Norwich City vs Watford – Match preview
-:-
Carrow RoadRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
75%
7%
Norwich CityDraw 18%Watford
2.1 – 0.5
Expected score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Norwich City
52%–
fair 1.92–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.98–
Last 1010%2/20
Watford
23%–
fair 4.38–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Norwich City
70%–
fair 1.44–
Last 1061%11/18
Watford
30%–
fair 3.28–
Last 1039%7/18
Double chance
Norwich City or draw
77%–
fair 1.30–
Last 1065%13/20
Norwich City or Watford
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Watford
48%–
fair 2.09–
Last 1045%9/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1050%10/20
Norwich City clean sheet
28%
model chance
Watford clean sheet
19%
model chance
Norwich City goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Watford goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Norwich City corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 12%
Watford corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 39%O5.5 23%O6.5 12%O7.5 6%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Norwich City cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Watford cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 41%O3.5 20%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Norwich CityWatford
- 21
- League position
- 20
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- WLLLL
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 12
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
Norwich City wins
0
Draws
6
Watford wins
Last 11 meetings
3.2
Goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
64%
Over 2.5 goals
29 Dec 2025
Last meeting
Norwich City in the last 5 meetings
LLWWW
Key Players
Championship, this seasonNorwich City
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré
5 goals
Most assists
Andre Brooks
2 assists
Best rated
Mohamed Touré
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José CórdobaDefender | 11 (11) | 964 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×4 |
| P. MattssonMidfielder | 11 (10) | 921 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | |
| Ruairi McConvilleDefender | 10 (9) | 830 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Vladan KovačevićGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Ben ChriseneDefender | 10 (9) | 800 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Andre BrooksMidfielder | 11 (11) | 799 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.82 | |
| Kenny McLeanMidfielder | 8 (8) | 710 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Jack StaceyDefender | 9 (7) | 688 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Oscar SchwartauMidfielder | 10 (8) | 601 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Mohamed TouréAttacker | 7 (7) | 456 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.08 | |
| Anis SlimaneMidfielder | 9 (7) | 436 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | |
| Anthony MusabaAttacker | 9 (4) | 424 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Jacob WrightMidfielder | 10 (3) | 400 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Kellen FisherDefender | 4 (4) | 302 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Mathias KvistgaardenAttacker | 8 (3) | 290 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.72 |
Watford
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada
3 goals
Most assists
Iker Bravo
2 assists
Best rated
Federico Ravaglia
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico RavagliaGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Mattie PollockDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Hector KyprianouMidfielder | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×3 |
| Kévin KebenDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Iker BravoMidfielder | 11 (9) | 756 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.89 | ×3 |
| Edo KayembeMidfielder | 11 (7) | 732 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaAttacker | 11 (6) | 606 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×2 |
| Othmane MaammaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 594 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Jordan ZemuraDefender | 10 (6) | 576 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Omar TraoréDefender | 8 (7) | 545 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.39 | |
| Amin NabizadaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 491 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| Luca KjerrumgaardAttacker | 9 (6) | 451 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Edoardo BoveMidfielder | 5 (4) | 352 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Soumaïla CoulibalyDefender | 5 (4) | 347 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Martín PayeroMidfielder | 8 (3) | 339 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×3 |