12 (10) | 895 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.82 | ×5 |
| Oladapo AfolayanMidfielder | 12 (12) | 856 | 4 | 2 | 0.37 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Ryoya MorishitaMidfielder | 11 (11) | 833 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Balázs TóthGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Tom AtchesonDefender | 9 (9) | 768 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | ×2 |
| Harry PickeringDefender | 8 (7) | 704 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Andri GudjohnsenAttacker | 11 (8) | 702 | 8 | 1 | 0.30 | 7.22 | |
| Hayden CarterDefender | 8 (5) | 503 | 0 | 0 | 0.97 | 6.71 | |
| Jayden FevrierAttacker | 12 (2) | 414 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 6.81 | |
| Yuri RibeiroDefender | 6 (5) | 378 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Aynsley PearsGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
Stoke City
Top scorer
Ethan Galbraith
3 goals
Most assists
Ethan Galbraith
3 assists
Best rated
Jack McGlynn
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor JohanssonGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Ethan GalbraithMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1080 | 3 | 3 | 0.02 | 7.03 | ×4 |
| Ben WilmotDefender | 12 (12) | 1036 | 1 | 0 | 0.55 | 6.97 | |
| Ben JohnsonMidfielder | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Djibril SoumaréMidfielder | 12 (11) | 903 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Luke GrahamDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Eric-Junior BocatMidfielder | 11 (10) | 839 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.93 | |
| Justin DevennyAttacker | 8 (7) | 534 | 2 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.82 | |
| Jack McGlynnAttacker | 8 (6) | 528 | 2 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.11 | |
| George HirstAttacker | 11 (5) | 519 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.50 | |
| Bosun LawalDefender | 8 (6) | 474 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Lamine CisséAttacker | 8 (6) | 408 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.81 | – |
| Maksym TaloverovDefender | 8 (4) | 372 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | ×2 |
| Jun-ho BaeMidfielder | 6 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Sam GallagherAttacker | 6 (4) | 329 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.83 | ×2 |
Referee
Andrew Kitchen
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 3.03
- Yellow cards per game
- 2.87
- Red cards per game
- 0.16
- Fouls per game
- 20.6
- Penalties per game
- 0.18
- Home wins
- 61%
Averages across 38 completed matches officiated by Andrew Kitchen in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 5.00 | 1.03 |
| Marathonbet | 1.03 | 5.70 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 8.50 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 2.59 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Home | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Away/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.78 | 14.75 | 32.00 | 4.50 | 6.55 | 5.05 | 14.75 | 30.00 | 5.80 |