Derby County vs Norwich City – Match preview
Derby County-:-
Norwich CityPride Park StadiumRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
13%
68%
Derby CountyDraw 19%Norwich City
Bookmaker implied
29%
45%
Derby CountyDraw 26%Norwich City
0.8 – 2.1
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
28%
30%
Derby CountyDraw 42%Norwich City
Double Chance
36%
39%
Derby CountyDraw 25%Norwich City
Half Time Result
43%
51%
Derby CountyDraw 6%Norwich City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
38%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
73%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
71%
Match Result
Derby County
43%–
fair 2.34–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.63–
Last 1015%3/20
Norwich City
30%–
fair 3.37–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Derby County
59%–
fair 1.70–
Last 1053%9/17
Norwich City
41%–
fair 2.44–
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Derby County or draw
70%–
fair 1.42–
Last 1060%12/20
Derby County or Norwich City
72%–
fair 1.38–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Norwich City
57%–
fair 1.75–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%
Last 1065%13/20
Derby County clean sheet
25%
model chance
Norwich City clean sheet
25%
model chance
Derby County goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Norwich City goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Derby County corners
O2.5 77%O3.5 58%O4.5 39%O5.5 23%O6.5 12%O7.5 6%
Norwich City corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cards · Referee Samuel Allison (4.2 cards a match, ×0.98)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Derby County cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Norwich City cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026Derby CountyNorwich City
- 23
- League position
- 20
- DLLDD
- Last 5
- WLLLL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 0.92
- xG for (L5)
- 1.40
- 3.29
- xG against (L5)
- 1.14
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Derby County wins
1
Draws
3
Norwich City wins
Last 6 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Derby County in the last 5 meetings
LWDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Derby County
- Charlie TaylorHamstring Injury
- Craig ForsythKnee Injury
- Derry MurkinHamstring Injury
- Jacob Widell ZetterströmKnee Injury
- Lewis TravisAnkle Injury
- Matt ClarkeCalf Injury
- Patrick AgyemangAchilles tendon rupture
- Sondre LangåsGroin Surgery
Norwich City
- José CórdobaKnee Injury
- Mirko TopićCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Championship, this seasonDerby County
Top scorer
Bobby Clark
3 goals
Most assists
Bobby Clark
2 assists
Best rated
Eiran Cashin
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby ClarkMidfielder | 12 (11) | 1005 | 3 | 2 | 0.27 | 7.02 | |
| Dion SandersonDefender | 11 (11) | 922 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Sammie SzmodicsMidfielder | 11 (10) | 846 | 3 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.91 | |
| Sondre LangåsDefender | 10 (10) | 822 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| Jacob Widell ZetterströmGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 725 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Alex MowattMidfielder | 9 (8) | 716 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Joe WardDefender | 10 (7) | 712 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Charlie TaylorDefender | 8 (8) | 712 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Ryan HedgesMidfielder | 11 (9) | 708 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.67 | |
| Carlton MorrisAttacker | 8 (8) | 690 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.08 | – |
| David OzohMidfielder | 8 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Mohammed FuseiniMidfielder | 7 (5) | 414 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Oscar FrauloMidfielder | 8 (4) | 387 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | |
| Josh VickersGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Lewis TravisMidfielder | 5 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
Norwich City
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré
5 goals
Most assists
Andre Brooks
2 assists
Best rated
Mohamed Touré
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. MattssonMidfielder | 12 (11) | 966 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.99 | |
| José CórdobaDefender | 11 (11) | 964 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×4 |
| Ruairi McConvilleDefender | 11 (10) | 920 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Ben ChriseneDefender | 11 (10) | 890 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Andre BrooksMidfielder | 12 (12) | 874 | 2 | 2 | 0.33 | 6.80 | |
| Vladan KovačevićGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Jack StaceyDefender | 10 (8) | 778 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Kenny McLeanMidfielder | 9 (8) | 755 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Oscar SchwartauMidfielder | 11 (9) | 689 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Jacob WrightMidfielder | 11 (4) | 490 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.94 | |
| Mohamed TouréAttacker | 7 (7) | 456 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.08 | |
| Anthony MusabaAttacker | 10 (4) | 439 | 1 | 1 | 0.35 | 6.58 | – |
| Anis SlimaneMidfielder | 9 (7) | 436 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | |
| Mathias KvistgaardenAttacker | 9 (4) | 365 | 3 | 2 | 0.35 | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Paris MaghomaMidfielder | 7 (3) | 309 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 6.84 | – |
Referee
Samuel Allison
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 4.04
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.81
- Red cards per game
- 0.22
- Fouls per game
- 23.1
- Penalties per game
- 0.07
- Home wins
- 48%
Averages across 27 completed matches officiated by Samuel Allison in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.25 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 1.07 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 1.03 |
| MelBet | 2.34 | 1.53 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.06 | 7.30 |
| Betano.dk | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 7.50 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Home | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 7.80 | 14.00 | 25.00 | 5.60 | 5.80 | 5.20 | 35.00 | 14.00 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 7.60 | 14.25 | 23.00 | 5.45 | 5.95 | 5.15 | 29.00 | 14.00 | 3.20 |