Cardiff City vs Burnley – Match preview
Cardiff City-:-
BurnleyCardiff City StadiumRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
79%
9%
Cardiff CityDraw 12%Burnley
3.4 – 1.2
Expected score
84%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
61%
17%
Cardiff CityDraw 22%Burnley
First Half Result
43%
19%
Cardiff CityDraw 38%Burnley
Team to Score First
64%
30%
Cardiff CityNo goal 6%Burnley
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Cardiff City Over 3.5 Goals
15%
Cardiff City Over 1.5 Goals
58%
Burnley Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Cardiff City Over 0.5 Goals
85%
Match Result
Cardiff City
46%–
model 2.16–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.88–
Last 1035%7/20
Burnley
28%–
model 3.60–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Cardiff City
63%–
model 1.60–
Last 1054%7/13
Burnley
37%–
model 2.67–
Last 1046%6/13
Double chance
Cardiff City or draw
72%–
model 1.39–
Last 1070%14/20
Cardiff City or Burnley
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Burnley
54%–
model 1.87–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 58% | 42% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%
Last 1070%14/20
Cardiff City clean sheet
24%
model chance
Burnley clean sheet
21%
model chance
Cardiff City goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Burnley goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Cardiff City corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Burnley corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Cardiff City cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Burnley cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026Cardiff CityBurnley
- 16
- League position
- 22
- WDWLW
- Last 5
- LLDWD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 2.17
- xG for (L5)
- 2.23
- 1.10
- xG against (L5)
- 2.32
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Cardiff City wins
0
Draws
2
Burnley wins
Last 3 meetings
3.7
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
23 Sept 2025
Last meeting
Cardiff City in the last 3 meetings
WLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Cardiff City
- Dylan LawlorKnee Injury
Burnley
- Bashir HumphreysKnee Injury
- HannibalHamstring Injury
- Jacob Bruun LarsenFatigue Fracture
Key Players
Championship, this seasonCardiff City
Top scorer
Jack Moylan
6 goals
Most assists
Ollie Tanner
4 assists
Best rated
Alex Robertson
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan TrottGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Alex RobertsonMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1069 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.27 | ×4 |
| Joel BaganDefender | 12 (12) | 1060 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 7.22 | ×3 |
| Jack MoylanMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1014 | 6 | 3 | 0.09 | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Perry NgDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.92 | ×4 |
| Ollie TannerMidfielder | 12 (12) | 946 | 2 | 4 | – | 6.95 | ×3 |
| Gabriel OshoDefender | 10 (10) | 885 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Yousef SalechAttacker | 9 (9) | 790 | 3 | 1 | 1.43 | 6.86 | |
| Cian AshfordMidfielder | 12 (8) | 650 | 2 | 2 | 0.52 | 6.85 | |
| Joel ColwillMidfielder | 12 (7) | 624 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Chris WillockMidfielder | 12 (7) | 622 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Krystian BielikDefender | 7 (6) | 584 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Calum ScanlonDefender | 11 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Rubin ColwillMidfielder | 5 (3) | 293 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | – |
| David TurnbullMidfielder | 8 (1) | 245 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | – |
Burnley
Top scorer
Zeki Amdouni
3 goals
Most assists
Lucas Pires
4 assists
Best rated
Zian Flemming
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max AlleyneMidfielder | 12 (11) | 997 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.60 | |
| Josh LaurentMidfielder | 11 (10) | 887 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Kyle WalkerDefender | 10 (10) | 855 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Largie RamazaniMidfielder | 9 (7) | 638 | 2 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.77 | – |
| Max WeißGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Jacob Bruun LarsenMidfielder | 9 (8) | 611 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Igor JulioDefender | 7 (7) | 608 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Connor RobertsDefender | 7 (5) | 539 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.31 | – |
| Lucas PiresDefender | 9 (5) | 532 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Oliver SonneDefender | 8 (6) | 520 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | |
| Zeki AmdouniAttacker | 9 (5) | 497 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Anel AhmedhodzicDefender | 6 (5) | 495 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Ugo RaghouberMidfielder | 10 (5) | 481 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Reo HatateMidfielder | 8 (6) | 473 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Aaron RamseyMidfielder | 7 (6) | 457 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 |
More on Cardiff City vs Burnley
- Cardiff City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Burnley stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Championship (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture