Lincoln City vs Birmingham City – Match preview
-:-
LNER StadiumRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
4%
82%
Lincoln CityDraw 14%Birmingham City
0.3 – 2.2
Expected score
46%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Lincoln City
37%–
fair 2.72–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.80–
Last 1020%4/20
Birmingham City
37%–
fair 2.71–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Lincoln City
50%–
fair 2.00–
Last 1044%7/16
Birmingham City
50%–
fair 2.00–
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
Lincoln City or draw
63%–
fair 1.58–
Last 1055%11/20
Lincoln City or Birmingham City
74%–
fair 1.36–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Birmingham City
63%–
fair 1.58–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%
Last 1055%11/20
Lincoln City clean sheet
18%
model chance
Birmingham City clean sheet
25%
model chance
Lincoln City goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Birmingham City goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Lincoln City corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Birmingham City corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Lincoln City cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Birmingham City cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Lincoln CityBirmingham City
- 18
- League position
- 5
- DLLLW
- Last 5
- WWWDW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
0
Lincoln City wins
0
Draws
3
Birmingham City wins
Last 3 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Mar 2025
Last meeting
Lincoln City in the last 3 meetings
LLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Lincoln City
- Tendayi DarikwaCruciate Ligament Tear
Birmingham City
No reported absences
Key Players
Championship, this seasonLincoln City
Top scorer
Freddie Draper
2 goals
Most assists
Ben House
1 assists
Best rated
Mikkel Ladefoged
6.98
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George WickensGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| D. ElereweDefender | 11 (11) | 984 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Adam ReachMidfielder | 10 (10) | 831 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Conor McGrandlesMidfielder | 10 (10) | 765 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×4 |
| Freddie DraperAttacker | 11 (10) | 739 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×5 |
| Ben HouseAttacker | 9 (9) | 705 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Ryley TowlerDefender | 10 (7) | 650 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Ivan VarfolomeevMidfielder | 9 (7) | 619 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Sonny BradleyDefender | 7 (7) | 577 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Dom JefferiesMidfielder | 8 (7) | 573 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Reeco HackettMidfielder | 9 (6) | 553 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Robert StreetAttacker | 11 (5) | 536 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.76 | |
| Andrei CoubișDefender | 8 (4) | 426 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.88 | |
| Tom BaylissMidfielder | 10 (4) | 361 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Callum ElderDefender | 5 (3) | 292 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 |
Birmingham City
Top scorer
August Priske
4 goals
Most assists
Liam Millar
3 assists
Best rated
Liam Millar
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil NeumannDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.30 | ×3 |
| James BeadleGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Christoph KlarerDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Tomoki IwataMidfielder | 11 (11) | 967 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Alex CochraneDefender | 11 (10) | 928 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.05 | ×3 |
| Jay StansfieldMidfielder | 11 (11) | 922 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.66 | |
| Bright Osayi-SamuelDefender | 11 (11) | 918 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×4 |
| August PriskeAttacker | 10 (10) | 815 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Carlos VicenteMidfielder | 11 (8) | 737 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Jhon SolísMidfielder | 9 (9) | 697 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Liam MillarMidfielder | 7 (7) | 509 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.45 | |
| Patrick RobertsMidfielder | 8 (4) | 391 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.83 | |
| Seung-ho PaikMidfielder | 8 (4) | 378 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Demarai GrayAttacker | 8 (1) | 184 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Luis VázquezAttacker | 9 (1) | 135 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |