Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers – Match preview
Southampton-:-
Queens Park RangersSt. Mary's StadiumRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
70%
10%
SouthamptonDraw 20%Queens Park Rangers
2.0 – 0.6
Expected score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Southampton
53%–
fair 1.88–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.92–
Last 1035%7/20
Queens Park Rangers
21%–
fair 4.69–
Last 1015%3/20
Draw no bet
Southampton
71%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1077%10/13
Queens Park Rangers
29%–
fair 3.50–
Last 1023%3/13
Double chance
Southampton or draw
79%–
fair 1.27–
Last 1085%17/20
Southampton or Queens Park Rangers
74%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Queens Park Rangers
47%–
fair 2.14–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%
Last 1060%12/20
Southampton clean sheet
31%
model chance
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet
20%
model chance
Southampton goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Queens Park Rangers goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 11%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Southampton corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Queens Park Rangers corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Southampton cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Queens Park Rangers cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 68%O2.5 41%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SouthamptonQueens Park Rangers
- 4
- League position
- 9
- DWWLW
- Last 5
- LWDDD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Southampton wins
0
Draws
0
Queens Park Rangers wins
Last 4 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
24 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Southampton in the last 4 meetings
WWWW
Key Players
Championship, this seasonSouthampton
Top scorer
Cyle Larin
7 goals
Most assists
Finn Azaz
5 assists
Best rated
Finn Azaz
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel PeretzGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| James BreeDefender | 11 (10) | 944 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Finn AzazMidfielder | 11 (10) | 919 | 3 | 5 | – | 7.27 | |
| Keven SchlotterbeckDefender | 9 (9) | 807 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.21 | |
| Ryan ManningDefender | 11 (9) | 793 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.01 | ×4 |
| Flynn DownesMidfielder | 10 (10) | 744 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Cyle LarinAttacker | 11 (10) | 731 | 7 | 0 | – | 7.08 | ×3 |
| Leo ScienzaMidfielder | 10 (10) | 730 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Kuryu MatsukiMidfielder | 11 (7) | 720 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.79 | |
| James Ward-ProwseMidfielder | 9 (7) | 703 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Nathan WoodDefender | 7 (6) | 546 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Jack StephensDefender | 7 (6) | 543 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Cameron BraggMidfielder | 8 (5) | 384 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Tom FellowsMidfielder | 7 (4) | 327 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Lewis DobbinAttacker | 9 (2) | 233 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
Queens Park Rangers
Top scorer
Paul Patrick Smyth
3 goals
Most assists
Ronnie Edwards
1 assists
Best rated
Ilias Chair
7.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie EdwardsDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.06 | ×2 |
| Pierce Joseph CharlesGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Jimmy DunneDefender | 10 (10) | 858 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Harvey ValeMidfielder | 10 (8) | 725 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Glen KamaraMidfielder | 10 (6) | 656 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Jake Clarke-SalterDefender | 9 (7) | 649 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×4 |
| Kealey AdamsonDefender | 10 (5) | 599 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| R. BurrellAttacker | 8 (6) | 595 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.84 | |
| Kwame PokuMidfielder | 9 (7) | 582 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Nicolas MadsenMidfielder | 9 (7) | 574 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Amadou Salif MbengueDefender | 10 (7) | 572 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.59 | |
| Paul Patrick SmythMidfielder | 10 (7) | 557 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Koki SaitoAttacker | 7 (3) | 362 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Dennis CirkinDefender | 7 (4) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | |
| Ilias ChairMidfielder | 5 (4) | 293 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.29 | – |