Portsmouth vs Swansea City – Match preview
-:-
Fratton ParkRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
35%
43%
PortsmouthDraw 22%Swansea City
1.7 – 1.9
Expected score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
33%
23%
PortsmouthDraw 44%Swansea City
Double Chance
44%
32%
PortsmouthDraw 24%Swansea City
Half Time Result
53%
42%
PortsmouthDraw 5%Swansea City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
46%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
69%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
77%
Match Result
Portsmouth
46%–
fair 2.16–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.76–
Last 1020%4/20
Swansea City
27%–
fair 3.70–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Portsmouth
63%–
fair 1.58–
Last 1056%9/16
Swansea City
37%–
fair 2.71–
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Portsmouth or draw
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1065%13/20
Portsmouth or Swansea City
73%–
fair 1.36–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Swansea City
54%–
fair 1.86–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%
Last 1060%12/20
Portsmouth clean sheet
26%
model chance
Swansea City clean sheet
23%
model chance
Portsmouth goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Swansea City goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Portsmouth corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Swansea City corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cards · Referee Matthew Corlett (4.5 cards a match, ×1.04)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Portsmouth cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Swansea City cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026PortsmouthSwansea City
- 11
- League position
- 3
- WDWWL
- Last 5
- LLWWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 0.95
- xG for (L5)
- 0.29
- 0.61
- xG against (L5)
- 2.68
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Portsmouth wins
2
Draws
3
Swansea City wins
Last 7 meetings
2.4
Goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
10 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Portsmouth in the last 5 meetings
LLWDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Portsmouth
- Franco Umeh-ChibuezeTendon Irritation
Swansea City
- Cameron BurgessAchilles tendon rupture
- Josh KeyHamstring Muscle Injury
Key Players
Championship, this seasonPortsmouth
Top scorer
Marko Milovanović
3 goals
Most assists
Adrian Segecic
2 assists
Best rated
Daniel Bielica
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu KamaraMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1014 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Adrian SegecicMidfielder | 12 (11) | 986 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Marlon PackMidfielder | 11 (10) | 826 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.79 | |
| Zak SwansonDefender | 11 (9) | 794 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Terry DevlinDefender | 11 (8) | 771 | 2 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Nicolas SchmidGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Ryan Kavuma-McQueenMidfielder | 12 (8) | 659 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Madiodio DiaDefender | 8 (7) | 651 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Jayden MeghomaDefender | 7 (7) | 564 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Ebou AdamsMidfielder | 12 (4) | 556 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Regan PooleDefender | 8 (6) | 554 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.85 | – |
| Conor ShaughnessyDefender | 6 (6) | 513 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Colby BishopAttacker | 9 (5) | 490 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Marko MilovanovićAttacker | 10 (5) | 459 | 3 | 0 | 0.41 | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Benjamin ArthurDefender | 6 (5) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
Swansea City
Top scorer
Adam Idah
4 goals
Most assists
Josh Tymon
2 assists
Best rated
Joseph Opoku
7.38
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh TymonDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.88 | |
| Lawrence VigourouxGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Stephen WelshDefender | 12 (11) | 940 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | |
| Marko StamenićMidfielder | 12 (10) | 873 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Filip LissahDefender | 11 (10) | 872 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×5 |
| Ben CabangoDefender | 10 (9) | 824 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Moussa YeoMidfielder | 11 (9) | 767 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| Adam IdahAttacker | 11 (9) | 652 | 4 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.92 | – |
| Jay FultonMidfielder | 11 (8) | 631 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Melker WidellMidfielder | 12 (6) | 627 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 6.85 | |
| Joseph OkopuAttacker | 10 (8) | 579 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Elijah JustMidfielder | 12 (8) | 573 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Stephen EustaquioMidfielder | 8 (5) | 518 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Zan VipotnikAttacker | 12 (3) | 417 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.82 | – |
| Josh KeyDefender | 6 (4) | 374 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
Referee
Matthew Corlett
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 4.52
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.31
- Red cards per game
- 0.21
- Fouls per game
- 23.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.10
- Home wins
- 39%
Averages across 42 completed matches officiated by Matthew Corlett in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 10.00 | 1.03 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 6.40 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 2.02 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 1.20 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Home | Home/Draw | Away/Away | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Home/Away | Home/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 14.25 | 4.15 | 5.25 | 6.20 | 14.25 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 4.10 |