Watford vs Middlesbrough – Match preview
-:-
Vicarage RoadRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
15%
68%
WatfordDraw 17%Middlesbrough
1.1 – 2.5
Expected score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
28%
47%
WatfordDraw 25%Middlesbrough
First Half Result
21%
41%
WatfordDraw 38%Middlesbrough
Team to Score First
38%
57%
WatfordNo goal 5%Middlesbrough
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
Watford Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Watford Over 1.5 Goals
33%
Middlesbrough Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Watford Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Match Result
Watford
30%–
model 3.38–
Last 1015%3/20
Draw
25%–
model 3.95–
Last 1015%3/20
Middlesbrough
45%–
model 2.22–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw no bet
Watford
40%–
model 2.53–
Last 1018%3/17
Middlesbrough
60%–
model 1.66–
Last 1082%14/17
Double chance
Watford or draw
55%–
model 1.82–
Last 1030%6/20
Watford or Middlesbrough
75%–
model 1.34–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Middlesbrough
70%–
model 1.42–
Last 1085%17/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.8 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%
Last 1050%10/20
Watford clean sheet
14%
model chance
Middlesbrough clean sheet
28%
model chance
Watford goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Middlesbrough goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Watford corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 61%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 7%
Middlesbrough corners
O2.5 94%O3.5 85%O4.5 71%O5.5 55%O6.5 39%O7.5 25%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Watford cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Middlesbrough cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026WatfordMiddlesbrough
- 21
- League position
- 1
- LWLLL
- Last 5
- WDWWD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 13
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 0.15
- xG for (L5)
- 3.51
- 1.97
- xG against (L5)
- 0.68
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Watford wins
1
Draws
3
Middlesbrough wins
Last 8 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Watford in the last 5 meetings
LWWWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Watford
- Daniel BachmannUnknown Injury
- Federico RavagliaLumbago
- Kwadwo BaahHamstring Injury
Middlesbrough
- Alfie JonesCalf Injury
- David StrelecUnknown Injury
Key Players
Championship, this seasonWatford
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada
3 goals
Most assists
Iker Bravo
2 assists
Best rated
Federico Ravaglia
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico RavagliaGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Hector KyprianouMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×4 |
| Mattie PollockDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Kévin KebenDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Iker BravoMidfielder | 12 (10) | 841 | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Edo KayembeMidfielder | 12 (8) | 822 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Mamadou DoumbiaAttacker | 12 (6) | 624 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Othmane MaammaMidfielder | 11 (7) | 622 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×2 |
| Jordan ZemuraDefender | 11 (6) | 605 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Omar TraoréDefender | 8 (7) | 545 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.39 | |
| Luca KjerrumgaardAttacker | 10 (7) | 523 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Amin NabizadaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 491 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| Martín PayeroMidfielder | 9 (3) | 357 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×3 |
| Edoardo BoveMidfielder | 5 (4) | 352 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Soumaïla CoulibalyDefender | 5 (4) | 347 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
Middlesbrough
Top scorer
Will Lankshear
11 goals
Most assists
Amario Cozier-Duberry
4 assists
Best rated
Amario Cozier-Duberry
7.61
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum BrittainDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 7.06 | |
| Radek VitekGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Aidan MorrisMidfielder | 11 (11) | 990 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 7.37 | – |
| Adilson MalandaDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 7.01 | |
| Will LankshearAttacker | 12 (11) | 965 | 11 | 0 | 1.31 | 7.31 | ×2 |
| Neto BorgesDefender | 12 (10) | 845 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.05 | |
| Sebastian BerhalterMidfielder | 12 (9) | 812 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 7.35 | ×2 |
| Luke AylingDefender | 11 (8) | 715 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Riley McGreeMidfielder | 12 (9) | 710 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Ashley PhillipsDefender | 9 (7) | 668 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.72 | |
| Amario Cozier-DuberryMidfielder | 7 (7) | 550 | 3 | 4 | 0.41 | 7.61 | – |
| Tommy ConwayMidfielder | 10 (5) | 459 | 1 | 4 | 0.42 | 7.02 | – |
| Max ArfstenDefender | 11 (3) | 424 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.83 | – |
| Kyle JosephAttacker | 12 (4) | 421 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Myles Peart-HarrisMidfielder | 10 (3) | 309 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 |
More on Watford vs Middlesbrough
- Watford stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Middlesbrough stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Championship (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture