Wrexham vs Middlesbrough – Match preview
-:-
Racecourse GroundRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
23%
57%
WrexhamDraw 20%Middlesbrough
Bookmaker implied
30%
44%
WrexhamDraw 26%Middlesbrough
1.4 – 2.2
Expected score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
23%
37%
WrexhamDraw 40%Middlesbrough
Double Chance
27%
48%
WrexhamDraw 25%Middlesbrough
Half Time Result
38%
56%
WrexhamDraw 6%Middlesbrough
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
Over 4.5 Goals
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
31%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
78%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
64%
Match Result
Wrexham
39%–
fair 2.58–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.83–
Last 1025%5/20
Middlesbrough
35%–
fair 2.84–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Wrexham
52%–
fair 1.91–
Last 1040%6/15
Middlesbrough
48%–
fair 2.10–
Last 1060%9/15
Double chance
Wrexham or draw
65%–
fair 1.54–
Last 1055%11/20
Wrexham or Middlesbrough
74%–
fair 1.35–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Middlesbrough
61%–
fair 1.63–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1060%12/20
Wrexham clean sheet
19%
model chance
Middlesbrough clean sheet
24%
model chance
Wrexham goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Middlesbrough goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Wrexham corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Middlesbrough corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 82%O4.5 68%O5.5 51%O6.5 35%O7.5 22%
Cards
Expected 3.4 match cards · Referee Oliver Langford (3.5 cards a match, ×0.87)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Wrexham cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%O3.5 9%
Middlesbrough cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 24%O3.5 9%
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026WrexhamMiddlesbrough
- 17
- League position
- 1
- LWLDW
- Last 5
- WDWWD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 13
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 1.74
- xG for (L5)
- 3.51
- 1.96
- xG against (L5)
- 0.68
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Wrexham wins
2
Draws
1
Middlesbrough wins
Last 3 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
07 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Wrexham in the last 3 meetings
LDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Wrexham
- Sebastian RevanHamstring Injury
Middlesbrough
- Alfie JonesCalf Injury
Key Players
Championship, this seasonWrexham
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore
5 goals
Most assists
D. Imray
3 assists
Best rated
Kieffer Moore
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony PattersonGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Dominic HyamDefender | 12 (11) | 1001 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×4 |
| Callum DoyleDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 7.02 | |
| Ben WhitemanMidfielder | 12 (11) | 987 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Kieffer MooreAttacker | 12 (10) | 800 | 5 | 2 | 0.52 | 7.28 | ×2 |
| Jacques EkomiéMidfielder | 10 (9) | 781 | 2 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.91 | – |
| Zak VynerDefender | 8 (7) | 683 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Callum O'HareAttacker | 8 (7) | 653 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.78 | – |
| Lewis O'BrienMidfielder | 11 (7) | 599 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Issa KaboréMidfielder | 10 (6) | 550 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.62 | |
| Matty JamesMidfielder | 9 (6) | 550 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.73 | |
| Ollie RathboneMidfielder | 10 (5) | 505 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| D. ImrayMidfielder | 10 (6) | 503 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | 6.62 | – |
| Sam SmithAttacker | 12 (4) | 486 | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.63 | – |
| Joe WorrallDefender | 4 (4) | 337 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.99 | – |
Middlesbrough
Top scorer
Will Lankshear
11 goals
Most assists
Amario Cozier-Duberry
4 assists
Best rated
Amario Cozier-Duberry
7.61
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum BrittainDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | 7.06 | |
| Radek VitekGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Aidan MorrisMidfielder | 11 (11) | 990 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 7.37 | – |
| Adilson MalandaDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 7.01 | |
| Will LankshearAttacker | 12 (11) | 965 | 11 | 0 | 1.31 | 7.31 | ×2 |
| Neto BorgesDefender | 12 (10) | 845 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.05 | |
| Sebastian BerhalterMidfielder | 12 (9) | 812 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 7.35 | ×2 |
| Luke AylingDefender | 11 (8) | 715 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Riley McGreeMidfielder | 12 (9) | 710 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Ashley PhillipsDefender | 9 (7) | 668 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.72 | |
| Amario Cozier-DuberryMidfielder | 7 (7) | 550 | 3 | 4 | 0.41 | 7.61 | – |
| Tommy ConwayMidfielder | 10 (5) | 459 | 1 | 4 | 0.42 | 7.02 | – |
| Max ArfstenDefender | 11 (3) | 424 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.83 | – |
| Kyle JosephAttacker | 12 (4) | 421 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Myles Peart-HarrisMidfielder | 10 (3) | 309 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 |
Referee

Oliver Langford
Referee · England
- Cards per game
- 3.42
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.16
- Red cards per game
- 0.26
- Fouls per game
- 19.3
- Penalties per game
- 0.16
- Home wins
- 35%
Averages across 31 completed matches officiated by Oliver Langford in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 1.60 |
| MelBet | 2.25 | 1.59 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 10.75 | 1.67 |