Watford vs Lincoln City – Match preview
Watford-:-
Lincoln CityVicarage RoadRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
30%
40%
WatfordDraw 30%Lincoln City
1.0 – 1.2
Expected score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
33%
24%
WatfordDraw 43%Lincoln City
Double Chance
42%
32%
WatfordDraw 26%Lincoln City
Half Time Result
54%
40%
WatfordDraw 6%Lincoln City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
42%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
68%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
74%
Match Result
Watford
33%–
fair 2.99–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.97–
Last 1015%3/20
Lincoln City
41%–
fair 2.42–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw no bet
Watford
45%–
fair 2.23–
Last 1024%4/17
Lincoln City
55%–
fair 1.81–
Last 1076%13/17
Double chance
Watford or draw
59%–
fair 1.70–
Last 1035%7/20
Watford or Lincoln City
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Lincoln City
67%–
fair 1.50–
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.7 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1040%8/20
Watford clean sheet
15%
model chance
Lincoln City clean sheet
25%
model chance
Watford goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Lincoln City goals
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Watford corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 15%
Lincoln City corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cards · Referee James Bell (3.6 cards a match, ×0.89)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Watford cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Lincoln City cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026WatfordLincoln City
- 21
- League position
- 15
- LWLLL
- Last 5
- WDLLL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 14
- 0.15
- xG for (L5)
- 2.32
- 1.97
- xG against (L5)
- 2.23
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Watford
- Daniel BachmannUnknown Injury
- Federico RavagliaLumbago
Lincoln City
- Mason MeliaThigh Problems
- Tendayi DarikwaCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Championship, this seasonWatford
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada
3 goals
Most assists
Iker Bravo
2 assists
Best rated
Federico Ravaglia
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico RavagliaGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Mattie PollockDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Hector KyprianouMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×4 |
| Kévin KebenDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Iker BravoMidfielder | 12 (10) | 841 | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Edo KayembeMidfielder | 12 (8) | 822 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaAttacker | 12 (6) | 624 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Othmane MaammaMidfielder | 11 (7) | 622 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×2 |
| Jordan ZemuraDefender | 11 (6) | 605 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Omar TraoréDefender | 8 (7) | 545 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.39 | |
| Luca KjerrumgaardAttacker | 10 (7) | 523 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Amin NabizadaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 491 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| Martín PayeroMidfielder | 9 (3) | 357 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×3 |
| Edoardo BoveMidfielder | 5 (4) | 352 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Soumaïla CoulibalyDefender | 5 (4) | 347 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
Lincoln City
Top scorer
Mikkel Ladefoged
3 goals
Most assists
Ben House
2 assists
Best rated
Mikkel Ladefoged
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George WickensGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.94 | |
| D. ElereweDefender | 12 (12) | 1074 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Adam ReachMidfielder | 11 (11) | 921 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.82 | – |
| Conor McGrandlesMidfielder | 11 (11) | 854 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.69 | ×4 |
| Ben HouseAttacker | 10 (10) | 795 | 2 | 2 | 0.81 | 6.99 | ×4 |
| Freddie DraperAttacker | 11 (10) | 739 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×5 |
| Dom JefferiesMidfielder | 9 (8) | 662 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.83 | – |
| Ryley TowlerDefender | 11 (7) | 659 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×2 |
| Sonny BradleyDefender | 8 (8) | 658 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Reeco HackettMidfielder | 10 (7) | 634 | 2 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.93 | – |
| Ivan VarfolomeevMidfielder | 10 (7) | 620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Robert StreetAttacker | 12 (5) | 545 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.76 | |
| Andrei CoubișDefender | 9 (5) | 516 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.94 | |
| Tom BaylissMidfielder | 10 (4) | 361 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Callum ElderDefender | 5 (3) | 292 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 |
Referee
James Bell
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 3.59
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.59
- Red cards per game
- 0.00
- Fouls per game
- 21.1
- Penalties per game
- 0.14
- Home wins
- 56%
Averages across 22 completed matches officiated by James Bell in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.17 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.05 | 1.06 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 1.11 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Draw | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Home/Away | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 14.75 | 4.65 | 14.50 | 5.30 | 3.55 | 5.65 | 29.00 | 33.00 | 6.80 |