Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers – Match preview
Derby County-:-
Bolton WanderersPride Park StadiumRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
14%
65%
Derby CountyDraw 21%Bolton Wanderers
Bookmaker implied
42%
30%
Derby CountyDraw 28%Bolton Wanderers
0.8 – 1.9
Expected score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
29%
29%
Derby CountyDraw 42%Bolton Wanderers
Double Chance
34%
40%
Derby CountyDraw 26%Bolton Wanderers
Half Time Result
46%
47%
Derby CountyDraw 7%Bolton Wanderers
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
34%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
73%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
68%
Match Result
Derby County
40%–
fair 2.51–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.75–
Last 1020%4/20
Bolton Wanderers
33%–
fair 2.99–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Derby County
54%–
fair 1.84–
Last 1044%7/16
Bolton Wanderers
46%–
fair 2.19–
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
Derby County or draw
67%–
fair 1.50–
Last 1055%11/20
Derby County or Bolton Wanderers
73%–
fair 1.36–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Bolton Wanderers
60%–
fair 1.66–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%
Last 1055%11/20
Derby County clean sheet
21%
model chance
Bolton Wanderers clean sheet
24%
model chance
Derby County goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Bolton Wanderers goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Derby County corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Bolton Wanderers corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Derby County cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Bolton Wanderers cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026Derby CountyBolton Wanderers
- 23
- League position
- 18
- DLLDD
- Last 5
- LDWLW
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 0.92
- xG for (L5)
- 0.68
- 3.29
- xG against (L5)
- 3.51
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Derby County wins
0
Draws
1
Bolton Wanderers wins
Last 2 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
16 Mar 2024
Last meeting
Derby County in the last 2 meetings
WL
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby County
- Charlie TaylorHamstring Injury
- Craig ForsythKnee Injury
- Derry MurkinHamstring Injury
- Lewis TravisAnkle Injury
- Matt ClarkeCalf Injury
- Patrick AgyemangAchilles tendon rupture
- Sondre LangåsGroin Surgery
Bolton Wanderers
No reported absences
Key Players
Championship, this seasonDerby County
Top scorer
Bobby Clark
3 goals
Most assists
Bobby Clark
2 assists
Best rated
Eiran Cashin
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby ClarkMidfielder | 12 (11) | 1005 | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 7.02 | |
| Dion SandersonDefender | 11 (11) | 922 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Sammie SzmodicsMidfielder | 11 (10) | 846 | 3 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.91 | |
| Sondre LangåsDefender | 10 (10) | 822 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| Jacob Widell ZetterströmGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 725 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Alex MowattMidfielder | 9 (8) | 716 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Charlie TaylorDefender | 8 (8) | 712 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Joe WardDefender | 10 (7) | 712 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Ryan HedgesMidfielder | 11 (9) | 708 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.67 | |
| Carlton MorrisAttacker | 8 (8) | 690 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.08 | – |
| David OzohMidfielder | 8 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Mohammed FuseiniMidfielder | 7 (5) | 414 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Oscar FrauloMidfielder | 8 (4) | 387 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | |
| Lewis TravisMidfielder | 5 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Josh VickersGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
Bolton Wanderers
Top scorer
S. Dalby
4 goals
Most assists
Gaizka Larrazabal
3 assists
Best rated
C. Forino
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh SheehanMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1076 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| S. DalbyAttacker | 12 (10) | 862 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Gaizka LarrazabalDefender | 11 (10) | 837 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Thierry GaleMidfielder | 12 (10) | 828 | 3 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Ethan ErhahonMidfielder | 11 (9) | 726 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Max ConwayDefender | 11 (7) | 703 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.75 | |
| Eoin ToalDefender | 8 (7) | 638 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Gavin BazunuGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Lewis BruntDefender | 8 (6) | 580 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Akin FamewoDefender | 8 (8) | 578 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| C. ForinoDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.30 | |
| Samuel Iling-JuniorAttacker | 11 (6) | 490 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | |
| Ben DaviesDefender | 6 (5) | 486 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Kyliane DongAttacker | 10 (5) | 464 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.43 | |
| Rúben RodriguesMidfielder | 9 (5) | 459 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 7.00 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.61 | 2.22 |
More on Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers
- Derby County stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bolton Wanderers stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Championship (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture